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To: Prince of Space

Another stupid article. It points out that Lake was POLLING just 2 points ahead of Hobbs and claims her loss was impossible to imagine.

Pollsters were well aware they had overestimated Democrats by 3-5 points in 2020. So they put their thumb on the scale and this time overestimated Republicans by 3 points. Does ANYONE believe polling is precise to within 2 points?

BTW - those facts are why I thought Lake would win by 5 and Masters might win by 1-2 points. I gave to Masters instead of Lake because I thought she didn’t need the help. But it was ALWAYS going to be a very close election - and spitting on McCain voters in Arizona (including independents) was DUMB! He wasn’t the heart throb of GOP voters outside of Maricopa County, but inside the county they loved him.


57 posted on 11/26/2022 4:26:49 PM PST by Mr Rogers (We're a nation of feelings, not thoughts.)
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To: Mr Rogers

You obviously didn’t examine the article. Every race in swing states that showed Republicans up by 3 or 4 in the polls ended with Democrats up by 3 or 4 while Republicans essentially stayed the same. Is that even statistically possible without election shenanigans on the part of the Democrats? The Republican won most of those races anyway but it was a lot closer than polling showed. It was an anomaly that clearly needs a thorough examination. Otherwise, it renders polling meaningless.


62 posted on 11/26/2022 5:39:56 PM PST by Prince of Space (Let’s Go, Brandon! )
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