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Lake, as much as I liked her, did NOT have overwhelming pre-election popularity. She was ahead in the polls by around 2%. Based on previous years, I assumed that meant she was ahead by 5-6%, but she didn’t poll overwhelming. And there are multiple states where the polling was off by 3% in favor or Republicans.

Also, her comments about McCain in the final days of the election may have hurt her in Maricopa. Tabulators were only an issue for a few hours. Didn’t hear anything about paper being the wrong size.

And here in Pima County, very liberal Pima County, there were no ballot issues. Nor were there any issues in the heavily red rural counties.

Bitter Robson Republicans (aka McCain Republicans) are sufficient to account for our losses. Where was Ducey? Crickets. The AG went on national TV to attack Lake the weekend before the election. Robson? Disappeared!

The Friday before the election, Kari Lake said, “Boy, Arizona has delivered some losers, haven’t they? We don’t have any McCain Republicans in here, do we? Well, get the hell out!”

In Pima, I didn’t hear that until after the election. I fully agree with the sentiments. I refused to vote for McCain in his last two general elections. But it wouldn’t have helped her any in Maricopa. If that comment got air play in Maricopa, it could have cost her 50,000 votes. Which would be the difference between winning and losing.

“Exit polling showing Dems got 17% of the same-day in-person vote, but the actual recorded votes showing Dem totals so high, they’d have had to get 100% of the Dem AND 100% of the independent vote”

Actually, Kari got 55% of the election day vote in Maricopa. She needed just a little more. After all, she only fell 17,000 votes short out of 2.6 million cast - about 0.6%.

Maricopa voter registration is 34.3% Republican, 34.6% Independent and 30.3% Democrat. So if Kari got all of the Republican vote on election day, she still carried a majority of Independents - about 70% of independents. But the early vote in Arizona is huge and it wasn’t quite enough. Very close, but not quite.

And yes, Maricopa voting sucks. Since 4 of 5 members of the Board of Supervisors are Republicans, that doesn’t say much for Maricopa Republicans - who tend to be Big Business, Cheap Labor, and Social Liberals.