My vote is for “both”—criminal and incompetent.
I have no doubt Lake will win but it is likely Masters will fall short. If he does and its by a few thousand votes, it may be attributable to the “failure” of the vote tabulating machines in Maricopa County, curiously this is said to have occurred mostly in heavily Republican areas - the election authorities initially said it affected 20 percent of the polling sites, now they admit it was 30 percent. “Someone” knew that the Rs were encouraging their voters to vote in place on Election Day - if you have a machine “failure” in those polling places, it stops the vote in place for hours and voters leave bc they have to go to work or they get tired or waiting in line for hours. Apparently, the Maricopa “authorities” gave them the “alternative” of placing their votes in a box which may have a lot fewer ballots in than were expected. So this “glitch” may end up costing Masters the Senate seat and the Rs the Senate.