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Republicans should have won the Senate easily, but they nominated really bad candidates
Washington Examiner ^ | November 9, 2022 | Timothy P. Carney

Posted on 11/09/2022 8:19:17 AM PST by karpov

There’s a lot of noise as these midterm results flow in, and a few unsettled races at the moment, but this much is clear: Republicans would control the Senate next year had they stuck to nominating good candidates. Instead, typical of the Tea Party-to-Trump Era, Republicans in many key states nominated people who were patently unfit for office.

It goes back to the Massie Theorem. Rep. Thomas Massie explained the Tea Party after the 2016 election.

"All this time," Massie said, "I thought they were voting for libertarian Republicans. But after some soul-searching, I realized when they voted for Rand and Ron and me in these primaries, they weren't voting for libertarian ideas. They were voting for the craziest son of a b**** in the race. And Donald Trump won best in class.”

Nominating the craziest son of a b**** in the race is not a formula for winning governing majorities.

Here’s the raw math:

Republicans, as of 5 a.m. Wednesday, control 48 seats in the Senate, with four states outstanding. (Technically, Alaska is still outstanding, but it is undecided between two Republican candidates.) Republican Ron Johnson will probably win reelection in Wisconsin. That means the GOP would need to win two of the final three races — outstanding contests in Nevada and Arizona, and a likely runoff in Georgia — to control the Senate. So, the odds are decent that Republicans end up with 49 or 50 seats, which is 1 or 2 seats short of Senate control.

Republicans should have won the Georgia Senate race easily this year. They also should have won Pennsylvania.

In Georgia, former NFL running back Herschel Walker will get about 48% or 49% as Gov. Brian Kemp gets about 54%.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2022; bs; fetterman; midterms; q; qanoncandidateslost; senate; timothypcarney
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1 posted on 11/09/2022 8:19:17 AM PST by karpov
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To: karpov
In Georgia, former NFL running back Herschel Walker will get about 48% or 49% as Gov. Brian Kemp gets about 54%.

This is what "election" engineering looks like.

2 posted on 11/09/2022 8:21:02 AM PST by kiryandil (China Joe and Paycheck Hunter - the Chink in America's defenses)
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To: karpov

Now the blame-game starts. This is a tactic to try and get Trump not to run.


3 posted on 11/09/2022 8:22:56 AM PST by ProudDeplorable (Concentrated power has always been the enemy of liberty. ~ Ronald Reagan)
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To: karpov

The reason conservative voters supported Trumps nominees is because mcconnells nominees stabbed its base in the back.


4 posted on 11/09/2022 8:23:17 AM PST by patriot torch
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To: kiryandil

That, or Walker was a bad candidate. I tend to think that (even if it goes to a runoff and he wins) over crying about fraud.


5 posted on 11/09/2022 8:23:17 AM PST by Trump20162020
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To: karpov

Lack of unity and lousy leadership is what did the GOP in.


6 posted on 11/09/2022 8:23:23 AM PST by budj (Combat vet, second of three generations.)
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To: kiryandil
Similar in AZ. Lake is neck and neck with the horrible candidate Hobbs. But Masters is down 4-5%.
7 posted on 11/09/2022 8:23:47 AM PST by Michael.SF. ( The problem today: people are more concerned about feelings than responsibility)
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To: karpov

I really did not see a lot of enthusiasm for Oz here from the get-go.


8 posted on 11/09/2022 8:23:58 AM PST by OttawaFreeper ("The Gardens was founded by men-sportsmen-who fought for their country" Conn Smythe, 1966 )
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To: karpov

Massive fraud is the real answer. The magic spike appeared in Georgia senate race.


9 posted on 11/09/2022 8:24:19 AM PST by Revolutionary ("Praise the Lord and Pass the Ammunition!")
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To: karpov

Fetterman is a GOOD candidate LOL, LOL, something is VERY NEFARIOUS with our elections and we NEED to find out what the hell is going on these bastards are stealing these right under our noses and we need to find out HOW this is being done NOW!!!


10 posted on 11/09/2022 8:24:22 AM PST by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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To: karpov

Trying to put on like the GOP RINO establishment is the only way to go while scapegoating President Trump.

Ridiculous.


11 posted on 11/09/2022 8:25:12 AM PST by jacknhoo (Luke 12:51; Think ye, that I am come to give peace on earth? I tell you, no; but separation.)
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To: ProudDeplorable

Exactly.


12 posted on 11/09/2022 8:26:07 AM PST by dragonblustar (Romans 12:12)
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To: karpov

Who would have one in Arizona? Brnovich would have probably won, but he didn’t campaign.
Who would have one in Georgia? Pennsylvania?


13 posted on 11/09/2022 8:26:18 AM PST by kaktuskid
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To: kiryandil

Nope. Play attention. Every single Republican running statewide had an easy win in Georgia yesterday except Walker. That’s a candidate problem. And maybe a “Trump candidate” problem


14 posted on 11/09/2022 8:26:24 AM PST by newzjunkey (Giant meteor 2022!!!)
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To: budj

Hammer and nail.

It never fails to disappoint.

Let’s face it, the GOP will never learn. But then, maybe that’s why we cannot field candidates who can win.


15 posted on 11/09/2022 8:26:49 AM PST by EBH
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To: Revolutionary

Bump!


16 posted on 11/09/2022 8:27:13 AM PST by Revel
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To: Trump Girl Kit Cat

Nypost.com
By Jon Levine
August 29, 2020

Confessions of a voter fraud: I was a master at fixing mail-in ballots

A top Democratic operative says voter fraud, especially with mail-in ballots, is no myth. And he knows this because he’s been doing it, on a grand scale, for decades.

Mail-in ballots have become the latest flashpoint in the 2020 elections. While President Trump and the GOP warn of widespread manipulation of the absentee vote that will swell with COVID polling restrictions, many Democrats and their media allies have dismissed such concerns as unfounded.

But the political insider, who spoke on condition of anonymity because he fears prosecution, said fraud is more the rule than the exception. His dirty work has taken him through the weeds of municipal and federal elections in Paterson, Atlantic City, Camden, Newark, Hoboken and Hudson County and his fingerprints can be found in local legislative, mayoral and congressional races across the Garden State. Some of the biggest names and highest office holders in New Jersey have benefited from his tricks, according to campaign records The Post reviewed.

“An election that is swayed by 500 votes, 1,000 votes — it can make a difference,” the tipster said. “It could be enough to flip states.”

The whisteblower — whose identity, rap sheet and long history working as a consultant to various campaigns were confirmed by The Post — says he not only changed ballots himself over the years, but led teams of fraudsters and mentored at least 20 operatives in New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania — a critical 2020 swing state.

“There is no race in New Jersey — from city council to United States Senate — that we haven’t worked on,” the tipster said. “I worked on a fire commissioner’s race in Burlington County. The smaller the race, the easier it is to do.”

A Bernie Sanders die-hard with no horse in the presidential race, he said he felt compelled to come forward in the hope that states would act now to fix the glaring security problems present in mail-in ballots.

“This is a real thing,” he said. “And there is going to be a f–king war coming November 3rd over this stuff … If they knew how the sausage was made, they could fix it.”

Mail-in voting can be complicated — tough enough that 84,000 New Yorkers had their mailed votes thrown out in the June 23 Democratic presidential primary for incorrectly filling them out.

But for political pros, they’re a piece of cake. In New Jersey, for example, it begins with a blank mail-in ballot delivered to a registered voter in a large envelope. Inside the packet is a return envelope, a “certificate of mail in voter” which the voter must sign, and the ballot itself.

That’s when the election-rigger springs into action.

The ballot has no specific security features — like a stamp or a watermark — so the insider said he would just make his own ballots.

“I just put [the ballot] through the copy machine and it comes out the same way,” the insider said.

But the return envelopes are “more secure than the ballot. You could never recreate the envelope,” he said. So they had to be collected from real voters.

He would have his operatives fan out, going house to house, convincing voters to let them mail completed ballots on their behalf as a public service. The fraudster and his minions would then take the sealed envelopes home and hold them over boiling water.

“You have to steam it to loosen the glue,” said the insider.

He then would remove the real ballot, place the counterfeit ballot inside the signed certificate, and reseal the envelope.

“Five minutes per ballot tops,” said the insider.

The insider said he took care not to stuff the fake ballots into just a few public mailboxes, but sprinkle them around town. That way he avoided the attention that foiled a sloppy voter-fraud operation in a Paterson, NJ, city council race this year, where 900 ballots were found in just three mailboxes.

“If they had spread them in all different mailboxes, nothing would have happened,” the insider said.

Inside jobs

The tipster said sometimes postal employees are in on the scam.

“You have a postman who is a rabid anti-Trump guy and he’s working in Bedminster or some Republican stronghold … He can take those [filled-out] ballots, and knowing 95% are going to a Republican, he can just throw those in the garbage.”

SEE ALSO
election stock
New election ordered in NJ race marred by voter fraud charges
In some cases, mail carriers were members of his “work crew,” and would sift ballots from the mail and hand them over to the operative.

In 2017, more than 500 mail-in ballots in New York City never arrived to the Board of Elections for races that November — leaving hundreds disenfranchised. They eventually were discovered in April 2018. “For some undetermined reason, some baskets of mail that were bound to the New York City Board of Elections were put off to the side at the Brooklyn processing facility,” city elections boss Michael Ryan said at the time of discovery.

Nursing homes

Hitting up assisted-living facilities and “helping” the elderly fill out their absentee ballots was a gold mine of votes, the insider said.

“There are nursing homes where the nurse is actually a paid operative. And they go room by room by room to these old people who still want to feel like they’re relevant,” said the whistleblower. “[They] literally fill it out for them.”

The insider pointed to former Jersey City Mayor Gerald McCann, who was sued in 2007 after a razor-thin victory for a local school board seat for allegedly tricking “incompetent … and ill” residents of nursing homes into casting ballots for him. McCann denied it, though he did admit to assisting some nursing home residents with absentee ballot applications.

Snip


17 posted on 11/09/2022 8:27:27 AM PST by Liz (Man proposes.God disposes.)
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To: Trump Girl Kit Cat

Seriously the only to prevail with fettershit was for someone to shoot last night and the gopers push lots of dough in and get a robot replacement Boz for Oz.


18 posted on 11/09/2022 8:27:29 AM PST by robowombat
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To: karpov

See, if we just remained loyal to the Bushes all would be well. That’s the message from the establishment. I bet McConnell and McCarthy are smiling today.


19 posted on 11/09/2022 8:27:31 AM PST by euram
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To: Trump20162020

And yet...Oz wasn’t a great candidate either, but against Fetterman who the Democrats made out to be some kind of hero?

Messaging here folks, messaging to the base.


20 posted on 11/09/2022 8:28:23 AM PST by EBH
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