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Poll: Republican Tiffany Smiley Takes Lead in Washington Senate Race
Breitbart ^ | 11/07/2022 | BRECCAN F. THIES

Posted on 11/07/2022 1:36:08 PM PST by ChicagoConservative27

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To: newfreep

I agree… that 0.1% “lead” for Oz will be wiped away in a single Philly precinct.


81 posted on 11/07/2022 3:30:39 PM PST by ScottinVA (Slava Ukraini!)
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To: Opinionated Blowhard

Mark Halperin just said on Newsmax that he has talked to many republicans who are clairvoyant I guess and none say Dr Oz will win the PA senate ran. So if it turns out to be true. The voters in PA have to be total complete idiots to send that lardass socialist Fetterman to the senate. He’s dumber than rocks and a walking heart-attack waiting to happen. No way a sane person could elect that idiot for dog catcher. Or, more likely, A Fetterman win means the electing was stolen by way of mail in ballots.


82 posted on 11/07/2022 3:38:37 PM PST by NKP_Vet
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To: newfreep; All

Mark Halperin just said on Newsmax that he has talked to many republicans who are clairvoyant I guess and none say Dr Oz will win the PA senate ran. So if it turns out to be true. The voters in PA have to be total complete idiots to send that lardass socialist Fetterman to the senate. He’s dumber than rocks and a walking heart-attack waiting to happen. No way a sane person could elect that idiot for dog catcher. More likely, if the moron Fetterman wins mail-in ballots will be the reason. PA is very good at cheating.


83 posted on 11/07/2022 3:41:51 PM PST by NKP_Vet
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To: cgbg

You would think the homeless and mentally I’ll would vote Republican. Homeless see the failure of economic policies and the crooked welfare system. The mentally I’ll would not vote for democrats because the voices they here probably sound like the demonic democrats. Just a thought.


84 posted on 11/07/2022 3:50:04 PM PST by wgmalabama (Censored!)
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To: wgmalabama

The Seattle homeless do not vote.

That is why their “votes” have to be manufactured at the precinct where they are registered—which is King County Courthouse.


85 posted on 11/07/2022 3:51:57 PM PST by cgbg (Claiming that laws and regs that limit “hate speech” stop freedom of speech is “hate speech”.)
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To: Tipllub

“I want to be optimistic - but so much fraud in Kings County.”

There in lies the problem. They always seem to find boxes of uncounted votes.


86 posted on 11/07/2022 4:05:34 PM PST by Parley Baer (WI)
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To: Tipllub

Dino Rossi enters the chat.


87 posted on 11/07/2022 4:43:00 PM PST by 3RIVRS
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To: Kahuna

Where did you come up wit that number? I hope you’re right!


88 posted on 11/07/2022 5:55:55 PM PST by Aria
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To: rexthecat

Your state, Washington, has an interesting law that make cheating very favorable. Specifically, if the election is within a small %age (I do not know the exact number but like .5%), then it is an automatic recount. If, after the recount, it is still within a certain %age, then it is recounted again, automatically. After the second recount the results are final and no further requests for recounts will be accepted.

Gregoire lost the election by a few thousand votes resulting in an automatic recount, with some lost ballots retrieved.

Gregoire lost the recount but was within margin requiring an automatic recount and more lost ballots retrieved. Gregoire won with no recounts possible.

very handy.


89 posted on 11/07/2022 6:00:20 PM PST by dirtymac ( Now Is The Time For All Good Men To ComeTo The Aid Of Their Country! NOW) )
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To: Ann Archy

Ha ha, I remember that, and I wanted to puke.The so called year of the woman.


90 posted on 11/07/2022 10:02:17 PM PST by Trump_Triumphant
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To: ChicagoConservative27

This is great news.

But I have a dream……

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/10/15/poll-sen-blumenthal-under-50-percent-nearly-tied-with-republican-leora-levy/


91 posted on 11/07/2022 10:04:32 PM PST by Chgogal (Welcome to Fuhrer Biden's Weaponized Fascist Banana Republic! It's the road to hell.)
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To: dirtymac

I remember it well. After Rossi won twice with a diminishing number of votes each time the Demoncrats demanded a hand recount. I don’t remember the vote total after the machine recounts but the last one was vey close. I wrote down my prediction after the last recount, Gregoire winning by 192 votes. The final tally had her winning by 129.


92 posted on 11/08/2022 4:56:41 AM PST by allblues (God is neither a Republican nor a Democrat but Satan is definitely a Democrat)
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To: HamiltonJay

Yep, same thing if Zeldin wins the Gov race in NY, it would mean lights out for the Dems everywhere.


93 posted on 11/08/2022 5:56:42 AM PST by 1Old Pro
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To: ChicagoConservative27

That would be amazing.


94 posted on 11/08/2022 9:06:15 AM PST by rdl6989 ( )
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To: Aria

“Where did you come up wit that number? I hope you’re right!”

To summarize I take the average polling number of the incumbent (in Murray’s case 46%) and assume the undecided mainly break for the challenger. Then I go back to the previous election (2016) that Murray won taking the total vote plus 10% more turnout and take a percentage (3%) to project the margin of victory for Tiffany. Now this formula works about 7 times out of 10 and it does not account for fraud. Finally if the polling data is off then toss my formula in the shitter. lol


95 posted on 11/08/2022 9:55:50 AM PST by Kahuna
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