Where did you come up wit that number? I hope you’re right!
“Where did you come up wit that number? I hope you’re right!”
To summarize I take the average polling number of the incumbent (in Murray’s case 46%) and assume the undecided mainly break for the challenger. Then I go back to the previous election (2016) that Murray won taking the total vote plus 10% more turnout and take a percentage (3%) to project the margin of victory for Tiffany. Now this formula works about 7 times out of 10 and it does not account for fraud. Finally if the polling data is off then toss my formula in the shitter. lol