As Jesse Kelly pointed out, a HUGE amount of votes were cast while McConnell’s SLF pac sat on the sidelines of this. Finally they are in, but it may be too late. The GOP ignored Jesse’s House race against Gabrielle Giffords until the final weeks, and he only “lost” by 4,000 votes, because so many votes were already cast.
If you supplant the Trafalgar internals for indys Kelly Leads by 1 overall they had Kelly ahead by 0.5 among Indys
McConnell clearly prefers that the GOP stay in the minority until the economic collapse completely unfolds - but by that time, they may be returning as “saviors” only to find nothing left to save.