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Elections 2022: What Are Early Voting Trends Telling Us?
PJ Media ^ | 10/29/2022 | Chris Queen

Posted on 10/29/2022 5:13:24 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

We conservatives have had a love-hate relationship with the polls this election season. I suppose that’s always the case, but the speculation of a red wave has made this year’s polling a bigger area of interest than in other years.

However, as the midterm elections draw ever closer, the GOP is seeing some encouraging signs from early voting data. And, while early voting numbers aren’t always the best indicator of how things will really go, the trends we’re seeing this year are encouraging.

On Friday night, I attended an event where Erick Erickson talked about the state of play after the first few weeks of early voting in some states. He had spent a good chunk of the day on the phone with experts to share trends with the eager audience, and the trends we’re seeing so far can bring conservatives some comfort.

Since he lives in Georgia and the event took place just north of Atlanta, the focus of the night’s announcements was the Peach State. The top counties in terms of turnout have been in GOP-friendly areas, which is a new phenomenon for early voting in Georgia, which Democrats tend to favor over voting on Election Day.

Erickson compared voting patterns to grocery shopping, at least in Georgia. He said that, much in the same way that shoppers buy the same items at the same stores, Democrats tend to vote early, while Republicans tend to wait until Election Day. This year, that pattern isn’t bearing out the same way.

So far, 26.7% of the early voting totals have been black voters, which is down from the typical black turnout, which usually runs above 30%. Most of the black turnout has been men, 33% of whom will vote for Herschel Walker, according to polling.

(Excerpt) Read more at pjmedia.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bloggers; earlyvoting; elections2022
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To: spintreebob

“Dems vote early, Republicans wait to Election day.”

Generally true. However, I saw a story today about Fla, Republicans have pulled ahead of Dems in early voting. I’d say that’s very, very bad news for Dems in the Sunshine State. Looks like lack of enthusiasm on the part of Dems, maybe a lot of them are going to sit this one out.


21 posted on 10/29/2022 7:48:34 PM PDT by Roadrunner383 (;)
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To: Grimmy

Early voting does 2 things:

1. Puts a lot of ballots out there that can be voted without any chain of custody, and

2). Provides cover for extending the vote as long as necessary to manufacture the winning margin.


22 posted on 10/29/2022 8:08:07 PM PDT by Tallguy
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin

My state has drop box voting. I’m waiting to deposit my completed ballot until voting day, simply to force the Thieves to have to estimate how many votes they will have to forge.


23 posted on 10/29/2022 8:33:25 PM PDT by jonascord (First rule of the Dunning-Kruger Club is that you do not know you are in the Dunning-Kruger club.)
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To: SeekAndFind

“We’ll finally be rid of Stacey Abrams,”

I won’t hold my breath. She’s like a bad penny.


24 posted on 10/29/2022 10:31:50 PM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: UNGN

I had to stop by the store where it’s taking place this year yesterday afternoon and it was a madhouse

Signs everywhere campaign workers just beyond the distance markers, etc but we do have a very contentious school board race here where there’s a substantial chance of replacing all the regulars with some hard right candidates so it’s likely creating a lot more attention


25 posted on 10/30/2022 4:28:23 AM PDT by Manuel OKelley
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To: caww

“Obama can’t even change the tide...”

cant’t even??

Obama has never been able to orchestrate an election by endorsement.


26 posted on 10/30/2022 5:17:04 AM PDT by odawg
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To: TChad
Yup, the fix is in, Republicans are so far ahead that there's no need to actually vote.

Then on the morning after the election, "Well, this is certainly a surprise!"

Just what I'd expect from a dude named chad, always looking for the bright side:(

27 posted on 10/30/2022 5:35:43 AM PDT by USS Alaska (NUKE ALL MOOSELIMB TERRORISTS, NOW.)
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To: SeekAndFind

What is it telling us?? That the Dems are going down to defeat even in Blue states!!


28 posted on 10/30/2022 6:12:27 AM PDT by Deplorable American1776 (Defund the FBI, the American Stasi..)
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To: SeekAndFind

What is it telling us?? That the Dems are going down to defeat even in Blue states!!


29 posted on 10/30/2022 6:12:27 AM PDT by Deplorable American1776 (Defund the FBI, the American Stasi..)
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To: Manuel OKelley

Our school boards all got cleaned of the CRT/Trans wokesters in earlier elections last summer. It’s likely the wokesters planned the summer election cycle this way years ago, and nobody noticed, but we are on to them, now and crushed them.


30 posted on 10/30/2022 6:20:38 AM PDT by UNGN
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To: UNGN

Interesting post—the mass media never covers low turnout.

It is the dog that does not bark or bite.


31 posted on 10/30/2022 6:26:57 AM PDT by cgbg (Claiming that laws and regs that limit “hate speech” stop freedom of speech is “hate speech”.)
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To: Roadrunner383; PJ-Comix

Some factors like long lines impact R and D relatively equally. The question is which factors make a difference, which factors make one side or the other surge.

In South FL is one side or the other doing something that gives their side the advantage?

Obviously the national and local economic story is a factor. Obviously celebrity name recognition is a factor.

Like an October football game it takes a complete game, offense, defense and special teams. A mistake, a turnover is the worst thing that can happen to one side and the best thing that can happen to the other side.

After the football game is over, the opposing sides cross the field, shake hands and the loser says “You won. We’ll get you next year.” The ref and ump make bad calls. Often the seem to favor one side over the other. That is the game. That is the American way.


32 posted on 10/30/2022 6:31:29 AM PDT by spintreebob
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To: UNGN

Good

Always glad to hear this


33 posted on 10/30/2022 6:34:47 AM PDT by Manuel OKelley
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To: jonrick46

Most in my small rural town are middle-senior voters so far. Many are retired Military.


34 posted on 10/30/2022 6:50:33 AM PDT by GailA (Constitution vs evil Treasonous political Apparatchiks, Constitutional Conservative.)
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To: SeekAndFind

A sizeable portion of liberals have no ability to connect bad societal outcomes to leftist doctrine. They are only able to connect the bad outcomes with the liberals in power.

You will never get these liberals to vote for a conservative. Your only hope is that they will be discouraged enough to stay home on election day.


35 posted on 10/30/2022 6:56:30 AM PDT by nagant
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To: Clutch Martin

She makes Mikey Moore look like Mr. Universe!! 🤣 Maybe she can go on Star Trek as an alien...


36 posted on 10/30/2022 6:57:47 AM PDT by Deplorable American1776 (Defund the FBI, the American Stasi..)
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To: nascarnation
Stacey could serve as a long term valuable agent for our side (similar to Beta O’Dork in Texas) by incinerating national campaign money that could go to winnable races elsewhere.

Yep. LMAO at the Democrats who pumped millions into the "no chance in hell" races of their two favorite celebrity candidates and are now scrambling to defend seats in Oregon, Colorado, Nevada, and Washington.

37 posted on 10/30/2022 7:15:26 AM PDT by Drew68 (Ron DeSantis for President 2024)
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To: SeekAndFind

The polls are favoring Republicans, the trend line in most of them is moving in a Republican direction, early voting is encouraging. People are monitoring drop boxes to try to prevent fraud. Things are looking red.


38 posted on 10/30/2022 8:04:03 AM PDT by TBP (Decent people cannot fathom the amoral cruelty of the Biden regime.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Turnout is high in Republican areas, and remember, Republicans usually outvote Democrats on Election Day, so if the early voting is favoring Republicans, the wave is turning into a tsunami. Things are looking red.


39 posted on 10/30/2022 8:05:30 AM PDT by TBP (Decent people cannot fathom the amoral cruelty of the Biden regime.)
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To: SeekAndFind
So far, 26.7% of the early voting totals have been black voters, which is down from the typical black turnout, which usually runs above 30%.

AND -- polls (FWIW) show an unusually high percentage of black voters voting Republican. Some polls are showing as much as 21 percent. If Republicans can get in the 20 percent range with black voters, there just aren't enough snooty elitist white folks to counter that.

40 posted on 10/30/2022 8:09:13 AM PDT by TBP (Decent people cannot fathom the amoral cruelty of the Biden regime.)
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