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Belarus wavers as Putin presses it to join Ukraine war
Seattle times ^ | 15 October 2022 | Andrew Higgins

Posted on 10/15/2022 10:03:32 PM PDT by Cronos

...eight months after Russia invaded Ukraine, Lukashenko’s Russian-enabled grip on power risks slipping as Moscow pressures him to get more involved in the faltering military campaign next door in Ukraine.

Artyom Shraibman, a Belarusian political analyst who fled to Poland after a brutal crackdown on postelection protests in 2020, cautioned that it was unclear exactly what Putin had asked of the Belarusian leader in St. Petersburg but, he added: “it is very clear that Lukashenko is not yet willing to join the war” because of the immense political risks that would bring.

Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, a Belarusian opposition leader and a 2020 presidential candidate now in exile, this week described any direct entry into the war by her country as “political suicide” for Lukashenko.

There has been a flurry of troop movement and other military activity across Belarus in recent days. But among the most conspicuous movements reported by the Belarusian Hajun project, which monitors military activity, has been the transfer by rail of Belarusian tanks and other equipment to Russia and away from territory near Ukraine, apparently to help bolster Moscow’s dwindling stock of hardware.

..Even without entering the conflict directly, however, Lukashenko is already struggling with a host of new dangers created by Putin’s invasion. These include a steady flow of opposition activists, who were previously committed to nonviolent protest, going to Ukraine to take up arms against Russia.

..“The main reason Lukashenko has survived so long is support from Putin. If Putin exhausts his resources in Ukraine he will have less left to support Lukashenko,”

(Excerpt) Read more at seattletimes.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Russia
KEYWORDS: aleksandrlukashenko; andrewhiggins; anothernytimesliar; artyomshraibman; colorrevolution; lukashenko; nytimes; nytimescorrespondent; regimechange; regimechangers; tdaw; thetimebot; timebot; ttdaw; walterdurantyaward
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"the transfer by rail of Belarusian tanks and other equipment to Russia and away from territory near Ukraine, apparently to help bolster Moscow’s dwindling stock of hardware." Clear sign that

1. Belarus ain't joining the invasion of Ukraine

2. Russian losses are far higher than Putin or his fr putinistas want to admit

1 posted on 10/15/2022 10:03:32 PM PDT by Cronos
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To: Cronos

2 posted on 10/15/2022 10:05:53 PM PDT by cranked
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To: Cronos

this will lead to the same fate as the man below


3 posted on 10/15/2022 10:08:33 PM PDT by Cronos
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To: Cronos

As of Putin’s speech yesterday:
Total unconditional surrender of Ukraine.


4 posted on 10/15/2022 10:09:32 PM PDT by cranked
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To: cranked
Kazakh Interior Minister Says 200,000 Russians Have Entered Country Since Mobilization

Kazakhstan has ignored Russia asking to prevent men escaping the draft.

in addition, Kazakhstan refused to send weapons or even sell them to Russia to make up for Russian depleted stocks.

Alarmed by the prospect of their nationals returning home with combat experience gained in Ukraine, foreign ministries in Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, and Kyrgyzstan reacted swiftly to Moscow’s offer, reminding their citizens that fighting abroad is a criminal offense.

Kazakhstan openly refused to recognize Moscow’s recent sham referendums in occupied Ukrainian territory

5 posted on 10/15/2022 10:16:20 PM PDT by Cronos
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To: cranked

Not going to happen towarisch.

Putin’s troops are losing ground daily.

tell your President Putin to withdraw from Ukraine


6 posted on 10/15/2022 10:17:40 PM PDT by Cronos
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To: Cronos

Interesting perspective:

15 Oct: FINALLY: Ukrainians MADE A BIG MOVE | War in Ukraine Explained

Oct 15, 2022
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IhjPfLad0z8


7 posted on 10/15/2022 10:27:07 PM PDT by UMCRevMom@aol.com (Pray for God's intervention to stop Putin's invasion, )
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To: UMCRevMom@aol.com

dey ,like lekvar perogies,,I like onion and cheese


8 posted on 10/15/2022 10:32:30 PM PDT by mylife (And I would have gotten away with it too, if it weren't for you meddling kids...)
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To: Cronos

‘How are you? – Everything is to the plan, we’re retreating’ – Russian soldiers’ interceptions

Oct 14, 2022
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jcSmI93dlGI


9 posted on 10/15/2022 10:34:47 PM PDT by UMCRevMom@aol.com (Pray for God's intervention to stop Putin's invasion, )
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To: mylife

https://www.thespruceeats.com/polish-prune-pierogi-filling-recipe-1136828


10 posted on 10/15/2022 10:45:06 PM PDT by kiryandil (China Joe and Paycheck Hunter - the Chink in America's defenses)
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To: mylife

I make powidła śliwkowe every year. :)


11 posted on 10/15/2022 10:46:21 PM PDT by kiryandil (China Joe and Paycheck Hunter - the Chink in America's defenses)
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To: kiryandil

Smacznego!


12 posted on 10/15/2022 10:46:45 PM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: mylife

I had NO idea there was such a thing as lekvar pierogies. Thanks!


13 posted on 10/15/2022 10:47:39 PM PDT by kiryandil (China Joe and Paycheck Hunter - the Chink in America's defenses)
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To: dfwgator; mylife
Score on a bunch of cheap Italian prune plums and pop 'em into a crock pot.

I've let it go for more than 48 hours sometimes.

Last year, I scored on a full 30 pound box of Oregon prune plums that my local fruit stand thought were too soft to sell, or were VERY over-ripe.

Turns out those are the best ones for this.

She gave me the box for free - but it was such a good score, I gave her a double sawbuck for it later.

14 posted on 10/15/2022 10:53:08 PM PDT by kiryandil (China Joe and Paycheck Hunter - the Chink in America's defenses)
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To: Cronos
True. Belarus doesn't want to join a notoriously aggressive robber state with an incompetent, losing military force.

Ukraine Situation Report: Noose Tightens Around Russian-Occupied Kherson
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-noose-tightens-around-russian-occupied-kherson

Ukraine's Armed Forces hit Russian air defence system in Kherson Oblast
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/10/16/7372144/

Ukrainian forces begin new push to free Kherson from Russian control
https://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/article267366912.html#storylink=mainstage_card

Mobilised Russian reservists arrive in Ukraine wearing civilian clothes – General Staff
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/10/15/7372121/

Russian army recruits turn guns on fellow soldiers, killing 11 and wounding 15
https://www.watoday.com.au/world/europe/russian-army-recruits-turn-guns-on-fellow-soldiers-killing-11-and-wounding-15-20221016-p5bq3o.html

Russia's Defense Ministry says 2 attackers open fire at military firing range near Ukraine, killing 11, wounding 15
https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/russias-defense-ministry-attackers-open-fire-military-firing-91554052

11 Russian Troops Slain At Shooting Range As Fighting Rages
https://www.newsy.com/stories/11-russian-troops-slain-at-shooting-range-as-fighting-rages/

At least 11 killed, 15 wounded in attack at Russia military training ground
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/least-11-killed-attack-russian-military-training-ground-ria-2022-10-15/


15 posted on 10/15/2022 11:26:08 PM PDT by familyop ("For they that sleep with dogs, shall rise with fleas" (John Webster, "The White Devil" 1612).)
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To: kiryandil

ever suxk a salted plum?


16 posted on 10/15/2022 11:32:24 PM PDT by mylife (And I would have gotten away with it too, if it weren't for you meddling kids...)
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To: Cronos

“....transfer by rail of Belarusian tanks and other equipment to Russia and away from territory near Ukraine, apparently to help bolster Moscow’s dwindling stock of hardware........”

What I have read is that Russian conscripts and raw recruits are being sent to Belarus in box cars. With the problems Russia is having in eastern Ukraine, it would make sense to try a Blitzkrieg on Kiev to try to end the war quickly before Russia looses all of eastern Ukraine. Kind of a military Hail Marry.

My hope is that the number of body bags being filled with Russian soldiers gets to be too great for the public to stomach.


17 posted on 10/15/2022 11:34:06 PM PDT by Robert357
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To: familyop; kiryandil; cranked

Family “Belarus doesn’t want to join a notoriously aggressive robber state with an incompetent, losing military force”

Kiryandil, cranked, go and ask your Kremlin contacts for a response why Belarus isn’t supporting your war in Ukraine.


18 posted on 10/15/2022 11:39:12 PM PDT by Cronos
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To: Robert357

They tried it in feb and failed.


19 posted on 10/15/2022 11:39:54 PM PDT by Cronos
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To: mylife

With plums, lekvar hood, slivovitz better.


20 posted on 10/15/2022 11:51:40 PM PDT by FreshPrince
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