Posted on 09/30/2022 5:27:04 PM PDT by 11th_VA
With the impending fall of Lyman, the stage is set for the Ukraine to conquer all of Luhansk.
wow moscow times
Well, covering the exits from that cauldron with artillery is nice, and will cause significant casualties, but it won’t prevent the entrapped Russian soldiers from escaping. They may lose a lot of vehicles, though.
Our friends of Putin will tell you this is all propaganda.
BTW - YouTube site called 1420, interviews Russians (in Russia) about their views on the ‘Special Operation’ - very insightful
—”but it won’t prevent the entrapped Russian soldiers from escaping.”
Sun Tzu said...
When you surround an army, leave an outlet free.
This does not mean that the enemy is to be allowed to escape. The object, as Tu Mu puts it, is “to make him believe that there is a road to safety, and thus prevent his fighting with the courage of despair.” Tu Mu adds pleasantly: “After that, you may crush him.”
https://suntzusaid.com/book/7/36/
Ha!
the first real “caludron””encirclement” may be at hnad!
Bargaining chips for a large prisoner exchange
The Russian war map agees with this assessment.
Russian sources in general seem even more gloomy than this article. The Russians seem to have evacuated Drobysheve for Lyman for instance. The perimeter of the Lyman pocket continues to shrink.
You can check one source against another and get a more accurate take on the situation. Attacking the source is a lazy form of denial.
Truly— something variously called “Themo.org” etc.etc.
Not Moscow... EU front group or better the see eye ehhhhhhhsowhat.
Could Russia lose? It used to be unthinkable, but now??
Could Russia lose? It used to be unthinkable, but now??
LOL
All sources agree on the situation at Lyman.
Including the Russians.
This guy is basing his take mainly on the pro-Russian updated Rybar map.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=cPA8zLjwZng
*Yawn*
Look over here, not over there.
Thinkable.
The Russians have lost a lot of both men and equipment, and professional cadre besides.
Then there is the upcoming mud and winter weather, losing supply lines, evident lack of equipment and, surprisingly, ammo, etc.
They can expect a lot of infantry replacements, but that should help only defensively until they can make up their materiel deficiencies. Indeed the Russians may now be facing the same situation the Ukrainians were in from April-July - lots of men but little equipment and firepower.
If the Russians had had these infantry replacements six months ago it may have been a different story.
So the Russians arent about to defeat Ukraine in the next six months. At best they may be able to hold their ground. That will throw the question outside the scope of the battlefield and into the field of politics and economics.
Slobber Ukraine.
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