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To: dfwgator

no, maybe they should vote on it like eastern Ukraine did. Maybe Idaho and Texas should vote on becoming autonomous.


137 posted on 09/28/2022 2:21:56 PM PDT by davidb56
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To: gleeaikin; buwaya; UMCRevMom@aol.com; ought-six; Timber Rattler; ansel12; SeekAndFind
On 27th September I said,
"It would be very easy for Russia to “withdraw” from all contested rural areas of Kherson and Mikolaiv oblasts on the north side of the river (which aren’t densely populated and would require a manufactured border to maintain), then draw a border from Vasylivka to Ternuvate in Zaporizhzhia."

Just thought it worth revisiting because several sources over the last 48 hours have suggested that the TWO highlighted parts of my theory are actually happening at this very minute.

https://www.ukrinform.net/.....state-border-in-zaporizhzhia-region.html

There's also speculation that this is because Ukraine is expected to launch attacks south from there, and the retreat from Kherson will go south of the river to repel the attack if it comes from Zaporizhzhia city.

This could explain the rapid gains on the north side but it could also mean that the Duma, having agreed in principle to the annexation, is hedging its bets on maybe partitioning the westmost two Oblasts - it can't hold the cities on the north side and it has insufficient power to attack Zaporizhzhia City.

I don't think Ukraine would accept that, but short of committing to full city destruction using aerial bombardment (HE, thermobarics, or tactical nukes) it just isn't possible for Russia to take those cities over. Maybe next spring, if they can regroup and field a far bigger assault, but can their current, worn out troops manage it over winter? Not a chance.

And, of course, there's that rapid retreat and unexpected rapid gains on the north side - Russian forces could be out and south of Kherson within a week.

138 posted on 10/04/2022 1:18:34 PM PDT by MalPearce ("You see, but you do not observe". https://www.thefabulous.co/s/2uHEJdj)
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