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The way this is written, it gives the impression that Russia started the war with a large, well-trained army. But attrition has greatly reduced this. Now, it appears, Russia is desperately trying to recruit fresh soldiers to replenish their ranks. But, these new soldiers will be untrained, and will therefore likely be killed quickly in the on-going war.

It’s not clear to me why the article doesn’t seem to recognize any similar Ukrainian losses.

Ukraine, on the other hand, still seems to retain its initial army. Now staffed with veterans, well-trained and experienced, having suffered no such comparable losses. And, Ukraine now has lots of advanced weapons from the US which their veteran soldiers can use to wipe out the new Russian recruits.

Seems like a rosy picture.

Just one of many that reported on these leaked Ukrainian documents put all over the net. This was from some time back so no telling how bad it is now for Ukraine that has western “volunteers” fighting beside them.

Unconfirmed leaked data from the Armed Forces of Ukraine General Staff:
- The AFU are only 43-48% complete;
- medical workers at the limit of their strength: the seriously wounded are transported to Europe;
- small arms and bulletproof vests are not enough;

https://twitter.com/Russ_Warrior/status/1555546218608365568

This is backed up by other reports.

And Ukraine reportedly lost up to 12k soldiers a week and a half taking an area the size of Rhode Island while Russia has taken more land recently in Southern Ukraine.

Ukraine has lost at least 50% of its regular, trained people (no doubt more since the leaks), and had no choice but to go all-in on an offensive attack.

Ukrainians aren’t the ones actually making inroads into the 1/5 of Ukraine that Russia has taken; they’re cannon fodder. So-called “volunteers” in Ukraine are responsible for Ukraine taking a paltry 1k sq miles of 120,000 sq. miles, and Democracy Now and The Guardian report Ukraine only took back 1k sq miles.

One of the big differences is that Ukrainian NCO's and Officers have been getting trained by NATO countries since 2014, and that has accelerated. So, while Russia is burning through it's comparatively small number of trained troops, and utterly lacking in NCO's, Ukraine isn't losing ground organizationally. They've surely suffered some terrible losses as well, but they're a more professional force and so are better able to integrate new recruits.

That qualitative/professional component is huge.

... like a rosy picture....
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It’s a model. It can be manipulated.
Like a pandemic model.

Like a climate model.

Like Dem polls with a +7-8D baked in.