Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

GDPNow: 3rd Quarter GDP Estimate: 0.5%
Atlanta Fed ^ | September 15, 2022 | Atlanta Federal Reserve

Posted on 09/16/2022 6:45:24 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA

3rd Qtr GDP Estimate down to 0.5%. Previous estimate 1.3% on 9/9.

(Excerpt) Read more at atlantafed.org ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bidenomics; bidensanctions; gdp; whoops
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-35 next last
GDPNow is the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s model to estimate the GDP. They update the model when economic reports are released. The first estimate of a quarter is made one month after the quarter begins when the Commerce Department releases their GDP estimate for the prior quarter. The Commerce Department releases an adjusted GDP of the prior quarter a month later. Quarterly GDP figures are estimates for the annualized GDP. That means today’s estimate is an estimate for the 3rd quarter’s estimate of the final (annual) GDP.

I estimate that most people didn’t know there were so many estimates.

1 posted on 09/16/2022 6:45:24 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: ConservativeInPA

two down quarters, 3rd quarter about flat, then at least two more down quarters says the CEO of Bank of America.


2 posted on 09/16/2022 6:46:50 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ConservativeInPA

Another White House ‘victory’ this afternoon? /s


3 posted on 09/16/2022 6:47:05 AM PDT by cranked
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ConservativeInPA

I’m actually surprised the Fed hasn’t “revised” how they calculate the GDP to keep that number well into positive territory. After all, you don’t want to alarm the peasants.


4 posted on 09/16/2022 6:48:32 AM PDT by Leaning Right (The steal is real.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ConservativeInPA

Thanks for posting, hadn’t seen this one before. I ‘estimate’ this to be in line with expectations, it has a good beat and I can dance to it so I give it 3 garden variety recession stars.


5 posted on 09/16/2022 6:56:11 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (The only way to secure your own future is to create it yourself.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Leaning Right
I’m actually surprised the Fed hasn’t “revised” how they calculate the GDP

There’s not much need for that. Government spending is part of the GDP calculation. Congress and Biden “revise” the GDP every time they spend more money. If you subtract government spending from the GDP you will have a real idea how bad the economy is. The government’s only gross product is the lies they tell and the shit they produce. The government doesn’t make anything.

6 posted on 09/16/2022 7:00:49 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA ( Scratch a leftist and you'll find a fascist )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: ConservativeInPA

What are the chances every griffting politician in d.c. has a short position on crashing stocks

After all, they are obviously finance savvy and HAD to have known all the $$$ $pent in the I.R.Act would cause a massive drop in stocks.

Ever see the movie

The Big Short

. ?

( you should watch it ,
EVERY american should watch it).


7 posted on 09/16/2022 7:02:19 AM PDT by cuz1961 (USCGR Veteran )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ConservativeInPA

Has the “inflation reduction act” kicked in?


8 posted on 09/16/2022 7:05:06 AM PDT by existentially_kuffer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ConservativeInPA

If it’s not another quarter of negative growth they’ll declare victory over inflation and happy days are here again


9 posted on 09/16/2022 7:06:13 AM PDT by newzjunkey (Giant meteor 2022!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ConservativeInPA

Whew. And I thought this was a recession.

Good thing we have such a definition.

/s


10 posted on 09/16/2022 7:09:29 AM PDT by logi_cal869 (-cynicus the "concern troll" a/o 10/03/2018 /!i!! &@$%&*(@ -)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Leaning Right

The peasants are only alarmed when the MSM raises it, and they operate on a short leash.


11 posted on 09/16/2022 7:10:23 AM PDT by logi_cal869 (-cynicus the "concern troll" a/o 10/03/2018 /!i!! &@$%&*(@ -)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: existentially_kuffer
Has the “inflation reduction act” kicked in?

Very little if any money from the IRA has been spent, if any. It’s been law for a month. Like most spending bills, spending occurs over years, not one lump sum. Only an economic mental midget would ever think that government can quickly spend the economy out of inflation. The realistic way to look at how government spending is to look at the accumulated spending going back several years. Spending exploded with the start of the ChiCom Plague, but not just with COVID relief bills.

12 posted on 09/16/2022 7:13:54 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA ( Scratch a leftist and you'll find a fascist )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: newzjunkey
Chickens insects in everybody’s pots.
13 posted on 09/16/2022 7:15:38 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA ( Scratch a leftist and you'll find a fascist )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: 1Old Pro

Oh don’t worry they will do EVERYTHING they can to try to keep this number positive, no matter what...

We’ll see... in a recession they won’t admit is a recession, so another negative quarter will be denied if they can find any single solitary way to fudge the numbers to do it.


14 posted on 09/16/2022 7:17:34 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: HamiltonJay
Oh don’t worry they will do EVERYTHING they can to try to keep this number positive, no matter what...

No doubt, 0.3% is going to be hailed as the strongest economic rebound in history.

15 posted on 09/16/2022 7:19:03 AM PDT by 1Old Pro (Lw)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: 1Old Pro

Been fun watching the GDP NOW nonsense all year...

Every quarter, it will be Positive 2 whatever first estimate.. then slowly move it down, but not too much until around 2 weeks out, and then suddenly it tends to jump to reality just at the end when they know the slight of hand crap must end for the final....

Funny thing this time is they actually JUPMED it up to 2.6 (highest all quarter, on 9/1)...


16 posted on 09/16/2022 7:21:29 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: ConservativeInPA

Depending on the “color” of the money, they would have 1-2 years to obligate, then another 3-7 on top of that to spend.

In other words the American People will be taking it in the shorts FOR A LONG TIME to come. Face it, the money is gone. Where it eventually goes nobody knows.

Straight down the DC Toilet!!!!


17 posted on 09/16/2022 7:25:09 AM PDT by OHPatriot (Si vis pacem, para bellum)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: cuz1961

“After all, they are obviously finance savvy and HAD to have known all the $$$ $pent in the I.R.Act would cause a massive drop in stocks.”

Since you know it too you should be doing the same. Why let them have all the goodies?


18 posted on 09/16/2022 7:25:11 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (The only way to secure your own future is to create it yourself.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: SaxxonWoods

Since you know it too you should be doing the same. Why let them have all the goodies?
/\

Cuz my morals and patriotism prevents me from profiting on the misfortunes of my country.


19 posted on 09/16/2022 7:30:58 AM PDT by cuz1961 (USCGR Veteran )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

Comment #20 Removed by Moderator


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-35 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson