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The Tank Is Not Obsolete, and Other Observations About the Future of Combat
War on the Rocks ^ | September 6, 2022 | Rob Lee

Posted on 09/06/2022 4:50:12 PM PDT by Zhang Fei

After six months of war in Ukraine, some observers have insisted that “we are seeing the very nature of combat change” and that tanks, along with fighter jets and warships, “are being pushed into obsolescence.”

But it is too soon to write off the tank, and we should resist jumping to other sweeping conclusions about the future of warfare based on a conflict whose lessons are not yet clear. There is still much about this war that is not known from open sources, and there is good reason to think that the conditions that marked its early phases will not necessarily be relevant to future conflicts. As a result, specific weapon systems may appear to be ineffective based on how and where they are employed, not necessarily due to their inherent shortcomings.

The available data from Ukraine, as well as the recent war in Nagorno-Karabakh, indicate that tanks are still critical in modern warfare and their vulnerabilities have been exaggerated. Russia’s heavy tank losses can be explained by employment mistakes, poor planning and preparation, insufficient infantry support, and Ukrainian artillery. The use of Javelins and other light anti-tank systems in Ukraine has not demonstrated that the tank is obsolete any more than the Sagger anti-tank guided missile did in the 1973 Yom Kippur War, as discussed by David Johnson in these pages.

Russian Missteps and Tank Losses

Russia’s initial operation prioritized speed and secrecy above all other factors. Because they expected little resistance, Russian forces made minimal attempts at executing a coherent combined-arms operation, which would have required careful coordination and planning between air, ground, and naval forces. Russian ground units simply drove toward cities, unprepared for a fight. In addition, Russian forces were given insufficient time to prepare for such a complex operation.

(Excerpt) Read more at warontherocks.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Russia
KEYWORDS: 300dollardrones; biden; military; putin; russia; thetankisobsolete; ukraine; war
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1 posted on 09/06/2022 4:50:12 PM PDT by Zhang Fei
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To: marcusmaximus; Paul R.; Bruce Campbells Chin; PIF; familyop; MercyFlush; tet68; BeauBo; TalBlack; ..

Ukraine ping

Putin’s attempt at a coup de main spearheaded by tanks was always a big gamble, but its failure hasn’t invalidated the tank’s role in the essential scissors, paper, rock dynamic of all armed formations. If Ukraine’s military was as unprepared, unmotivated and/or suborned as it was when Russia overran Crimea in 2014, Putin’s February 24 dice roll might have worked.


2 posted on 09/06/2022 4:50:49 PM PDT by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room)
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To: Zhang Fei

Can people in WV be fooled again?


3 posted on 09/06/2022 4:52:11 PM PDT by Theodore R. ( )
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To: Theodore R.

Would you want your son to serve on an aircraft carrier?


4 posted on 09/06/2022 4:57:31 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: Zhang Fei

When pentagon brass sits inside a tank in a live war zone I’ll believe they are not obsolete. Until then they seem a bit like a very heavy mobile crematorium fueled by high velocity weapons fired at you from every weapons system ever imagined to kill tanks. No thanks.


5 posted on 09/06/2022 4:58:54 PM PDT by blackdog
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To: Zhang Fei
Not all tanks are obsolete, but there are some obsolete tanks. ;)

​russia Admits It Cannot Restore the 'Swarms of Tanks' From its Warstocks
https://en.defence-ua.com/industries/russia_admits_it_cannot_restore_the_swarms_of_tanks_from_its_warstocks-4136.html

6 posted on 09/06/2022 4:59:27 PM PDT by familyop ("For they that sleep with dogs, shall rise with fleas" (John Webster, "The White Devil" 1612).)
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To: Zhang Fei

During World War II, the Soviets lost as destroyed about 45,000 T-34 medium tanks ALONE. That number does not include the thousands of self propelled howitzers, tank destroyers, KV-1 heavy tanks and various light tanks like the T-26, and BT-5, and 7. The US lost about 4,300 Sherman tanks on the Western front. Despite this carnage, it is indisputable that the tank enabled the resumption and exploitation of mobile combined arms operations on the battlefield by all of the major combatants in Europe.

Yes the modern main battle tank is very vulnerable to modern anti tank munitions. But it fulfills a role that no other AFV can provide. It is a source for direct fire medium artillery and MG fire that can conduct semi independent mobile action or combined arms operations, and is capable of staying on station continually with other ground forces in the infantry support role, all with reasonably good armor protection against most of the threats directed against it.

Despite the Ukrainians success’s against Russian armor, one of their principle demands for weapons that they are demanding the West to supply them with is up to date armored fighting vehicles, including main battle tanks. They know how valuable they are, and can be.


7 posted on 09/06/2022 5:00:06 PM PDT by DMZFrank
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To: Zhang Fei

.


8 posted on 09/06/2022 5:02:00 PM PDT by sauropod (Unbelief has nothing to say. Chanece favors the prepared mind.)
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To: Zhang Fei

I have a feeling the tanks we will have to worry about are ones rolling down the main thoroughfare of your own home town here in America. You know, something just a little less austentacious than those F-15’s Joe promised.


9 posted on 09/06/2022 5:02:01 PM PDT by blackdog
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To: blackdog

I don’t think anything’s changed much since WW2.
Patton proved you need aggressive infantry patrolling in advance of tanks.
That’s a job few modern day grunts want to take on.


10 posted on 09/06/2022 5:02:58 PM PDT by nascarnation (Let's go Brandon!)
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To: Zhang Fei

Tanks are a vital component of a combined arms offensive

Such an offensive integrates land and airborne troops, mechanized divisions, artillery, air power, naval assets and drones. The tanks need to support and be supported by the other military components

The Russians seem to be unable to integrate their various assets into a unified, coherent fighting force and are getting beat up as their unit are attacked and defeated in detail


11 posted on 09/06/2022 5:03:19 PM PDT by rdcbn1
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To: Zhang Fei

I’m not going to discuss specific advantages publicly, but our troops and equipment are far better including tanks and aircraft carriers.


12 posted on 09/06/2022 5:03:52 PM PDT by familyop ("For they that sleep with dogs, shall rise with fleas" (John Webster, "The White Devil" 1612).)
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To: DMZFrank

Can the Ukrainian forces retain 10% of those anti tank weapons should we need them back for ourselves? You know, 10% to fight off the big guy?


13 posted on 09/06/2022 5:04:40 PM PDT by blackdog
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To: Zhang Fei

The tank is crucial to modern warfare — when you can get your mass of 60 ton behemoths to the battle on time, which is certainly not the case in Ukraine.


14 posted on 09/06/2022 5:07:49 PM PDT by Fractal Trader
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To: nascarnation

Patton proved just about everything in warfare and human nature of politicians. I don’t think we retained much of that material. Shame.


15 posted on 09/06/2022 5:07:54 PM PDT by blackdog
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To: GreyFriar

ping for later read


16 posted on 09/06/2022 5:10:06 PM PDT by GreyFriar (Spearhead - 3rd Armored Division 75-78 & 83-87)
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To: blackdog

I still think Russia could have easily rolled a few hundred tanks and 50k troops through Kiev and been done with it. Russia’s army isn’t meant for limited, politically restrained combat operations.


17 posted on 09/06/2022 5:17:23 PM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (DJT24)
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To: EQAndyBuzz
Thank goodness for those supply chain problems then. For those in the know, what sort of supply, maintenance, resupply, and fuel delivery is required to support just 25 battle tanks to move 5 miles a day in an active war theater under counter-offensive attack by anti-tank weapons platforms?

That's the rub. No modern push button battles there. Pure hell for all.

18 posted on 09/06/2022 5:24:10 PM PDT by blackdog
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To: EQAndyBuzz

The Russians literally ran out of gas due to their crappy logistics. They were undermanned as well.

19 posted on 09/06/2022 5:25:30 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: Zhang Fei
FWIW this is asymmetrical warfare. Tanks were not designed to be used in they way putin is using them. He is repeating the mistakes the British made during WWI, using tanks as support unit for piecemeal attacks rather than a coordinated push.

His strategy has been bewildering considering the traditional Russian doctrine of mass artillery then a humungously overwhelming first wave of armor and infantry.

20 posted on 09/06/2022 5:26:56 PM PDT by pfflier
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