Posted on 09/02/2022 10:45:39 PM PDT by UMCRevMom@aol.com
There are signs that Russian troops have deployed tactical nuclear weapons in the temporarily occupied Crimea, said Alina Frolova, general director of the Center for defense strategies. "This is a terrible danger not only for Europe, but also for many countries," she said during a briefing. However, this information has not yet been confirmed by any Western country that has been closely monitoring the movement of Russia's nuclear weapons since their creation. Video of the day Advertisement: 0:58
OBOZREVATEL analyzed why the issue of deploying nuclear warheads in the temporarily occupied Crimea is important for the international community and why Russia is in no hurry to do it openly.
The movement of nuclear weapons in the world is governed by the Treaty on the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons (NPT). Under the Treaty, each of its nuclear-weapon states parties undertakes not to transfer or control these weapons or other nuclear explosive devices to anyone, either directly or indirectly. That is why the Armed Forces of Belarus do not have nuclear weapons, although Lukashenka scares the world about converting his Su-24 aircraft into nuclear weapons carriers. This is why American nuclear bombs and warheads deployed in Europe remain American and controlled by the United States.
The situation with Crimea is slightly different. Russia de facto and de jure considers the peninsula its territory. Ukraine and the rest of the world, with some exceptions, consider Crimea the territory of Ukraine. Therefore, the deployment of nuclear warheads on the peninsula will actually mean a violation of the NPT. And so far, even after the rapid deterioration of relations with the West, Russia is acting very cautiously on the possible deployment of tactical nuclear weapons in Crimea. The Kremlin does not allow itself to officially declare that it has turned the occupied peninsula into a nuclear zone. This does not mean that there are actually no nuclear weapons there. But publicly, Russia does not dare to violate the international treaty that binds almost all nuclear powers.
Another thing is that there are carriers of nuclear weapons in Crimea. During the 6th review conference on the review of the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe last year, the Ukrainian delegation said that Russia has deployed 39 potential Yaz carriers on the territory of the temporarily occupied Crimea – ships, submarines, aircraft, the Utes coastal stationary missile system and the Iskander-M missile system. It is not known how the situation with the number of carriers changed after the start of a full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
"What is important here: on February 27, Putin issued a decree transferring the nuclear deterrent forces to a special duty regime. This means that nuclear warheads, mainly tactical ones, must be brought to the carriers, and if a command is received, they must be installed on the carrier within six hours," says military expert Oleg Starikov.
It is not known whether nuclear warheads were brought to Crimea after Putin's decree. But if the Five Eyes intelligence service (FVEY) of Western countries does not report anything, then, most likely, there are no nuclear weapons in Crimea yet.
"Nuclear weapons are in a certain container that"issues" them. Satellites can notice this. The nuclear munition itself emits weak thermal and radioactive radiation, which means it leaves traces behind. Intelligence can determine all this. And while there are no reports from Western intelligence services, we cannot say that there are nuclear weapons in Crimea. We can only assume that they can do it. Yes, they can, " says Starikov. Nuclear projectile
Nuclear weapons cannot be stored in conventional warehouses. Such ammunition is placed on Special Missile and technical bases. In Crimea, there is a nuclear weapons storage base "Feodosia-13" (Krasnokamenka village, 30 km southwest of Feodosia). Diagram of the Feodosia-13 nuclear weapons storage base.
It was abandoned after the removal of warheads in 1996, but Ukraine suspects that Russia is working to restore it. This may indicate that the infrastructure is being prepared for the future deployment of Yaz on the peninsula. So far, this information has also not been confirmed by Western intelligence. The base in Krasnokamenka was abandoned after the removal of warheads in 1996.
The question may arise: if Russia has quarreled with the whole world, why is it obliged to comply with the NPT? Because nuclear weapons are a deterrent to the enemy. Having taken a step forward in terms of expanding the geography of deployment of its nuclear warheads, Russia will immediately call for retaliatory actions on the part of NATO. And vice versa.
"Why is Russia not very much protesting against the admission of Sweden and Finland to NATO today? Because in this matter, it is important for them that the military component of NATO does not appear on their border, the rest is secondary. And they have an argument – if NATO bases appear in Finland, Russian nuclear weapons will immediately be deployed in Kaliningrad," says Oleg Starikov.
And he adds that if Russia places nuclear weapons in Crimea, Turkey will probably want to return American nuclear bombs to the Incirlik base.
"Is it really necessary for Russia, given the geopolitical situation and normal relations with Turkey?"- asks Starikov.
Violation of the NPT will raise questions for other nuclear powers that still remain neutral in the confrontation between the Russian Federation and the West.
There is also no practical need to deploy Yaz in the temporarily occupied Crimea, since this does not give any significant gain in the approach of missiles in time.
In fact, the only reason for Russia's "nuclear Games" in Crimea is the desire to show "who is the boss in the house", and at the first opportunity to legalize the illegal seizure of Crimea.
Say hello to my little fren’!
So what if they have deployed those or have them stored in Crimea? Did you think therer are ‘rules’ of war any of them are following in Ukraine?
“”
They rubbed tea leaves together?
Rubbed a crystal ball?
Consulted with some witches, soothsayers, astrologists?
Threw bones?
Read some entrails?
Interpreted the behavior of birds?
Read some melted wax?
Practiced some sand divinations?
Had some Tarot cards read?
Filled some bowls with water and dropped some ink/or oil into it and read that?
And then “There are signs....”
Okie dokie.
Now IAEA is to keep experts permanently at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant. Perhaps, they may want to go on a field trip to Crimea as well! :)
Or, you know, maybe they want to induce uncertainty and make it a surprise if they have to use them?
Consider that Israel’s had the same policy about their nuclear arsenal for, oh, forty something years....
Jan
How is the Great Kherson Counter-Offensive going? Got any updates?
Don’t expect confirmation or negation from the CIA. They wouldn’t know.
Nope. No bias there.
It's called "assuming the sale". {smirk}
Nevertheless, that doesn't mean the basic story is not true and somehow I want it to be.
I have noticed over the last 3 weeks or so, that the media keeps using the term “temporary occupied”.
Why are they saying this? I see no way forward for Ukraine to take back Crimea with the way, things are now.
...the term “temporary occupied”
___________________________________________
To keep hope alive.
Everyone on all sides of this is just stiff-necked, stubborn and keeps doubling down with borrowed collateral and no real high cards.
Even without the global state media amplification, Ukraine has a massive propaganda operation.
“Do you know what the most dangerous threat to mankind is Mandrake? Fluoridation. That’s why I only drink distilled water and pure grain alcohol, so as not to corrupt my precious bodily fluids. Purity of essence Mandrate. There is nothing more important to mankind than to preserve our precious bodily fluids.” Sterling Hayden to Peter Sellers in Dr. Strangelove just after he sent bombers to go in and nuke Russia (Ukraine)? I feel we are living that movie right now in some ways.
To keep hope alive is right.
I remember in 2014 when Crimea “voted” to join Russia, that I was shocked it went so peacefully. No one in the media seemed to care and said it was done democratically. Must have been more concerned with overthrowing the Ukrainian government and the damage control it involved.
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