Dangerous heat predicted to hit 3 times more often in future

The Associated Press ^ | August 25, 2022 | BY SETH BORENSTEIN (D-AP)

[Oldeconomybuyer]

What’s considered officially “dangerous heat” in coming decades will likely hit much of the world at least three times more often as climate change worsens, according to a new study.

“So that’s kind of the scary thing about this,” said study author Lucas Zeppetello, a Harvard climate scientist. “That’s something where potentially billions of people are going to be exposed to extremely dangerous levels of heat very regularly. So something that’s gone from virtually never happening before will go to something that is happening every year.”

Zeppetello and colleagues used more than 1,000 computer simulations to look at the probabilities of two different levels of high heat -- heat indexes of 103 degrees (39.4 Celsius) and above 124 degrees (51 Celsius), which are dangerous and extremely dangerous thresholds according to the U.S. National Weather Service. They calculated for the years 2050 and 2100 and compared that to how often that heat happened each year across the world from 1979 to 1998.

The study found a three- to ten-fold increase in 103-degree heat in the mid-latitudes even in the unlikely best-case scenario of global warming limited to only 3.6 degrees (2 degrees Celsius) since pre-industrial times -- the less stringent of two international goals.

There’s only a 5% chance for warming to be that low and that infrequent, the study found. What’s more likely, according to the study, is that the 103-degree heat will steam the tropics “during most days of each typical year” by 2100.

[Oldeconomybuyer]

Associated Press climate and environmental coverage receives support from several private foundations. See more about AP’s climate initiative here. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

[Blueflag]

NTSA...

[dragnet2]

How much time do we have left? We must be down to 10 years or so.

[Governor Dinwiddie]

As always, God will have the last laugh. I'm rather certain that there will be global cooling event and temperatures will drop. And all those playing God now will be left speechless, stuttering, signifying.

[VTenigma]

That might turn out to be a good thing. Maybe all those fishing boats in the Bering sea might be freed.

[justme4now]

I can’t get a decent next day weather report for my area and yet They know what is going to happen in some distant future time?🥱

[Allegra]

Bull $nort.

[eyeamok]

Will this be before the Ice Age we were promised in the 70’s and 80’s or afterwards??

[butlerweave]

Oh my more fake Predictions ,LOL

[Pearfect]

A
P

ALL PROPAGANDA !!!!

[caww]

Lucas Zeppetello, a Harvard climate scientist.....LOLOLOL

[chopperk]

It’s amazing wx experts have said nothing about the Tonga Volcano that blew its top 15 Jan. 2022. Pumped over 50 billion tons of ash and vapor into the atmosphere over a 4 day period to an altitude of 126000 feet and literally shook the earth. Strongest Volcano eruption in 1200 years but very little has been reported. The Island of Tonga went up into the Troposphere.

[caww]

He looks sinister...

[caww]

Just posted two photos of this creep for consideration.

[Restless]

Hmm. Sounds like the same kinds of “experts” who told us in the 70s that we’d be in an ice age by 2000.

[Sacajaweau]

“Computer Simulations” = One of those “Input-Output” methods which result in pre-conceived results....aka...big fat guess to scare the bee jeebies out of you.

[cicero2k]

I trust them like I trust the CDC and Anthony Fauci.

[Chad C. Mulligan]

He looks like he’s picking his nose.

[Governor Dinwiddie]

One thing for certain is that extrapolating from data samples is risky as hell. The farther out you go the riskier it is. That is a fact taught in every college Numerical Analysis course. You can fit any data to curves until the cows come home, and it doesn't mean squat. Computers just make it easier to shoot yourself in the foot. Curve fitting is not science.

[Steve Van Doorn]

"How much time do we have left? We must be down to 10 years or so."

You missed the memo. We supposed to be already dead.
Which it seem what the injections are for.