Unless China nukes Taiwan, they are fully bluffing.
Folks on the internet make it seem like a cross straits invasion of Taiwan is feasible for China. That is a complete fallacy. They are many years away from being able to lift the troops, get them to Taiwan, and unload them in a manner that doesn’t result in millions of deaths…and a significant loss of their sea power.
Once again, China is full of bluster. They could hit Taiwan with a lot of missiles. But they are not invading any time soon.
I don’t agree. China could take Taiwan using missiles and air-to-ground attacks to take out air defenses, then send in plane- and ship-fulls of soldiers. It would probably be bloody but not on the level you say. Moreover, China has vastly more resources, including manpower, than Taiwan. Take a look at globalfirepower.com and use the compare functions. Its not even a close match
China would win both fast and big. Taiwan’s only hope is US intervention, or nukes. Were I Taiwan’s government, I would be furiously working on developing nuclear weapons as a deterrent, and nuclear missile carrying submarines for delivery. China’s “ego” may still drive them to attack Taiwan even in the face of nuclear weapons if the weapons are landbound. China may think of infiltrating Taiwan so that they can take out land based missile silos, but nuclear missile subs would be vastly more difficult to stop.
China is not only looking at this as a restoration of their geography, but as a way to take the chip foundries that supply most of the rest of the world. By taking these, they can cripple the entire world for years since production would need to be built and ramped up elsewhere. This is not a 1-2 year sort of project. Chip foundries are hugely expensive and time consuming to create. My guess is that China is waiting for all their stratagems to be in place before they make this move, but once they are are, they intend to rule the world.