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Democrats Favored to Win Senate for First Time as Polling Improves: 538
Newsweak ^ | 7/27/22 | Jack Dutton

Posted on 07/27/2022 12:29:00 PM PDT by Houserino

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To: Red Badger
Consider the source. Both of them...........................

Partner, u ain't lying!!!

41 posted on 07/27/2022 12:54:47 PM PDT by TheConservativeTejano (The Business of America is Business)
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To: Houserino

Abdul Al Oz should have ran as a democrat or stayed the hell out of it.


42 posted on 07/27/2022 12:55:04 PM PDT by Bullish (Rot'sa Ruck America. )
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To: Bullish

Yup. Gotta be able to sell it.


43 posted on 07/27/2022 12:55:48 PM PDT by skeeter
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To: pkajj
Where is Vance?

He's with Oz on vacation. They'll bb after Labor day.

44 posted on 07/27/2022 12:56:14 PM PDT by JonPreston
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To: Houserino

They are going to win it all!

They are doing so good they don’t even need to show up to vote! The deep state will do it for them.

Like they did in 2020


45 posted on 07/27/2022 12:56:51 PM PDT by Mr. K (No consequence of repealing obamacare is worse than obamacare itself)
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To: Red Badger

Yep.

Higher gas ⛽ prices

Higher food prices

War

Gas is still nearly double what it was under President Trump’s administration


46 posted on 07/27/2022 12:59:41 PM PDT by SaveFerris (The Lord, The Christ and The Messiah: Jesus Christ of Nazareth - http://www.BiblicalJesusChrist.Com/)
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To: Busywhiskers

🔝🔝🔝


47 posted on 07/27/2022 1:00:54 PM PDT by SaveFerris (The Lord, The Christ and The Messiah: Jesus Christ of Nazareth - http://www.BiblicalJesusChrist.Com/)
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To: dfwgator

“there aren’t really any good MAGA Senate candidates.”

What do you mean? Trump gave us Mehmet Oz and Derpal Walker! MAGA to the max.


48 posted on 07/27/2022 1:02:19 PM PDT by Wayne07
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

(Lots of voters must think starving to death is going to be fun)

There are definitely some. I work with a guy who’s basically ready for World War IV.

Or so he thinks. TDS to the max, too.


49 posted on 07/27/2022 1:02:42 PM PDT by SaveFerris (The Lord, The Christ and The Messiah: Jesus Christ of Nazareth - http://www.BiblicalJesusChrist.Com/)
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To: Houserino

538 is only just *now* figuring that Democrats will keep the Senate? Oz is toast in PA and always was (that’s -1 for the GOP) but the latest poll only has Walker losing by 3 in Georgia.

The likeliest case is that all other incumbents win too (and open seats are held), which means a 51-49 Senate with the GOP on the short end.

If any other seats flip, the reality is that it’s much more likely to be R to D than D to R. Wisconsin, North Carolina and maybe even Ohio are NOT slam dunk retentions for Republicans. Things are not 100% safe even in Utah (!) or Missouri depending on who wins that primary next week, however sanity is still likely (just not *guaranteed*) to prevail in both of those states in the end.

Aside from Georgia, Senate seats in Arizona and Nevada are the only plausible flips in the good direction; anyone thinking of adding New Hampshire, Colorado, etc. to the list can dream on. But don’t forget Alaska, where Tshibaka (R) beating Murkowski (D/RINO) — IF it happens — should effectively count as a pickup even though it isn’t.


50 posted on 07/27/2022 1:03:36 PM PDT by PermaRag (We have SO many targets, and -- for now -- the means to see they get what they deserve.)
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To: Houserino

538 is only just *now* figuring that Democrats will keep the Senate? Oz is toast in PA and always was (that’s -1 for the GOP) but the latest poll only has Walker losing by 3 in Georgia.

The likeliest case is that all other incumbents win too (and open seats are held), which means a 51-49 Senate with the GOP on the short end.

If any other seats flip, the reality is that it’s much more likely to be R to D than D to R. Wisconsin, North Carolina and maybe even Ohio are NOT slam dunk retentions for Republicans. Things are not 100% safe even in Utah (!) or Missouri depending on who wins that primary next week, however sanity is still likely (just not *guaranteed*) to prevail in both of those states in the end.

Aside from Georgia, Senate seats in Arizona and Nevada are the only plausible flips in the good direction; anyone thinking of adding New Hampshire, Colorado, etc. to the list can dream on. But don’t forget Alaska, where Tshibaka (R) beating Murkowski (D/RINO) — IF it happens — should effectively count as a pickup even though it isn’t.


51 posted on 07/27/2022 1:03:36 PM PDT by PermaRag (We have SO many targets, and -- for now -- the means to see they get what they deserve.)
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To: Repealthe17thAmendment

Don’t put a lot of stock into what Nate Silver says; after a trifecta when Obama was elected, his crystal ball has been very cloudy, tilted toward the Dems. Read what Richard Baris says about him and his utter failures in recent elections. But I do agree that Walker needs to come alive, as does Oz but Vance finally seems to have come out swinging at the phony Ryan, who has consistently voted with Biden on every issue.


52 posted on 07/27/2022 1:04:47 PM PDT by laconic
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To: Houserino

Dance Surrender Monkeys DANCE! But ask yourselves these questions: Which issue are voters going to vote for the rodents on? 10% inflation? $4.00 gas? 91% of pay to cover bills? No borders?

Abortion (75% are glad Roe was overturned)?

Hispanics running away as fast as they can?

Black support for Joey - the face of the rodent party under 60%?

18-34 year old voters have Joey at 40 points underwater?

Which is THAT ONE BIG ISSUE that will bring voters running to the rodents?

Don’t hold your breath trying to think of one because there isn’t one.

Oh maybe eclectic cars and climate change — ha ha ha not a chance.

Waking up and realizing WE are paying off Joey’s black mailers in Ukraine

This is Democrat/communist consultant bull shiite. They are trying to fool some rich dopes into hiring them because, “We can win!”

Ha ha ha go away.


53 posted on 07/27/2022 1:05:24 PM PDT by jmaroneps37 (8q1)
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To: Houserino

The next time the Republicans get a majority, one priority needs to be repealing the 17th amendment; restore the selection of US Senators to the State legislatures. It’s a step toward restoring the American form of government, and allows the states to have a more direct and influential voice in the American government.


54 posted on 07/27/2022 1:06:56 PM PDT by Bernard (“the rights of man come not from the generosity of the state but from the hand of God." JFK 1-20-61)
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To: dfwgator

Gotta have the polls showing democrats in the lead so they can steal the statewide elections again.


55 posted on 07/27/2022 1:07:34 PM PDT by Roklok
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To: fwdude

The problem is that the Republicans are defending a lot more Senate seats than the Rats are this time around, there aren’t really a lot of GOP pickups to get.


56 posted on 07/27/2022 1:08:02 PM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: 353FMG

(Don’t second-guess the American voter. Judging by the street interviews on TV, most of them have single-digit IQ levels.)

It’s astounding, sometimes.

Whatever the MSM spews, these types tend to believe it.


57 posted on 07/27/2022 1:08:56 PM PDT by SaveFerris (The Lord, The Christ and The Messiah: Jesus Christ of Nazareth - http://www.BiblicalJesusChrist.Com/)
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To: fwdude

It was always going to be close in the Senate with the number of seats we have to defend.


58 posted on 07/27/2022 1:09:15 PM PDT by nwrep
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To: Red Badger

538 is solid. Unlike Rasmussen.


59 posted on 07/27/2022 1:11:31 PM PDT by nwrep
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To: Houserino; LS

Paging LS to get his take on this......


60 posted on 07/27/2022 1:14:13 PM PDT by Reddy (BO stinks)
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