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German industry is grinding to a halt
The Spectator (UK) ^ | 4 July 2022 | Matthew Lynn

Posted on 07/05/2022 5:00:49 PM PDT by Mount Athos

On Monday, the country recorded that imports outstripped exports for more than 30 years. Its entire economy has been built around creating an industrial machine that dominates global markets. That machine is now grinding to a halt.

Exports unexpectedly fell, while imports surged as the cost of energy spiked. Until recently it was racking up surpluses of 8 or 9 per cent of GDP, or €20 billion a month, the biggest in the world.

The German economy is based on selling high-end industrial goods to the rest of the world. Unlike many other countries, it doesn’t have huge service industries to take up the slack if that goes into decline, nor does it have a major financial centre to bring in invisible earnings if the container ships start to go elsewhere. Take the big exporters out of the German economy and it is a little hard to figure out what is left.

What follows a fall in exports is a fall in those well-paid manufacturing jobs that are the backbone of the German economy.

Finally, it is going to mean a massive eurozone deficit as well. Of all the countries within the zone, Germany was the only major surplus country. The result? The currency will weaken and weaken.

In truth, the German industrial export machine was fuelled by cheap energy from Russia – and that fuel could soon run dry. For most of the post-war era, Germany has prided itself on very low inflation, a stable currency, and a huge trade surplus. Right now, it has a very Italian or Greek mix of 8 per cent inflation, a crumbling currency, and a rising trade deficit. Many other countries are used to that, but for Germans it will come as a shock.

(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Germany; News/Current Events; Russia
KEYWORDS: annalenabaerbock; annalenabareback; anotherneoconfail; bobbyhabeck; bobbyhalfwit; burnthatlignite; cutnose2spiteface; economy; energy; energyschadenfreude; europe; german; germaneconomy; germany; haha; itistolaugh; moarbicycles; neocons4biden; oafdoltz; roberthabeck; starve4ukraine; ukraineuberalles
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A German fall does big damage to Europe and the USA also.

Years ago, Merkel made a partnership deal with the Green party in Germany so that she could stay in power.

The Green party demanded in exchange that Germany shut down all of its nuclear power plants.

They had to fire up a great deal of dirty coal plants to replace that energy at first. They hoped to replace that energy with wind and solar, which was totally delusional.

Now everyone is suffering for this old German history.

Germany has turbines for its natural gas pipelines from Russia. They sent these to Canada for regular maintenance. Canada refused to send them back because of the new sanctions on Russia. This cut their natural gas supply by more than 1/3rd. Ukraine refused to service gas facilities for pipelines that went through newly captured territory. This resulted in a big cut in gas supply to Europe. With many countries struggling to fill the gap at once, the price of natural gas is skyrocketing in Europe

1 posted on 07/05/2022 5:00:49 PM PDT by Mount Athos
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To: Mount Athos

Not to worry. They’ll soon be in the dark. No one will notice.


2 posted on 07/05/2022 5:05:23 PM PDT by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
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To: Libloather

I wonder if the Environmentalists will allow them to use wood to keep warm this winter.


3 posted on 07/05/2022 5:06:37 PM PDT by laplata (They want each crisis to take the greatest toll possible.)
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To: Mount Athos
They had to fire up a great deal of dirty coal plants to replace that energy at first.

Lignite, one step above peat.

The dirtiest coal there is.

4 posted on 07/05/2022 5:08:23 PM PDT by kiryandil (China Joe and Paycheck Hunter - the Chink in America's defenses)
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To: Mount Athos

Didn’t anybody think about this and plan for it ahead of time? Or are their politicians that incompetent?


5 posted on 07/05/2022 5:13:49 PM PDT by jimwatx
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To: Mount Athos

Germany is the most significant manufacturing economy in the EU.


6 posted on 07/05/2022 5:14:07 PM PDT by bigbob (z)
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To: kiryandil

Yes they use high sulphur coal in Germany, burns much dirtier than what we use in the USA


7 posted on 07/05/2022 5:14:59 PM PDT by Mount Athos
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To: Mount Athos

I think the only course of action now is to invade France.


8 posted on 07/05/2022 5:15:29 PM PDT by bigdaddy45
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To: Mount Athos

> They sent these [turbines] to Canada for regular maintenance. Canada refused to send them back because of the new sanctions on Russia. <

Looks like Germany might have to declare war on Canada.


9 posted on 07/05/2022 5:15:39 PM PDT by Leaning Right (The steal is real.)
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To: jimwatx

I tried to explain some of it in my comment #1


10 posted on 07/05/2022 5:15:42 PM PDT by Mount Athos
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To: Mount Athos

This is what happens when you listen to Greenies or Marxists (same difference). Anyone with a brain knows this, but the adults-in-the-room allow it to happen anyway. Sucks to be them.


11 posted on 07/05/2022 5:15:58 PM PDT by rbg81
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To: Leaning Right

Looks like Germany might have to declare war on Canada.


They could try invading Russia again. It’s been a while since the Germans went full-on lemming.


12 posted on 07/05/2022 5:16:53 PM PDT by rbg81
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To: jimwatx

“incompetent?” That’s too kind. What could go wrong when they started killing off their power industry? And It’s happening here.


13 posted on 07/05/2022 5:17:01 PM PDT by OldWarBaby
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To: jimwatx

Some politicians are evil.

Some are stupid.

They really need to wear signs to identify themselves!


14 posted on 07/05/2022 5:19:15 PM PDT by cgbg (A kleptocracy--if they can keep it. Think of it as the Cantillon Effect in action.)
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To: Mount Athos

Germany runs on natural gas. The pipeline is empty, and physically can’t get refilled until winter. I will be a disaster for the citizens.


15 posted on 07/05/2022 5:19:49 PM PDT by Fido969 (45 is Superman! )
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To: Mount Athos

“On Monday, the country recorded that imports outstripped exports for more than 30 years.”

Who writes this stuff?


16 posted on 07/05/2022 5:21:02 PM PDT by 1FreeAmerican
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To: Mount Athos
With many countries struggling to fill the gap at once, the price of natural gas is skyrocketing in Europe

"August futures on the TTF trading hub in the Netherlands jumped as much as 10%, reaching $1,722 per 1,000 cubic meters or $168.80 per megawatt hour in household terms [161.5 euros]."

July 4, 2022: "Natural gas on the Dutch-based TTF trading hub at one point rose more than 10% to change hands above 160 euros a megawatt-hour for August futures. A year ago the product traded for 22.4 euros."

December 24, 2021: The price of Russian gas for European countries under long-term contracts now reaches $250-300 per 1,000 cubic meters, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said in an interview with Rossiya 24 TV channel.

"Today, the countries that receive [piped Russian natural gas] under long-term contracts, Germany, Serbia, and other countries, they receive it at around $250-300 [per 1,000 cubic meters]," he [Novak] said.

17 posted on 07/05/2022 5:21:37 PM PDT by kiryandil (China Joe and Paycheck Hunter - the Chink in America's defenses)
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To: 1FreeAmerican

whoops


18 posted on 07/05/2022 5:22:01 PM PDT by Mount Athos
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To: Mount Athos

“imports outstripped exports for more than 30 years”

What? I don’t get it. Are some words missing?


19 posted on 07/05/2022 5:22:07 PM PDT by KingLudd
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To: Mount Athos

Reminds me of when I used to have to go out on the ranch to choose which Christmas tree I wanted, then cut it down myself.
(Not to mention the cutting of the firewood, usually already dead trees, to clear the area for new trees to be planted.)


20 posted on 07/05/2022 5:22:34 PM PDT by Bikkuri (I am proud to be a PureBlood.)
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