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Even if the Fed implements 75bps, they are bluffing.

The US Treasury cannot afford to refi 1 - 3 trillion dollars per year at the rates it will take to end this inflation. That would be 10% to start...and the resulting economic cataclysm.

Bet on inflation continuing and maybe accelerating.

1 posted on 06/13/2022 2:05:21 PM PDT by Mariner
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To: Mariner

The idea batted around in the media, that inflation may be a quickly passing thing, is contrary to all history and reason.


2 posted on 06/13/2022 2:08:21 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard ( Resist the narrative)
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To: Mariner

Who is to says the printing press aren’t running at “damn the torpedoes” speed. Purposely done ……


3 posted on 06/13/2022 2:26:27 PM PDT by no-to-illegals ( The enemy has US surrounded. May God have mercy on them)
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To: Mariner

agreed. this inflation spiral will run until they get another Volcker. The interest on the debt will exceed the defense budget & may compete with SS.


4 posted on 06/13/2022 2:28:00 PM PDT by tomd2
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To: Mariner
Bet on inflation continuing and maybe accelerating.

Well that's a rosy picture. I gotta believe inflation comes down below 3% by this time next year. The alternative would be very bad news.
5 posted on 06/13/2022 2:31:24 PM PDT by JoSixChip (2020: The year of unreported truths; 2021: My main take away from this year? Trust no one.)
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To: Mariner
Interactive M-1 Chart
8 posted on 06/13/2022 2:37:59 PM PDT by DocRock
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To: Mariner

I sold my WEBS position to soon ... It balances my loses ...


9 posted on 06/13/2022 2:49:52 PM PDT by 11th_VA (I can still remember an America where dissent was the highest form of patriotism.)
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To: Mariner

If anyone can screw up a perfectly good economy it’s President Retard and his buddies 🤪

Yay - keep voting libtard for complete collapse


19 posted on 06/13/2022 3:35:10 PM PDT by NWFree (Somebody has to say it)
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To: Mariner

the current inflation is NOT primarily a function of monetary policy but a secular function of biden implementing the New Green Deal with across-the-board polices designed to destroy domestic fossil-fuel production ...

the resulting run-away energy prices are causing prices increases because energy is THE primary input into everything that makes up modern living, including resource extraction, resource refining, manufacturing, transportation, farming, fertilizer and agricultural chemicals, food preservation, medical care, communications and telecommunications, computing, internet, online commerce, construction and construction materials, clothing, and heating and cooling ...

as a consequence, trying to “fix” the above inflation by raising interest rates will not only NOT fix the current inflation, but will crash the economy ...


20 posted on 06/13/2022 3:44:45 PM PDT by catnipman (In a post-covid world, ALL "science" is now political science: stolen elections have consequences)
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To: Mariner

Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields hit their highest level since 2011 on Monday, and a key part of the yield curve inverted for the first time since April as investors braced for the prospect that the Federal Reserve’s attempts to stem soaring inflation will dent the economy.

Yields jumped after data on Friday showed that U.S. consumer prices accelerated in May as gasoline prices hit a record high and the cost of food soared, leading to the largest annual increase in nearly 40-1/2 years.

The Fed is expected to hike rates by 50 basis points when it concludes its two-day meeting on Wednesday, with traders now seeing a 75 basis point increase as having a 21% probability.

UBS strategist Rohan Khanna said hawkish European Central Bank communication alongside the inflation print “have completely shattered this idea that the Fed may not deliver 75 bps or that other central banks will move in a gradual pace.”

Investors expect that the Fed will hike interest rates higher than previously expected this cycle as it tackles stubbornly high prices pressures.

Fed funds futures traders now expect the Fed’s benchmark rate to rise to 3.97% by May, around 1 percentage point higher than was expected last month, and up from 0.83% now.

Deutsche Bank said it now sees rates peaking at 4.125% in mid-2023.

As the Fed tightens policy, nerves about an economic downturn are rising. The two-year, 10-year Treasury yield curve briefly inverted on Monday, a reliable indicator that a recession will follow in one to two years.

[price increases result from too much money chasing too few goods, thus either too much money or too few goods can cause inflation. the current inflation is NOT primarily a function of monetary policy [too much money] but a secular function of biden implementing the New Green Deal with across-the-board polices designed to destroy domestic fossil-fuel production ...

the resulting run-away energy prices are causing price increases because energy is THE primary input into everything that makes up modern living, including resource extraction, resource refining, manufacturing, transportation, farming, fertilizer and agricultural chemicals, food preservation, medical care, communications and telecommunications, computing, internet, online commerce, construction and construction materials, clothing, and heating and cooling ...

as a consequence, trying to “fix” the above inflation by raising interest rates will not only NOT fix the current inflation, but will crash the economy ...]


21 posted on 06/13/2022 3:51:08 PM PDT by catnipman (In a post-covid world, ALL "science" is now political science: stolen elections have consequences)
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To: Mariner

The US will lose its reserve currency status. When that happens, trillions of dollars come back home. Get your wheelbarrows ready.

The only question is how gradual it is. If gradual, wages might adapt somewhat. Seasoned Citizens are in for a lot of pain.

In either case, it gets worse: The end game comes. That’s when the money supply and spending is rationed with CDBCs. If you do things like post on FreeRepublic, your Fedbucks won’t work and you can’t buy food.


23 posted on 06/13/2022 4:04:26 PM PDT by ReaganGeneration2
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