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Will Midterms Be Biden's Last Hurrah?
Townhall.com ^ | May 24, 2022 | Pat Buchanan

Posted on 05/24/2022 5:40:50 AM PDT by Kaslin

For half a decade now, America's media elite have been obsessed with former President Donald Trump and the Republican Party's conversion to Trumpism.

Press and TV are daily consumed with his actions and prospects and the future of the party he captured in 2016.

Perhaps it is time to consider the prospects of President Joe Biden and the political future of his embattled presidency.

What are the odds that Biden, like Bill Clinton and Barack Obama before him, will run again in 2024, win reelection, serve out a second term and transfer his office to the 47th president on Jan. 20, 2029?

My guess: The odds of that happening are roughly the same as the odds that last-minute entry Rich Strike would win the Kentucky Derby, as he left the starting gate at Churchill Downs at 80-1.

Consider the first hurdle Biden faces on the way to renomination in 2024 -- the midterm elections five months off.

Since the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 reached record highs in January, both have seen eight weeks of wipeouts of trillions of dollars in value as we approached bear-market territory by the end of last week.

Stock portfolios, pensions and retirement benefit plans have been gutted. These massive market losses are also a lead indicator pointing to a recession right ahead, just as voters pass judgment on a Democratic Party that controls the White House and both houses of Congress.

But even before we reach recession, Americans have already been living with a Biden inflation of 8% that has lasted for months and affected all the necessities of normal life, such as groceries and gasoline.

And the worst seems yet to come.

The Federal Reserve has reversed course from its easy money days and begun to raise interest rates to squeeze the Biden inflation out of the economy. What lies ahead may remind people who were around then of Jimmy Carter's "stagflation," where interest rates hit 21% to kill an inflation that reached 13%.

As for the crisis on the southern border, it is deeper than ever. Some 234,000 migrants were caught illegally entering the U.S. in April alone, with thousands of others evading any contact with U.S. authorities.

This is an invasion rate of some 3 million illegal migrants a year.

Shootings, killings, carjackings, criminal assaults, and smash-and-grab robberies in record numbers are the subject of our nightly news.

And the latest national polls suggest the country is holding Biden responsible. The president's approval rating is down to 39%, and only 1 in 3 Americans think he is doing a good job handling the economy and that the nation is headed in the right direction.

Now the omicron variant of COVID-19 is making a comeback; infections are again over 100,000 a day.

Biden might find consolation from how his predecessors overcame midterm defeats. Clinton in 1994 lost 54 House seats and won reelection easily in 1996. Obama lost 63 House seats in 2010 to come back and win handily over Mitt Romney in 2012.

Why cannot Biden ride out the anticipated storm in this year's midterms and come back to win election in 2024, as did Clinton and Obama?

Age has something to do with it. Clinton was 50 in his reelection year 1996. Obama was 51 in his reelection year 2012. And both were at the peak of their political powers.

Biden, on election day 2024, will be two weeks shy of his 82nd birthday. Should he serve out a second term, he would not leave the White House until he had turned 86. Biden has been America's oldest president since the day he took office.

Alexander Hamilton in the Federalist Papers wrote of "energy in the executive" as being an indispensable attribute of good government.

Does Biden, with his shuffling gait, regular gaffes, and physical and cognitive decline manifest that attribute of which Hamilton wrote?

The likely scenario for Biden?

His party sustains a crushing defeat in November comparable to what Clinton and Obama suffered. But the party does not immediately rally around Biden as present and future leader, as it did with Clinton and Obama. Critics inside the Democratic coalition begin to blame Biden for the loss.

Ambitious Democrats, sensing disaster if Biden tops the ticket in 2024, begin to call for him to stand down and give way to a younger candidate, a new face, in 2024.

One or two progressives declare for president, and the pressure builds on Biden to avoid a personal and political humiliation in the 2024 primaries by standing down, as Harry Truman did in 1952 and Lyndon Johnson did in 1968.

By early 2023, Biden will have adopted the line that dealing with the challenge of China and Russia and, at the same time, coping with recession and inflation require his full attention. And these preclude a national political campaign for reelection.

And then resident Joe Biden announces he will not run again.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: biden4neocons; biden4nobabyformula; bidenflation; bidensanctions; bidenswar; bloggers; buckfuchanan; fakeconservative; residentbiden
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To: Article10

No. Their help is not needed if any form of mailin voting or ballot harvesting are permitted. They would, tho, side with the confirmed party in control in order to be in the group permitted to live.


21 posted on 05/24/2022 6:12:27 AM PDT by bobbo666 (Baizuo)
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To: Kaslin

No, the President is now functioning absent legislative input.

The government at present is a battle between Executive Orders and the courts.


22 posted on 05/24/2022 6:14:50 AM PDT by bert ( (KWE. NP. N.C. +12) Promoting Afro Heritage diversity will destroy the democrats)
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To: Neverlift
The odds of Biden being alive or not institutionalized by 2024?

Soros will encourage the Veep to assist Joe's retirement


23 posted on 05/24/2022 6:18:56 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (Fauci is a despicable little turd)
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To: JesusIsLord

What you have illuminated, is exactly why the 17th Amendment needs to be repealed..

With the checks and balances removed from the Senate, it’s foisted a corrupted Judiciary on America.

Our Founding Father’s were not stupid


24 posted on 05/24/2022 6:28:17 AM PDT by Article10 (Roger That)
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To: Kaslin

Why would the midterms slow him down? He’s not legislating the country’s downfall. As bad as Congress is, the downfall is flowing through the Executive branch. Elections? He didn’t win last time. He had as many fake votes as he has fake Twitter followers. Unless the GOP is going to impeach and remove the lot of them, the midterms won’t change much. The Left (which is basically the media and a handful of grievance groups) will just scream “Trump” and “Fox News” and “Putin” and continue to stoke their narratives.


25 posted on 05/24/2022 6:31:21 AM PDT by cdcdawg (Black Ukrainian Coronavirus Vaccine Abortions Matter. It’s called democracy, folks. It’s who we are.)
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To: euram

I don’t know if the country can last another 2 1/2 years of this onslaught.

****************

Irreparable damage has already been done and there is no political will to do what is necessary to reverse the effects. It would require extraordinary leadership and draconian measures. The pathetic Republicans certainly won’t do it.

Its not just Biden, its the combo of he and Obama that have inflicted indelible damage on this once great nation.


26 posted on 05/24/2022 6:35:29 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: Obadiah

The dims and rinos act like they fear no elections, probably because they already know the outcome.


27 posted on 05/24/2022 6:37:17 AM PDT by krug
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To: Kaslin
Press and TV are daily consumed with [Trump's] actions and prospects and the future of the party he captured in 2016.

**************

Trump did not capture the party. He captured the votes of the people. The people and the party are two totally different things. The GOP fears and despises Trump and never accepted him as the peoples' choice for president.

28 posted on 05/24/2022 6:39:08 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: Starboard

Republicans will take over both houses of congress and save 2024 for the democrats. It won’t have to be Biden, certainly not Harris.

Notice how the GOP electeds don’t attack Kamala enough despite her not having the brains of even a Dan Quayle. Afraid of being called racists? They’ll have 2 years to straighten out the economy. They’ll do it and refuse to take enough credit.


29 posted on 05/24/2022 6:42:32 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: Kaslin

You have to factor in that elections are now systemically rigged to favor Ds in major cities across the USA.


30 posted on 05/24/2022 6:46:30 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: Starboard
Trump did not capture the party.

I agree but the jury is still out.

31 posted on 05/24/2022 6:48:48 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

The GOP will reinstate full frontal globalism, Chinese butt kissing, offshoring, no tariffs - in other words and go back to managing the “slow decline” of the USA and enriching themselves and their donors.


32 posted on 05/24/2022 6:51:51 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: Kaslin
The RINO-controlled state legislatures who turned a blind eye to the Steal will be overseeing the Mid-Terms, even if the ones who must face a primary this year get defeated.

Mastriano in PA will get no support from the RINO legislatures who hate him. In fact, I fully expect them to again turn a blind eye to Democrat cheating. In McCormick's unresolved primary against Oz, McCormick is asking a court to accept mail-in ballots without any date on them. So the Mitch-endorsed RINO wants to use Democrat cheat methods to win. So does McCormick think that if he wins this challenge, that won't be a green light for Dems in the Mid-Terms to once again have a boat load of mail-ins with no date on them to put them over the edge? This is madness.

Does anyone really believe if Raffensperger loses his primary, that he will make sure the Mid-Term is not stolen from Jody Hice? Ditto for Kemp. These RINO-traitors are petulant children and would rather a Democrat win than see a MAGA candidate who defeated them in the primary get elected.

If Kari Lake wins her primary for AZ governor, again I expect the RINOs in the legislature to turn a blind eye to Democrat cheating. They can then smugly say that MAGA can't win general elections and the GOP needs to become more 'moderate.'

The greatest threat to our republic is NOT Democrats. It is RINO traitors. They are the enemy within. If MAGA candidates can survive the Mid-Term cheating and replace the RINOs in the state legislatures, then that will be the most important first step to getting our country back

33 posted on 05/24/2022 6:53:23 AM PDT by HandBasketHell
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To: Kaslin

Gee....I missed his FIRST hurrah!


34 posted on 05/24/2022 6:54:52 AM PDT by SMARTY (“Liberalism is totalitarianism with a human face.” Thomas Sowell)
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To: HandBasketHell

Kemp is as POS establishment hack. What the hell is wrong with Georgia?


35 posted on 05/24/2022 6:56:16 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: JesusIsLord

We have a remedy.
It is written in the constitution.
The house has control over the judiciary.
The house can impeach judges at will.
The democommies and republiCAN’Ts refuse to do their constitutional duties and remove the activist judges.

This is why we need a clean sweep, and must remove ALL of the bush league chamber of commerce worshiping republiCAN’Ts from office.
At all costs


36 posted on 05/24/2022 6:56:54 AM PDT by joe fonebone (And the people said NO! The End)
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To: Kaslin

The WHO will shut America down by declaring a ‘pandemic’.


37 posted on 05/24/2022 6:59:25 AM PDT by dljordan
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To: Kaslin

If the same system is in place that gave biden 81 million votes, what will prevent the democrats from using the system to steal more elections, in order to stay in power, to keep themselves from being investigated and prosecuted, and to continue their plan to fundamentally destroy the country?


38 posted on 05/24/2022 7:02:00 AM PDT by robel
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To: central_va

I accept that possibility but he is anathema to the RINOs in who constitute the bulk of the party. There are obvious RINOs, there are less visible RINOs, and there are future RINOs in the making that just haven’t been bought out by the party yet.

Trust me, there are a LOT of RINOs in the GOP. We usually only see the tip of the iceberg.

Trump is just too much of a threat to the real interests of the party. The GOP will never embrace him IMO.


39 posted on 05/24/2022 7:04:29 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: Starboard
RINOs in who constitute the bulk of the party.

BS. The LEADERSDHIP of the GOP is RINO. The rank and file are working class stiffs that LOVE Trump. If the RINOs take back control I will sabotage, in my own small way, the GOP. We can't let that happen.

40 posted on 05/24/2022 7:09:46 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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