So now we know that politico’s 50K vote outstanding claim was wrong too.
See your post of 11:38pm when the GOP had 1.174 million. By this morning 143k more votes were added.
Republicans 1,317,712 votes. Estimated 94% in.
DDHQ Updated 5/18/2022, 6:36:43 AM
The Democrats are still behind the GOP at 1,173,189 votes. Estimated 91% in.
DDHQ Updated 5/18/2022, 6:39:16 AM
Can you finally admit politico was wrong and DDHQ and NBC were right?
Dave McCormick 382,282 31.2%
Mehmet Oz 380,809 31.1%
Kathy Barnette 302,898 24.7%
Total votes for the three candidates: 1,065,989
This morning:
Mehmet Oz 411,872 31.3%
Dave McCormick 409,308 31.1%
Kathy Barnette 325,835 24.8%
Total votes for the three candidates: 1,147,015
Difference: 81,026
Last night NBC estimated 168,000 votes were remaining. Politico 3%, about 30K (my rough calculation of 3% of the total vote received.)
Currently, Politico states that 95% of the expected vote is in. NBC now estimates that 94% of the expected vote is in with no actual figures provided, a change from what they were doing last night. Essentially, both Politico and NBC now agree on the estimate of the expected vote remaining.
Can you finally admit politico was wrong and DDHQ and NBC were right?
No, these are estimates that change during the evening. IMO Politico did a better job of estimating the expected vote. There is no wrong or right, just better prognostications. Here is what NBC has on its page explaining its methodology.
NBC News isn’t showing a breakdown by type of vote in Pennsylvania. Some states and some individual counties provide results broken down by the type of ballot cast, which can include Election Day votes, or those cast early, either in person or by mail. That information isn’t widely available in Pennsylvania.
The expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information on the number of votes cast early as well as information provided to our vote reporters on Election Day from county election officials.The figure can change as NBC News gathers new information.