THE UKRAINIAN ARMY HAS BEEN DEFEATED. WHAT’S LEFT IS MOP-UP

A Son of the New American Revolution ^ | 22 Mar22 | Larry Johnson

[delta7]

Question 1– Can you explain to me why you think Russia is winning the war in Ukraine?

Larry C. Johnson– Within the first 24 hours of the Russian military operation in Ukraine, all Ukrainian Ground Radar Intercept capabilities were wiped out. Without those radars, the Ukrainian Air Force lost its ability to do air to air intercept. In the intervening three weeks, Russia has established a de facto No Fly Zone over Ukraine. While still vulnerable to shoulder fired Surface to Air Missiles supplied by the U.S. and NATO to the Ukrainians, there is no evidence that Russia has had to curtail Combat Air Operations.

Russia’s arrival in Kiev within three days of the invasion also caught my attention. I recalled that the Nazi’s in Operation Barbarossa took seven weeks to reach Kiev and the required 7 more weeks to subdue the city. The Nazis had the advantage of not pulling punches to avoid civilian casualties and were eager to destroy critical infrastructure. Yet many so-called American military experts claimed that Russia was bogged down. When a 24 mile (or 40 mile, depends on the news source) was positioned north of Kiev for more than a week, it was clear that Ukraine’s ability to launch significant military operations had been eliminated. If their artillery was intact, then that column was easy pickings for massive destruction. That did not happen. Alternatively, if the Ukrainian’s had a viable fixed wing or rotary wing capability they should have destroyed that column from the air. That did not happen. Or, if they had a viable cruise missile capability they should have rained down hell on the supposedly stalled Russian column. That did not happen. The Ukrainians did not even mount a significant infantry ambush of the column with their newly supplied U.S. Javelins.

The scale and scope of the Russian attack is remarkable. They captured territory in three weeks that is larger than the land mass of the United Kingdom. They then proceeded to carry out targeted attacks on key cities and military installations. We have not seen a single instance of a Ukrainian regiment or brigade size unit attacking and defeating a comparable Russian unit. Instead, the Russians have split the Ukrainian Army into fragments and cut their lines of communication. The Russians are consolidating their control of Mariupol and have secured all approaches on the Black Sea. Ukraine is now cut off in the South and the North.

I would note that the U.S. had a tougher time capturing this much territory in Iraq in 2003 while fighting against a far inferior, less capable military force. If anything, this Russian operation should scare the hell out of U.S. military and political leaders.

The really big news came this week with the Russian missile strikes on what are de facto NATO bases in Yavoriv and Zhytomyr. NATO conducted cyber security training at Zhytomyr in September 2018 and described Ukraine as a “NATO partner.” Zhytomyr was destroyed with hypersonic missiles on Saturday. Yavoriv suffered a similar fate last Sunday. It was the primary training and logistics center that NATO and EUCOM used to supply fighters and weapons to Ukraine. A large number of the military and civilian personnel at that base became casualties.

Not only is Russia striking and destroying bases used by NATO regularly since 2015, but there was no air raid warning and there was no shutdown of the attacking missiles.

Question 2– Why is the media trying to convince the Ukrainian people that they can prevail in their war against Russia? If what you say is correct, then all the civilians that are being sent to fight the Russian army, are dying in a war they can’t win. I don’t understand why the media would want to mislead people on something so serious. What are your thoughts on the matter?

Larry C. Johnson– This is a combination of ignorance and laziness. Rather than do real reporting, the vast majority of the media (print and electronic) as well as Big Tech are supporting a massive propaganda campaign. I remember when George W. Bush was Hitler. I remember when Donald Trump was Hitler. And now we have a new Hitler, Vladimir Putin. This is a tired, failed playbook. Anyone who dares to raise legitimate questions about is immediately tarred as a Putin puppet or a Russia stooge. When you cannot argue facts the only recourse is name calling.

Question 3– Last week, Colonel Douglas MacGregor was a guest on the Tucker Carlson Show. His views on the war are strikingly similar to your own. Here’s what he said in the interview:

“The war is really over for the Ukrainians. They have been ground into bits, there is no question about that despite what we hear from our mainstream media. So, the real question for us at this stage is, Tucker, are we going to live with the Russian people and their government or we going to continue to pursue this sort of regime change dressed up as a Ukrainian war? Are we going to stop using Ukraine as a battering ram against Moscow, which is effectively what we’ve done.” (Tucker Carlson– MacGregor Interview) Do you agree with MacGregor that the real purpose of goading Russia into a war in Ukraine was “regime change”?

Second, do you agree that Ukraine is being used as a staging ground for the US to carry out a proxy-war on Russia?

Larry C. Johnson– Doug is great analyst but I disagree with him—I don’t think there is anyone in the Biden Administration that is smart enough to think and plan in those strategic terms. In my view the last 7 years have been the inertia of the NATO status quo. What I mean by that is that NATO and Washington, believed they could continue to creep east on Russia’s borders without provoking a reaction. NATO and EUCOM regularly carried out exercises—including providing “offensive” training—and supplied equipment. I believe reports in the United States that the CIA was providing paramilitary training to Ukrainian units operating in the Donbass are credible. But I have trouble believing that after our debacles in Iraq and Afghanistan, we suddenly have Sun Tzu level strategists pulling the strings in Washington.

There is an air of desperation in Washington. Besides trying ban all things Russian, the Biden Administration is trying to bully China, India and Saudi Arabia. I do not see any of those countries falling into line. I believe the Biden crew made a fatal mistake by trying to demonize all things and all people Russian. If anything, this is uniting the Russian people behind Putin and they are ready to dig in for a long struggle.

I am shocked at the miscalculation in thinking economic sanctions on Russia would bring them to their knees. The opposite is true. Russia is self-sufficient and is not dependent on imports. Its exports are critical to the economic well-being of the West. If they withhold wheat, potash, gas, oil, palladium, finished nickel and other key minerals from the West, the European and U.S. economies will be savaged. And this attempt to coerce Russia with sanctions has now made it very likely that the U.S. dollar’s role as the international reserve currency will show up in the dustbin of history.

Question 4– Ever since he delivered his famous speech in Munich in 2007, Putin has been complaining about the “architecture of global security”. In Ukraine we can see how these nagging security issues can evolve into a full-blown war. As you know, in December Putin made a number of demands related to Russian security, but the Biden administration shrugged them off and never responded. Putin wanted written assurances that NATO expansion would not include Ukraine (membership) and that nuclear missile systems would not be deployed to Romania or Poland. Do you think Putin’s demands are unreasonable?

Larry C. Johnson– I think Putin’s demands are quite reasonable. The problem is that 99% of Americans have no idea of the kind of military provocation that NATO and the U.S. have carried out over the last 7 years. The public was always told the military exercises were “defensive.” That simply is not true. Now we have news that DTRA was funding biolabs in Ukraine. I guess Putin could agree to allow U.S. nuclear missile systems in Poland and Romania if Biden agrees to allow comparable Russian systems to be deployed in Cuba, Venezuela and Mexico. When we look at it in those terms we can begin to understand that Putin’s demands are not crazy nor unreasonable.

Question 5– Russian media reports that Russian “high precision, air-launched” missiles struck a facility in west Ukraine “killing more than 100 local troops and foreign mercenaries.” Apparently, the Special Operations training center was located near the town of Ovruch which is just 15 miles from the Polish border. What can you tell us about this incident? Was Russia trying to send a message to NATO?

Larry C. Johnson– Short answer—YES! Russian military strikes in Western Ukraine during the past week have shocked and alarmed NATO officials. The first blow came on Sunday, March 13 at Yavoriv, Ukraine. Russia hit the base with several missiles, some reportedly hypersonic. Over 200 personnel were killed, which included American and British military and intelligence personnel, and hundreds more wounded. Many suffered catastrophic wounds, such as amputations, and are in hospital. Yet, NATO and the western media have shown little interest in reporting on this disaster.

Yavoriv was an important forward base for NATO (see here). Until February (prior to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine), the U.S. 7th Army Training Command was operating from Yavoriv as late as mid-February. Russia has not stopped there. ASB Military news reports Russia hit another site, Delyatyn, which is 60 miles southeast of Yavoriv (on Thursday I believe). Yesterday, Russia hit Zytomyr, another site where NATO previously had a presence. Putin has sent a very clear message—NATO forces in Ukraine will be viewed and treated as combatants. Period.

Question 6– Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has been lionized in the western media as a “wartime leader” and a modern-day “Winston Churchill”. What the media fails to tell its readers is that Zelensky has taken a number of steps to strengthen his grip on power while damaging fragile democratic institutions in Ukraine. For example, Zelensky has “banned eleven opposition-owned news organizations” and tried to bar the head of Ukraine’s largest opposition party, Viktor Medvedchuk, from running for office on a bogus “terrorist financing” charge. This is not the behavior of a leader that is seriously committed to democracy.

What’s your take on Zelensky? Is he really the “patriotic leader” the media makes him out to be?

Larry C. Johnson– Zelensky is a comedian and an actor. Not a very good one at that in my view. The West is cynically using the fact he is Jewish as a diversion from the size-able contingent of Neo-Nazis (and I mean genuine Nazis who still celebrate the Ukrainian Waffen SS unit’s accomplishments while fighting with the Nazis in WW II). The facts are clear—he is banning opposition political parties and shutting down opposition media. I guess that is the new definition of “democracy.”

Question 7– How does this end? There’s an excellent post at the Moon of Alabama site titled “What Will Be The Geographic End State Of The War In Ukraine“. The author of the post, Bernard, seems to think that Ukraine will eventually be partitioned along the Dnieper River “and south along the coast that holds a majority ethnic Russian population.” He also says this:

“This would eliminate Ukrainian access to the Black Sea and create a land bridge towards the Moldavian breakaway Transnistria which is under Russian protection. The rest of the Ukraine would be a land confined, mostly agricultural state, disarmed and too poor to be build up to a new threat to Russia anytime soon. Politically it would be dominated by fascists from Galicia which would then become a major problem for the European Union.” What do you think? Will Putin impose his own territorial settlement on Ukraine in order to reinforce Russian security and bring the hostilities to an end or is a different scenario more likely?

Larry C. Johnson– I agree with Moon. Putin’s primary objective is to secure Russia from foreign threats and effect a divorce with the West. Russia has the physical resources to be an independent sovereign and is in the process of making that vision come true.

[higgmeister]

Sigh.   I don't believe you.   You accuse a Marine of not knowing English.   It's you that is suspect.

[caww]

I did a lot of work on FR during Maidan I’m very much aware of the Nazi units now included in Ukraines army, as wellas the Azov group of “monsters”.....based in Mariupol....have been watching videos of DPR and Russia concentrating on them there....even the citizens are pointing to the Russian troops where those creeps are since they were using citizens as human shileds.

Yes the news about it is very lean for these nazi killers - who have their own agenda for Ukraine. They see this war as a means to impliment that agenda but of course they’re going to fail.

But I know perfectly well they’re they even saw them taken as hostages - BTW DPR had 67 Ukrainian fighters surrender just outside of Kiev. Showed the video of them lined up in a big truch bed...they know what they’re up against. Many were officers and NCO’s apparently.

[caww]

This guy has some interesting fighting videos etc of both sides

https://twitter.com/PrateekRoutray

[A strike]

So you’re into the Two Minute hate, no /s

[Long Jon No Silver]

Thanx. Just wish the media could be impartial. Is that too much to ask. I knew years ago when I first started see news readers give editorial comment whilst reading the news it was going to be a descent into this kind of reporting. I don’t editorialising on the conservative side of news either ( what’s left of it). Just want the best attainable info about such and such and determine what I think about something

[higgmeister]

That is what I thought too, when I read that, but I didn't have the gravitas to reply.   I was just six years in the AFCC.

[BeadCounter]

Larry Johnson must be a fan of Vlad, the Kremlin Pedophile, this is real troll bait garbage. Last time I see losing 15,000 if not 45,000 soldiers was considered a victory.

[buwaya]

A. I am not American. I’m Spanish.
B. The people there all use km. It’s not the US or UK.

[buwaya]

When Trump was imposing sanctions on China I bet you were for it.

[higgmeister]

After all, we know the Russkies talk big but lack know-how, and our military guys have good old Yankee ingenuity (at least they did before Obama).

Lack know-how is not it at all.   Their problem is poor or improper delegation of authority.   At least in the Soviet Union, they lead from the top down.   A Russian didn't do anything without orders from his superior all the way to the top.   The Russian Soldier lived in fear of acting independently and getting blamed for the consequences.

An American is given an objective and is expected to do whatever it takes to achieve it.   Even our NCOs are expected to use their God given ability to reason.

I see nothing different with the Russian soldier nowadays.   They are hamstrung by indecision.

[Jimmy Valentine]

My wife step daughter and daughter in law escaped to Liviv and then Budapest. They are lucky to be alive. Russias indiscriminate bombing has killed many citizens.
If Russia has won, why aren’t their tanks parked on the Maidan in Kiev?

[DoughtyOne]

I’m not happy about our leadership either.

[BeadCounter]

Russia is not seeing advisors flee let alone, a number of top generals dead?

Oh, but we are to trust the side of Red Communist China which is Russia.

[DoughtyOne]

It’s really hard to know much of anything for sure.

I couldn’t agree or disagree with what you have said there.

[wardaddy]

Most of Ukraine still has water electricity and gas.

Quite unlike our approach to Iraq and Afghanistan

A key piece of the Russian approach lost on quite a few here who claim Russia should have won in 24-48 hours

People here should study Grozny and how Russia attacked after failing with measured war

They haven’t done that in the Ukraine yet for a reason...they are under the glare nor do they want a ruined Ukraine ...I’m guessing

Many here see this as weakness or even defeat

I always point to Steve Harrigans report....ignored by the media tech machine ....weeks ago he said pointedly that Ukraine army is flattened ...its over ..that Putin is waiting for Zelensky to fall or accept terms ...terms he’s been insistent about for years

Nearly everything we hear is propaganda

This guy may be wrong but his opinions correlate with what we can see about where Russians are on the map and he’s right

Those convoys are sitting pretty now ever since a few days after the invasion largely unmolested

Uke army is ensconced among civilians not very viable ....not an uncommon tactic when on the ropes

And he’s western media is pushing the Ukes to go to the end ....easy for them to say

I mean the lies are just basically a tidal wave ...it’s rare to see a contradictory article like this one outside of Bannon or Tucker

And it’s not just neocons and their twin sisters the hard left

It’s also even some paleos like Paul Gottfried at Chronicles who I admire quite a lot....other paleos ..Taki....he apes Tucker .....Vdare...Sailor ...I
Brimlowe I haven’t looked ...but I will
I thing I can promise you is no matter how it ends and it will end with Ukraine signing off

Cold Warriors and neocons here wil still proclaim victory and link sites normally they claim to detest to back up their assertions

Meanwhile....our nation continues to erode ....this diversion is truly perfect for the deep state uniparty

The author brought up rightly we are about to add a woman of color to the Supreme Court who refused to define what is a woman , teaches white children to hate themselves and their birthright ....and has mercy for actual pedophies as victims too

She makes Kagan and Ginsburg look like Roberts ...moderate

All this over Putins mini me Zelensky as Winston Churchill and Ukraine as a democracy which is again as usual ....a damn lie

There is a wonderful book called https://www.amazon.com/Disease-Public-Mind-Understanding-Fought/dp/0306822954

Describes the abolitionist fanaticism and southern fears and how common sense vanished leading to cataclysm

That’s precisely what’s going on here

I live in franklin tn ....near there anyhow ....it’s a bucolic horsey burb south of Nashville

I drove into Nashville yesterday....the two most hard left areas are arguably

Sylvan Park

East Nashville ....nauseatingly progressive

Belmont area

All those areas have BLM and homosexual banners everywhere and other leftist hamfisted platitudes

Now there are Ukraine flags everywhere

If that doesn’t tell the average freeper the time of the day then like I just said

We are reliving the Disease In The Public Mind again

[momincombatboots]

Neither will soros and obama. Bookmarking.
Biden called for a new world order and only china and Russia stand in the way.
It appears to me, their 2014 puppet deep state zelensky is willing to sacrifice his deplorables for Russian regime change.
Their photos and videos all scream PLO tactic. People nedd to wake up to reality. Thanks for posting.

[jacknhoo]

Larry C. Johnson– Zelensky is a comedian and an actor. Not a very good one at that in my view. The West is cynically using the fact he is Jewish as a diversion from the size-able contingent of Neo-Nazis (and I mean genuine Nazis who still celebrate the Ukrainian Waffen SS unit’s accomplishments while fighting with the Nazis in WW II). The facts are clear—he is banning opposition political parties and shutting down opposition media. I guess that is the new definition of “democracy.”

________________

When the 8 year olds call people who don’t succumb to propaganda Putin Puffers, take solace in the fact you are able to think for yourself and understand attempts to use slogans of intimidation will always be fruitless against the thinking man.

[Apparatchik]

I suppose this is the only way Putin can end this debacle and save face - lie his a$$ off about winning the war. Johnson is trying to help him here.

[jacknhoo]

“Russias army sucks.“

_________________

The Nazis’ army sucks much more, obviously.

[jacknhoo]

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