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To: John W

The rats got away with removing gas and food from the calculation for the first time in history. The real number is over 15%. MSM at its finest.


6 posted on 03/15/2022 7:02:52 AM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: gibsonguy
Higher than that.

I would argue 20%.

The government just lies:
https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/inflation/gasoline-inflation-in-the-united-states/

They (the US government) are very creative with numbers.

The numbers ALWAYS direct us to where some policy maker wants us to go.

We don't ask the question and then use the numbers to figure out a logical heading/solution. Rather, we already have a solution in hand and then use the numbers to justify it.

(intentional errors applied to get the desired results)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas_sharpshooter_fallacy What we do is find that data which fits our narrative or already decided upon decision. It's also what helped bring us into the Iraq war in 2003: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Curveball_(informant)

The second most common mistake is mixing correlation with causality. Something can be correlated but that does not mean you have causality: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correlation_does_not_imply_causation#:~:text=The%20idea%20that%20%22correlation%20implies,therefore%20because%20of%20this‘). That's what they do a lot with all this climate nonsense.

High inflation is bad, so the government will jiggle the definitions around, add or delete to their “basket of goods” that are used to calculate inflation until they get a more favorable number.

They do the same thing with unemployment. Unemployment is real low right now, sounds good right? It's actually bad because labor participation rates are horrible:https://www.bls.gov/charts/employment-situation/civilian-labor-force-participation-rate.htm (I wonder how soon they will doctor those numbers up too?)

The value of my home has jumped 31% in one year!

I know what I paid a year ago for gas and the real inflation is more like 43%, BUT fuel is a major expense that nearly everyone has to pay and it's a substantial amount of peoples income.

Used cars are up nearly 30%.

But somehow inflation is now at 7 something percent? Government magic with numbers.

I call it the US federal government statistical correction constants. Take whatever they tell you, and either multiply or divide it by 3, 10 or 100. In some cases you add or subtract 1/3. ***I'm not kidding!***

Take their original Covid mortality rate of 20% and divide it by 100 and you end up with the real mortality rate which is about .2%.

Take the reported inflation rate when it was 6.8% (what they claimed a few months ago) and multiply it by 3 and you end up with about 20%, which is about where we really are.

Take the US casualties in Iraq and subtract 1/3 and you end up with the actual number. They were including all accidents and natural/normal illnesses which was about 1/3 of the deaths. Back then they wanted to make the number as big as possible to make the war/Bush look bad.

Take Russian casualties today and divide them by 3 and you are about right. The Russians are reporting their casualties (next of kin) and it's even public. Many of these reports are inflating the numbers. Actual KIA is roughly 500, or 1/3 of what our government is allowing to circulate in the media (even though they know better) without correction.

***Either multiply or divide by 3, 10 or 100. In some cases you add or subtract 1/3.*** It really has held true from my experience.

21 posted on 03/15/2022 8:14:05 AM PDT by Red6
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