Posted on 02/25/2022 1:34:45 PM PST by cotton1706
If you want to make your vote count in Texas in 2022, you should vote in the March 1 primary. Here’s why: the general election in November—the one that pits Republicans against Democrats—will likely be the least competitive in a long time, at least when it comes to congressional and statehouse races. The candidates who prevail in the primary will by and large be shoo-ins in the fall. The culprit is gerrymandering.
New district maps drawn by Republicans in the Texas Legislature last year have dramatically reduced the number of congressional and statehouse districts in which both the Republican and Democratic candidates have a plausible shot at winning. The congressional gerrymander is the most extreme. Almost every U.S. House seat in Texas is now so partisan—either extremely Democratic or extremely Republican—that there is little to no chance of it changing hands any time soon. Out of Texas’s 38 congressional districts, only one is considered highly competitive according to the polling gurus at FiveThirtyEight. That’s compared with 6 in 2018. So unless you live in the Fifteenth Congressional District, a fajita-shaped district that stretches several hundred miles from east of San Antonio down to the Rio Grande Valley and which Trump would have won by only 2.8 points had it existed in 2020, November is going to be pretty undramatic.
(Excerpt) Read more at texasmonthly.com ...
I think some of those democrats may still flip.
What do you think the chances are of flipping 32 and getting rid of Colin Allred?
It’s just one big club, and conservatives ain’t in it.
The UNI-PARTY prevails, dragging this nation inexorably to the left.
Take out Eyepatch McCain, snake in the grass.
I do not know. I am, theoretically, represented by Silva Garcia. She is only slightly smarter than Shelia Jackson Lee. I know several Hispanic people in the neighborhood that are souring on her.
Does this mean TX is going Dem? Article is too much in the weeds to make out.
I’m guessing if the DNC is giving up on victory then trying to lock in what they have is a plausibility.
No, the TX legislature kinda sorta did its job and drew an openly partisan map that favors the R’s.
The problem is that it favors the incumbent R’s, which is probably inevitable. In any event, the practical upshot is that there’s an opportunity to pick some races and get some good conservatives elected in primaries, and not worry so much about viability in the general.
He definitely needs to go.
With West functionally abandoning the race, it’s down to Huffines vs Abbott in the Governor’s race.
For AG, Guzman and Paxton are campaigning, with Bush seeming to be relying on his name to be enough.
If I lived in his district, I’d vote for a primary opponent-but I don’t-so my opinion doesn’t matter-it is up to his constituents-I’m sure they are not all fond of him-he’s a phony RINO...
I like my rep just fine, so he gets my vote...
You mean worse than Maryland?
https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/marylands-extreme-gerrymander
I think so, too-especially since the ever-leftist Texas Monthly seems to need some pearls to clutch-they are a good barometer...
“What do you think the chances are of flipping 32 and getting rid of Colin Allred?”
The chances are slim and none, closer to none than slim.
The redistricting plan which has been implemented protects incumbents of BOTH parties aside from maybe one Democrat. The ultra-radical leftists at Texas Monthly who are crybabying about it have a problem with only half of that plan, and no problem at all with the half that protects empty monkey suits like Allred.
Texas Monthly is a leftist rag, so keep that in mind when reading anything in it.
Zero. 32 is gone for ten years.
They are whistling through the graveyard if Cuellar loses to the Marxist. That seat would definitely go red, especially if Senior Trump paid a visit to Laredo.
We just voted today (last day of early voting) in Houston. Weather was cold, 38 with a NW wind at 15mph and misting. Line was very long considering standing outside in the weather. Voting machines were Evergreen. Votes are printed out Man in charge assured me these machines keep a secure verifiable paper trail.
On the MSM, it’s a Bush ad every five minutes in DFW. Riding a quad with no helmet, building the wall with his bare hands and slamming Guzman as soft on Crime.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.