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RUSSIA-UKRAINE WARNING UPDATE: NEW INDICATORS OF IMMINENT RUSSIAN ATTACK (Tomorrow! oh noes!)
Institute for the Study of War ^ | 2-18-22 | By Fredrick W. Kagan and Mason Clark

Posted on 02/18/2022 7:51:56 PM PST by dynachrome

Russia may launch an attack on Ukraine on Saturday, February 19, 2022. The attack would likely begin with an air and missile campaign targeting much of Ukraine to decapitate the government and degrade the Ukrainian military as well as the ability of Ukrainian citizens to prepare to resist a subsequent Russian invasion. US and allied governments have been warning of such an attack for some days, pointing to the size of the Russian forces concentrated on Ukraine’s borders.[1] Western officials have additionally said that Russian troops have moved to jumping-off positions for an invasion over the past 24 hours. The following additional conditions and indicators point to February 19 as an optimal date for a Russian attack:

1. Ukrainian President Volodymir Zelensky will be in Germany at the Munich Security Conference. He is scheduled to speak at 1530 Munich time.[2]

His absence from Ukraine will degrade his ability to coordinate a response to any Russian attack and create more propitious circumstances for a Russian-sponsored attempt at a coup d’etat. Russian forces could close Ukrainian airspace to prevent Zelensky from returning to Kyiv.

(Excerpt) Read more at understandingwar.org ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Russia
KEYWORDS: davidpetraeus; ddt; frederickkagan; fredrickkagan; inland; invasion; joelieberman; kacklingkamala; lieberman; masonclark; robertkagan; russia; ukraine; victorianuland; williamkristol; zelensky
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To: All

FYI......I am not here for a debate on narratives or to tell you who is right or wrong ...... I focus on trying to understand what is happening, and what could happen next that’s all.


61 posted on 02/19/2022 12:58:10 AM PST by caww ( )
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To: caww

NOTE: Time in Donetsk, Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine.....Saturday, 19 February 2022


62 posted on 02/19/2022 1:00:41 AM PST by caww ( )
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To: caww

Russian news outlets are now distributing these pictures....(above) of the alleged impact in Russia from Ukraine.


63 posted on 02/19/2022 1:02:29 AM PST by caww ( )
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To: caww

All public transport in Donetsk now is being used for evacuation purposes....


64 posted on 02/19/2022 1:26:42 AM PST by caww ( )
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To: caww

Becoming a bit clearer what Biden’s intentions for Ukraine are..... To create enough confusion (as Demorats always do) for the US backed political & military elements ‘to retake Donetsk’, and to make any Russian counter-action seem like an invasion. Since currently this morning it’s Ukraines military advancing.


65 posted on 02/19/2022 1:32:10 AM PST by caww ( )
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To: caww
to retake Donetsk

You keep peddling this Ruskie BS. Suggesting that Ukraine will launch an attack now, when Putin has about 180,000 troops threatening it's border is nonsense. Ukraine has no air force, no cruise missiles and is completely outnumbered in tanks and artillery.

66 posted on 02/19/2022 3:48:13 AM PST by tlozo
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To: dynachrome

I am stressed out because Russia is again going to kill a lot of Ukrainians.

I want to spell out that I f**ng hate the “hypocrisy spotters” and guys who say “fight fire with fire”, who then end up commie apologists themselves:

Take the same position as the far left morons like Noam Chomsky - Ukrainians will be killed for the greater good.

Their method is to accuse me of hypocrisy - what about when the Democratic Socialists said it. Then they say the same thing as Noam Chomsky.

Tired of this, because what I did is say these are traitors, sh*theads and very immoral people the same as I say to you when you take the “Blame America First” commie position!


67 posted on 02/19/2022 3:50:01 AM PST by Krosan
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To: EEGator

When is the next Gulf of Tonkin false flag operation scheduled?


68 posted on 02/19/2022 3:58:33 AM PST by Tom Tetroxide
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To: dynachrome

I have been following this kind of halfways. With the “specific” call outs for invasion, then the daycare shelling, the pipeline blow up, the cyber attacks etc. This reads like a Clancy novel and I have been wondering if the “Russians” arent some sort of “other” mercenaries (financed by...ahem... A government) to get this thing rolling for our current administration. I dont know. It just feels contrived.


69 posted on 02/19/2022 5:01:58 AM PST by BudgieRamone (Everybody loves a bonk on the head)
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To: dynachrome

I hope Vlad will put it off until Monday...I’ve got plans for the weekend.


70 posted on 02/19/2022 5:34:38 AM PST by moovova
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To: dynachrome

Warning, warning Will Robinson! 😄


71 posted on 02/19/2022 6:04:55 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: Sacajaweau
"They keep saying Russia Russia Russia..."

Marsha, Marsha, Marsha!

72 posted on 02/19/2022 6:43:45 AM PST by MikeSteelBe (The South will be in the right in the next war of Northern aggression.)
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To: crz

If this goes down and the US military gets involved, I wanna see what pig face bidet is going to say when the American boys and girls start arriving back here in caskets....
............

Our getting into a war with Russia will result in a Nuclear exchange.

Biden keeps poking the bear. He is playing with fire.
All he has to do is guarantee Ukraine will never join NATO.


73 posted on 02/19/2022 6:54:16 AM PST by Vinnie ( L g Brandon)
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To: Vinnie

What would we think if Putin got friendly with Mexico and stationed troops and equipment there?
That’s what Putin sees with Ukraine in NATO. Plus their guaranteed access to the Black Sea.

Russians are paranoid to begin with .


74 posted on 02/19/2022 7:00:40 AM PST by Vinnie ( L g Brandon)
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To: EEGator

Has it happened today? Kamala will save the day. I am sure of it. /s


75 posted on 02/19/2022 7:04:07 AM PST by dforest (Freaking insane world. )
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To: moovova

You know that no real or fake news ever happens on a weekend. Odd how that is.


76 posted on 02/19/2022 7:05:37 AM PST by dforest (Freaking insane world. )
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To: dforest

She’s extremely competent and likeable...


77 posted on 02/19/2022 7:07:35 AM PST by EEGator
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To: dforest

Does anyone know what the biggest sales item is these days?

FEAR . . . FEAR ... FEAR...!!

If they so-called leadership can keep everyone afraid they have the upper hand and can steer us by the nose.

We have the media selling fear to gain ad revenue and the gooberment pushing fear for control.


78 posted on 02/19/2022 7:10:17 AM PST by JayAr36 (Just watching the demise of America.)
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To: All

It is obvious to all objective people, except Russian trolls and jackboot licker Liberaltarians, what is happening.

This is more pretext for invasion by the Russians, to protect those poor, poor poor Russian minorities.


79 posted on 02/19/2022 7:10:45 AM PST by rbmillerjr
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To: rbmillerjr

Whats “obvious” here Bob is you’re a liar and deep state hack.

You’ve been at it for quite a while too.

I’m old enough to remember when you were spewing lies about the false flag chemical attack in Douma.


80 posted on 02/19/2022 7:16:19 AM PST by mac_truck (aide toi et dieu t'aidera )
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