Posted on 01/11/2022 5:48:53 PM PST by matt04
Scientists are seeing signals that COVID-19′s alarming omicron wave may have peaked in Britain and is about to do the same in the U.S., at which point cases may start dropping off dramatically.
The reason: The variant has proved so wildly contagious that it may already be running out of people to infect, just a month and a half after it was first detected in South Africa.
“It’s going to come down as fast as it went up,” said Ali Mokdad, a professor of health metrics sciences at the University of Washington in Seattle.
At the same time, experts warn that much is still uncertain about how the next phase of the pandemic might unfold. The plateauing or ebbing in the two countries is not happening everywhere at the same time or at the same pace. And weeks or months of misery still lie ahead for patients and overwhelmed hospitals even if the drop-off comes to pass.
“There are still a lot of people who will get infected as we descend the slope on the backside,” said Lauren Ancel Meyers, director of the University of Texas COVID-19 Modeling Consortium, which predicts that reported cases will peak within the week.
The University of Washington’s own highly influential model projects that the number of daily reported cases in the U.S. will crest at 1.2 million by Jan. 19 and will then fall sharply “simply because everybody who could be infected will be infected,” according to Mokdad.
In fact, he said, by the university’s complex calculations, the true number of new daily infections in the U.S. — an estimate that includes people who were never tested — has already peaked, hitting 6 million on Jan. 6.
(Excerpt) Read more at wbko.com ...
I want Fauci headed for a rapid drop. If you know what I mean.
Let it be so.
Onicrom has taken the US like Grant took Richmond, but with fewer casualties.
Here! Here!
God’s vaccine.
Biden and the Democrats will claim credit.
Time will tell.
Is that Omicron in the current spike?
A short drop and a sudden stop.
Well if “experts” say this, it will probably go on for months.
“..I want Fauci headed for a rapid drop. If you know what I mean....”
Of course! A rapid drop thru the trap door of a public gallows....after a quick and fair trial.
SPJNK.
https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/f7f5492486114da6b5d6fdc07f81aacf
State of MO has been testing wastewater treatment plants across the state for close to a year. They found ‘delta’ variant in May of 2021, near two months before actual people began to test positive for the ‘delta’. Somebody or ‘bodies’ were shedding and spreading the ‘delta’ variant, a couple of months before MO went ‘hot’ in July 2021.
I worked on the numbers a bit about 10 days ago and came up with Jan 22 as a hopeful peak.
Yes.
It’s an amazing pathogen, in a lot of ways.
Trying to manage it without knowing the epidemiology or the natural history of infection is really a pain in the ass.
Yep. Mass. was forced to report that almost 70% of new cases were in the fully stabbed and jabbed population. Sounds like a pandemic of the vaccinated.
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