Replies

“The peak of the pandemic so far in the USA, was around 300,000 new cases per day, on 8 January 2021.”

*****

That’s why I pointed that out, this projection is off the charts. If it’s anything close to true, we are all getting Omicron, vaxed, unvaxed, double vaxed, boosted, or recovered, and we are going to get it within 90 days.

“this projection is off the charts. If it’s anything close to true, we are all getting Omicron”

Essentially.

It will taper off before it gets to the absolutely last person, but its transmissibility is so high, that its Herd Immunity Threshold must be correspondingly high - maybe over 90% of the population.

I would imagine that the professionals already have some estimate of that threshold - but they don’t seem to be running to microphones to share it.

As a practical matter, there is nothing they can do to stop it, so it is just going to have its run. Policymakers in the US and UK have apparently been briefed to expect a big surge, evidenced by the White House’s and Downing Street’s heads up to the the test manufacturers and labs.

As the guy in the article you linked noted, at a million per day, we will run out of testing capacity, and the additional cases just won’t be counted (maybe not treated).

Personally, I have prepared with a few weeks of food, in case I’m quarantined with it. I also am triple vaccinated with a fresh booster, and have a bunch of treatments on hand: Ivermectin, Zinc, Quercetin and tonic water in place of HCQ, Vitamins D3 and C, Melatonin, Pepcid, Aspirin, Lactoferrin and Bendryl. Probably overkill, but I might get Delta.

In any event, we are just going to have to gut it out. It seems to have crested pretty quick around Johannesburg.