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Three reasons Youngkin is likely performing better than polls say in Virginia
The Hill ^ | 10/26/2021 | By Michael Cohen

Posted on 10/26/2021 8:47:50 AM PDT by NohSpinZone

Who will win in Virginia? Any pollster worth their crosstabs should tell you they don’t know. It’s too close. All of the latest polls are tied or within the margin of error. It shouldn’t be that way, which is why Youngkin has the edge. He shouldn’t be this close.

For a GOP candidate with the former president’s endorsement — and McAuliffe’s constant reminder of it — we’re likely missing some of the Trump effect in our polling. This is the non-response bias that keeps me up at night as a pollster — the notion that those who answer our questions, particularly in contentious races, are somehow different than those who don’t.

It would not surprise me if Youngkin is ahead at this point, and that he wins in November.

Three reasons:

Core message

Handling opposition research

Voter enthusiasm

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: glennyoungkin; governor; mcauliffe; terrymcauliffe; virginia; youngkin
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I believe this. I think the polls are underrepresenting Youngkin's momentum here. Virginia voters seem ticked off for good reason.
1 posted on 10/26/2021 8:47:50 AM PDT by NohSpinZone
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To: NohSpinZone

Trump won.

They stole it.


2 posted on 10/26/2021 8:49:19 AM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: NohSpinZone

lot of Youngkin signs in my deep blue neighborhood(FEDGOV employees)


3 posted on 10/26/2021 8:50:50 AM PDT by joshua c (Dump the LEFT. Cable tv, Big tech, national name brands)
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To: NohSpinZone

I believe this is why McAwful is bringing in all the help. This close and they have to produce a lot of “votes” to win. If they produce too many, then you start getting 100%+ voting district which will automatically call for a forensic look at the ballots.

Everybody in VA is voting, and they can’t keep up with the possible number of votes they need.


4 posted on 10/26/2021 8:51:24 AM PDT by wbarmy (I chose to be a sheepdog once I saw what happens to the sheep.)
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To: joshua c

I work in the DoD and the anger at AFG is barely in check. A lot of people here were starting to look at AFG as successful, and the plan to keep Bagram would have capped this.

But this no plan withdrawal has given all of the marbles to China, and things are starting to happen. And the DoD knows it will be on the pointy end of the stick.

I have no doubt that a whole lot of people who used to vote blue will not be this time.


5 posted on 10/26/2021 8:54:02 AM PDT by wbarmy (I chose to be a sheepdog once I saw what happens to the sheep.)
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To: NohSpinZone

I’m interested to see how blacks in Richmond and NOVA vote. There might be a lot of black males that switch because they don’t want a mandate.


6 posted on 10/26/2021 8:54:22 AM PDT by struggle
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To: ifinnegan

That is true but what is the point here ? Youngkin isn’t saying it.


7 posted on 10/26/2021 8:54:40 AM PDT by erlayman
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To: NohSpinZone
Reason #4- The polls always lie in favor of demoKKKrats
8 posted on 10/26/2021 8:55:27 AM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: NohSpinZone

I fear that the same thing that happened in the 2020 election, will happen here again.

No, not that the republican will lose, but that the republican will lose via election fraud, like what happened to Trump.

Democrats know how critical the Virginia election is, and they know that without voter fraud, that they can’t win. Whatever lead the republican has, will be eroded during the counting, which will be forced to continue until McAwful gets the total votes needed to pull ahead. Democrats have turned election fraud into an art, and when (no if, but when) they pull ahead, they will claim victory and call the republican a sore loser for using the “Trump tactic” of claiming election fraud.

The votes should be counted and verified, many times, or it’s an election win for democrats, who will do whatever it takes to ‘win’.


9 posted on 10/26/2021 8:56:18 AM PDT by adorno
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To: struggle

Biden’s support of Clinton’s crime legislation devastated a generation of black men. There is no reason for black men to vote for this opportunist.


10 posted on 10/26/2021 8:57:28 AM PDT by maro (MAGA!)
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To: NohSpinZone

Let me guess: record turnout, lots of voting irregularities, delayed totals, Dems win.


11 posted on 10/26/2021 8:58:09 AM PDT by fuente (Liberty resides in three boxes: the ballot box, the jury box and the cartridge box--Fredrick Douglas)
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To: struggle
#6: "There might be a lot of black males that switch because they don’t want a mandate."

Someone needs to get the word out to the black community. The Democrat's vaccine mandate is all about sterilizing black men and rendering them infertile and impotent. It is all part of "The Plan".

12 posted on 10/26/2021 8:58:48 AM PDT by Governor Dinwiddie (LORD, grant thy people grace to withstand the temptations of the world, the flesh, and the devil.)
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To: NohSpinZone

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/virginia-2021-poll-points-to-photo-finish-in-governor-s-race

https://www.cygn.al/cygnal-poll-youngkin-tied/

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2021/10/26/virginia-governors-race-mcauliffe-youngkin-dead-heat-poll-shows/6172824001/


13 posted on 10/26/2021 8:59:49 AM PDT by TexasGurl24
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To: NohSpinZone

So what happens after the nazicRATS steal this election?


14 posted on 10/26/2021 9:00:29 AM PDT by crz
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To: Governor Dinwiddie

>Someone needs to get the word out to the black community. The Democrat’s vaccine mandate is all about sterilizing black men and rendering them infertile and impotent. It is all part of “The Plan”.

Sadly, 95% of black women will vote the same way, regardless.


15 posted on 10/26/2021 9:04:13 AM PDT by struggle
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To: NohSpinZone

It all boils down to who counts the votes. Every year, every election, without fail, Fairfax County holds back their vote count until they know how many votes are needed for the Democrat to win.


16 posted on 10/26/2021 9:04:57 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Who will portray Alec Baldwin in the SNL skit? )
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To: joshua c

> lot of Youngkin signs in my deep blue neighborhood <

I live in a heavily-Democrat county. And back in 2020 Trump signs outnumbered Biden signs there by at least three to one. But Biden won my county - and my state - due to a huge dump of Biden mail-in ballots that showed up after midnight.

Funny how that happened (see my tagline).


17 posted on 10/26/2021 9:06:41 AM PDT by Leaning Right (The steal is real.)
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To: NohSpinZone

Youngkin needs to win more than the margin of fraud, which may be difficult


18 posted on 10/26/2021 9:10:28 AM PDT by PapaBear3625 (Only the insane have the strength to prosper. Only those who prosper truly judge what is sane)
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To: adorno

Plus, Democrats cannot afford a Republican governor who may order investigations into election fraud, and may hamper fraud in 2022 and 2024


19 posted on 10/26/2021 9:12:15 AM PDT by PapaBear3625 (Only the insane have the strength to prosper. Only those who prosper truly judge what is sane)
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To: ifinnegan

Trump is playing the VA race smart by not allowing the Dems to run against him. Obama’s weak “trumped up” dog whistle might have done more harm than help. Trump can claim victory after as Youngkin is running on his issues.


20 posted on 10/26/2021 9:16:38 AM PDT by DeplorablePaul (s)
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