Posted on 08/25/2021 11:54:17 AM PDT by lasereye
Billionaire "Bond King" Jeffrey Gundlach says the stimulus and the Federal Reserve's low interest rates have "been a very deep punch bowl spiked pretty heavily with 100-proof liquor," and "once this party ends, the hangover is going to be in the form of a sharp drop in economic growth."
Gundlach, the founder and CEO of $137 billion DoubleLine Capital, explained that the economic picture in the U.S. is "very hard to divine" because of the government's intervention.
"It's like pushing on like a waterbed or something. As you push on the side of the waterbed, the other side goes up, and weird things happen, and you can't really compare it to a time period where you're not pushing on a waterbed," Gundlach told Yahoo Finance Live, adding that "it's very hard to discern what's going to happen."
The 61-year-old bond investor noted that the employment situation in the U.S. "is really fascinating, and it's kind of seminal to the screwed-up nature of the economy."
In the U.S., GDP has recovered from the depths of the pandemic and is essentially flat compared to the fourth quarter of 2019, and that's with 5.8 million fewer jobs compared to February 2020. Meanwhile, the latest JOLTS report showed job openings in the U.S. reaching 10.1 million.
"Everywhere you go, almost any profession you ask, they say they have a hard time getting workers. Well, no surprise. People are making more money or the same amount of money by not working, and the government continues to support that," he said.
Gundlach argues that when the stimulus programs ultimately end or when the moratorium on evictions is lifted, "There's going to be tremendous economic disruption." On the eviction moratorium, when that ends, Gundlach believes there will be "all kinds of consequences," including rents going "way up."
(Excerpt) Read more at finance.yahoo.com ...
“t’s like pushing on like a waterbed or something”
A waterbed?
What kind of total douche uses an analogy like that?
A big red rubber one?
Like Dude, it’s like 2021 already.
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