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To: David Chase
Well that is peculiar since the vast majority of the deaths reported in one month were on the day of or day after the jab from data I saw. You would think that if there were an army of people wanting to blame unrelated deaths on the vaccines that they would be more evenly spread throughout the 30 day period.

But still, let us give the idea of the increase in deaths in VAERs being do to over blaming the vaccination a chance. I think the first thing we should consider is how many Americans typically die per day, specifically how many that got vaccinated do...

Population of US: about 333 million. Not sure of vaccination rates but lets say its half of the population for all years. So we treat this as 166.5 million.

Average life span: about 79 years, or 28,835 days.

So dividing this population by this number of days we get an expected average of 5774 deaths per day for vaccinated Americans.

Since most VAERs deaths are reported in first two days after the vaccine, one might expect as many as twice the average per day, which puts us at about 11,500 deaths in those two days after getting a vaccination that could just be pure chance.

Now since I don't have better data, I had made several rough assumptions. Including that people are just as likely to get vaccinated right before they were going to die of something unrelated as they would on any other day.

But as rough as this is, it shows me that there is a great potential for people blaming thousands of deaths on vaccines that were not due to the vaccine if we ignore people's ability to make a distinction between a death from vaccine and those not due to a vaccine.

However in a typical year, of this 11,500 approximate deaths in the two days following a jab, from what I can tell we only have about 120 or so blamed on vaccine. So for thirty years of the VAERs system, people have only blamed the typical flu vaccine (and other vaccines, but flu is the one huge numbers of people get each year) about 1% of the time.

As far as we know then, on a typical year none of the actual 150 or so reported deaths to VAERs blamed on vaccines actually were on the Vaccines. That seems pretty safe to me! So I have no trouble getting those vaccines, they don't seem at all dangerous.

But how about this year? What if we assume that the vaccines actually caused none of the deaths that were blamed on them at all. Is this plausible still? Afraid not. It would move the 1% of deaths falsely blamed that is typical to about 100% falsely blamed since we have roughly 10,000 deaths reported in first two days after vaccinations and roughly the same number of deaths we would expect to happen from all causes on two given days.

I think any objective layman with a little competence in math and common sense is forced to acknowledge that it is not remotely plausible that the new vaccines are anywhere near as safe as the typical flu shot.

There also seems far too much reason to suspect it is far far more dangerous. But I hope that this is not the case. Still I think at this point it is beyond irresponsible to use coercion on people to take these shots.

36 posted on 08/17/2021 3:49:26 PM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: AndyTheBear

Wow.
Excellent post as you covered the subject matter very well.

You said:
“ So for thirty years of the VAERs system, people have only blamed the typical flu vaccine (and other vaccines, but flu is the one huge numbers of people get each year) about 1% of the time.”
———————————————————————————-

The Polio vaccine had issues to work out, such as a batch of the Live Virus, and in the beginning it was 80-90% effective, so some people were getting infected even after vaccination. There was also a media person (name I can’t recall right now) that was completely anti-Polio-Vaccine and using scare tactics.

But all that, people got the vaccine and happily. Eventually Polio was eradicated.

The difference between back then, or even 30 years ago and vaccines compared to today is……..The Internet.

The Internet is a Blessing and a Curse, it seems.

Pleasure chatting with.
Have a great evening.


51 posted on 08/17/2021 6:36:00 PM PDT by David Chase
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