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Poll Finds Support for Gavin Newsom Recall Increased Over Past 2 Weeks. Are Mask Mandates to Blame?
KSBW ^ | Aug 3, 2021 | Eric Ting

Posted on 08/03/2021 6:02:33 PM PDT by nickcarraway

Video from previous broadcast.

Emerson College and Nexstar Media's "Inside California Politics" released another poll of the Gavin Newsom recall election and found that support for removing Newsom has increased in just two weeks' time.

The previous Emerson/Nexstar poll from July 20 found support for the recall at 43% and opposition at 48%, and a new poll from the same group released Tuesday now shows support at 46% and opposition at 48%. The poll was conducted among 1,000 Californians from July 30 to Aug. 1.

What happened in two weeks' time that sent Newsom from an uncomfortable, but somewhat stable five percentage point advantage to a much more precarious two percentage point advantage? There's a good chance it's just noise (the poll's margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points), but if you're looking for a real-life event that could have shifted public opinion, such an event does exist.

The end-of-July news cycle was dominated by coverage of the spread of the delta variant of COVID-19, and 50% of California's population is now under an indoor mask mandate.

In the Bay Area and Sacramento, some vaccinated residents have spoken out against the new mandates, and it's definitely possible (if not very likely) there's even more opposition to the measures that individuals would rather keep to themselves so as not to get labeled anti-mask.

Newsom himself did not issue any mask mandates, as the California Department of Public Health recommends, but does not require, indoor masks. That change in statewide guidance was accompanied by the governor stating that he supports counties that choose to implement mandates, so the governor can technically be linked to the new mask mandates, albeit indirectly.

The simpler explanation is that even if Newsom is not the one ordering the mandates, he's the one most commonly associated with new restrictions and mandates as the face of the state's pandemic response. The discourse around school closures largely reflects this phenomenon, as even though most reopening and closure decisions are handled by local officials, Newsom still takes heat over prolonged closures.

The new poll also found that conservative radio host Larry Elder is widening his lead among Newsom replacement candidates at the bottom of the ballot. Elder's support increased from 16% in July to 23% support now. He is trailed by John Cox and Caitlyn Jenner at 7% support apiece, but 40% of voters are undecided on the ballot's second question of which candidate should replace Newsom.

If you're just now tuning into the recall and want to know how the ballot works, you can read this explainer from last week.


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: california; gavinnewsom; masks; vendome
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1 posted on 08/03/2021 6:02:33 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: Vendome
For the next six weeks everyone in the state needs to support mask mandates and any kid of COVID-19 restrictions. The more severe, the better.

And badger anyone not wearing a mask, and tell them Newsom says they need to be masked etc.

2 posted on 08/03/2021 6:04:48 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

Dumb useless story. The new mask diaper rule in California hasn’t been in long enough to be properly polled.

So, give it a longer period of time ahead to poll properly and you’ll have some idea.

Rich Barris at People’s Pundit Daily on YouTube says it’s a toss up at the moment and he’s the best in the business.


3 posted on 08/03/2021 6:07:25 PM PDT by romanesq (TRUSTY THE PLAN! ChiCom Joe is the Plan? Que magnificent! ๐Ÿ‘น)
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To: romanesq

Some of the SoCal mask mandates were in place longer, plus people have known it was coming and that it was getting worse in CA.


4 posted on 08/03/2021 6:11:20 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

I hate to tell everyone, but California is one of those states where the dems control the vote totals. The actual votes don’t matter much.


5 posted on 08/03/2021 6:11:52 PM PDT by Revel
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To: nickcarraway

It will be interesting to see if they have to and can ramp up the cheating machine to save Gavin. They probably have a plan.


6 posted on 08/03/2021 6:22:25 PM PDT by cdcdawg (It's all so tiresome.)
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To: nickcarraway

The lefty loonies are going to force Newsom to lock down.

Then they are going to join with the right to punish him.


7 posted on 08/03/2021 6:22:36 PM PDT by Mariner (War criminal #18)
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To: Revel

Revel-would you put money on it? I-for one-wouldn’t. I have little faith in the GOP voter stepping up to the plate when it’s doable. If by some miracle the recall is successful every freeper will take credit.


8 posted on 08/03/2021 6:25:00 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: nickcarraway

Listening to NewSCUM’s sorry behind is the reason for the increase in polls for his recall..every time he opens his trap he shows what a miserable disgusting sack of garbage he really is


9 posted on 08/03/2021 6:26:13 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: romanesq

not sure if its true or not but heard today that NewSCUM might be doing mail in voting in this state due to “rona” so if its gonna be mail in voting here comes the fraud he wont lose


10 posted on 08/03/2021 6:27:11 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: nickcarraway

Please you donโ€™t think they will fraud the hell out of this to keep him in?!?

Be serious.


11 posted on 08/03/2021 6:29:20 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: romanesq

A toss up means newsom will win via fraud.


12 posted on 08/03/2021 6:30:52 PM PDT by dynachrome ("I will not be reconstructed, and I do not give a damn.")
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To: nickcarraway

Doesn’t matter.

Covid election laws will be in effect.

Whoever can print the most mail-in ballots wins!


13 posted on 08/03/2021 6:32:16 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum ("Communism is not love. Communism is a hammer which we use to crush the enemy." โ€• Mao Zedong)
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To: nickcarraway

sure hope so.


14 posted on 08/03/2021 6:42:30 PM PDT by dadfly
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To: nickcarraway

Starting to see shades of Scott Brown 2009 with this race.


15 posted on 08/03/2021 6:59:15 PM PDT by MountainWalker
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To: nickcarraway
Poll Finds Support for Gavin Newsom Recall Increased Over Past 2 Weeks. Are Mask Mandates to Blame?
That must be it. What else could it be? < /sarcasm >
16 posted on 08/03/2021 7:03:00 PM PDT by lewislynn ( Supporting your social media is more harmful to the country than voting Democrat)
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To: Sarah Barracuda

It was already set up as mail in ballots. That was a given.


17 posted on 08/03/2021 7:10:03 PM PDT by romanesq (TRUSTY THE PLAN! ChiCom Joe is the Plan? Que magnificent! ๐Ÿ‘น)
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To: romanesq

Maybe some have wised up to the rona infected illegals swarming into California with nothing done to stop them.


18 posted on 08/03/2021 7:19:04 PM PDT by angry elephant (Been with Trump since huge 2016 Washington state rally in May.)
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To: nickcarraway
Gavin Newsom Recall Increased Over Past 2 Weeks. Are Mask Mandates to Blame?
End the mandates and we'll see.

If that's the reason, he can renew the mandates after he wins his seat back.

Personally I think they did the mandates because the dimwits thought that's what people wanted.

Now they (you) have to send out this apology piece.

Not an apology piece you say:

"Newsom himself did not issue any mask mandates, as the California Department of Public Health recommends, but does not require, indoor masks. That change in statewide guidance was accompanied by the governor stating that he supports counties that choose to implement mandates, so the governor can technically be linked to the new mask mandates, albeit indirectly".
That's known as an apology using double speak.
19 posted on 08/03/2021 7:24:08 PM PDT by lewislynn ( Supporting your social media is more harmful to the country than voting Democrat)
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To: angry elephant

“Maybe some have wised up to the rona infected illegals swarming into California”

Doubtful it goes beyond “some.”

The people of California are notoriously dumb and many others “woke.”
But I repeat myself.


20 posted on 08/03/2021 7:28:38 PM PDT by romanesq (TRUSTY THE PLAN! ChiCom Joe is the Plan? Que magnificent! ๐Ÿ‘น)
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