Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Tornadoes: The New Normal That Wasn’t
American Thinker.com ^ | May 21, 2021 | Dan Sutter

Posted on 05/21/2021 7:46:21 AM PDT by Kaslin

Tornadoes killed 553 Americans in 2011, the deadliest year since 1925. May 22 marks the 10th anniversary of the Joplin, Missouri tornado that killed 161, the first triple-digit toll since 1953. The U.S. had been averaging 60 tornado deaths annually.

This death toll shocked the public, weather forecasters, and researchers. Improvements in weather radar, National Weather Service warnings, and the advent of real-time, street-level tracking had seemingly rendered such death tolls a historical relic.

Some experts had a ready answer for the devastation: man-made climate change. Bill McKibben took a tongue-in-cheek tack in the Washington Post, with a headline, “A Link Between Climate Change and Joplin Tornadoes? Never!” He opined, “When you see pictures of rubble like this week’s from Joplin, Mo., you should not wonder: Is this somehow related to the tornado outbreak three weeks ago in Tuscaloosa, Ala., or the enormous outbreak a couple of weeks before that.” Researchers Kevin Trenberth and Michael Mann also stated that global warming is making tornadoes worse.

When the unexpected happens, researchers need to ask why and examine the data. Kevin Simmons and I had just published a book on the societal impacts of tornadoes. We sought to assess whether the 2011 death tolls were due to the tornadoes which occurred, societal vulnerability, or perhaps some other factor. We published our findings in a book, Deadly Season: Analysis of the 2011 Tornado Outbreaks, and a paper in Natural Hazards Review.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 05/21/2021 7:46:21 AM PDT by Kaslin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

Joplin was a beast.


2 posted on 05/21/2021 8:00:12 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (Eric Coomer of Dominion Voting Systems Is The Blue Dress)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

Good article with great factual back-up to deflate the ever-present claims on “global warming” for any weather anomaly.

I am affiliated as a storm-spotter volunteer with the Tulsa office of the National Weather Service. In our 2012 training after the Joplin tornado, the meteorologists presented info from an NWS study about the level of injuries/fatalities in Joplin. For a large part, it came down to people not heeding warnings about what was headed their way.

The storm was outside the Tulsa warning area but the Tulsa NWS had it under radar observation and knew it was going to be bad. They gave a heads-up to NE OK area first-responders to be ready to move to Joplin to assist. A friend was one of those responders with his search dog and he has horrible memories of what was found that evening and the next day.

The strong language about potential storm effects used today in storm warnings is largely a result of what was learned in Joplin about the general public ignoring warnings. There have been several iterations of changed wording that began in 2012 with the latest implemented in recent days.


3 posted on 05/21/2021 8:04:11 AM PDT by T-Bird45 (It feels like the seventies, and it shouldn't.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

EVERYTHING is climate change. Until it isn’t. And then when the statistics flip the OTHER way, it due to climate change.

Example:

An increase in fatal tornadoes?

A: Climate change.

Same amount of tornadoes?

A: Climate change.

Fewer tornadoes?

A: Climate change.


4 posted on 05/21/2021 8:05:10 AM PDT by Alas Babylon! ("You, the American people, are my only special interest." --President Donald J. Trump)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

If tornadoes were not ever a problem, “Rye Cove” would have never have become a traditional bluegrass song. I moved from Wichita County, Texas, to NE Mississippi and seen some of the worst of them. I now live forty miles from Joplin...go figure.


5 posted on 05/21/2021 8:05:34 AM PDT by vetvetdoug (,)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

The larger the population the more deaths. Supercells were reported by Native Americans centuries ago. The multiple vortex tornadoes were called “dead man walking”, meaning you would quickly meet the Great Spirit.


6 posted on 05/21/2021 8:06:00 AM PDT by packagingguy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

as the US population and density grows then, yes, there will be an increase in the number of deaths from tornados.

Also - the number of annual tornados will increase and decrease as the climate naturally changes over time.


7 posted on 05/21/2021 8:18:30 AM PDT by plain talk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: plain talk

Its not the climate changing, its weather


8 posted on 05/21/2021 9:19:10 AM PDT by Swirl
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Alas Babylon!

Ditto for hurricanes, floods, wildfires, heat waves, drought... anything bad.


9 posted on 05/21/2021 11:03:01 AM PDT by Pining_4_TX (O Lord, our Lord, how majestic is your name in all the earth! Psalm 8:9)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Swirl

The climate and the weather are two different things. They both are always changing.


10 posted on 05/21/2021 11:06:45 AM PDT by plain talk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: StAnDeliver
Tornadoes killed 553 Americans in 2011, the deadliest year since 1925.

HMMMmmm...


1925 USA population 117 million
2011 USA population 311 million

11 posted on 05/22/2021 4:13:47 AM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: T-Bird45
"For a large part, it came down to people not heeding warnings about what was headed their way."

Exactly. And if you peruse the Joplin video on Youtube, there are a slew of local commentors who rode out the storm who, to a man/woman, said, "We disregarded this warning because we got. so. many. in the past, that didn't pan out."

Which btw, I'm not at all attempting to insinuate the blame lies with NWS at all. As you know, warning fatigue is a tough paradox the NWS battles with every day...

12 posted on 05/22/2021 1:59:45 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (Eric Coomer of Dominion Voting Systems Is The Blue Dress)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson