LIVE : Tracking Out-of-control Chinese rocket debris

161 posted on 05/08/2021 8:53:52 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)

Even if there is damages, the government might not make a stink.

Reason why, from last September...

https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Belt-and-Road/China-debt-trap-fear-haunts-Maldives-government

162 posted on 05/08/2021 8:54:18 PM PDT by mewzilla (Those aren't masks. They're muzzles. )

It’s now known that it fell in the Indian Ocean.

163 posted on 05/08/2021 8:58:36 PM PDT by 353FMG

Odds are about even [so to speak] that it would land in the water hemisphere.

164 posted on 05/08/2021 9:43:17 PM PDT by goldbux (No sufficiently rich interpreted language can represent its own semantics. -- Alfred Tarski, 1936)

Chicago is too far north to be in the high risk zone. Not by much though.

One can hope ...

165 posted on 05/09/2021 6:35:30 AM PDT by usconservative (When The Ballot Box No Longer Counts, The Ammunition Box Does. (What's In Your Ammo Box?))

A US hit is unlikely because its the high point in the orbit. Low point is indian Ocean Australia.

Good call. https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3957569/posts

166 posted on 05/09/2021 7:58:50 AM PDT by logi_cal869 (-cynicus the "concern troll" a/o 10/03/2018 /!i!! &@$%&*(@ -)

You were right.

It landed in the ocean.

167 posted on 05/09/2021 11:31:12 AM PDT by miserare ( Respect for life--life of all kinds-- is the first principle of civilization.~~A. Schweitzer.)

168 posted on 05/09/2021 8:15:14 PM PDT by goldbux (No sufficiently rich interpreted language can represent its own semantics. -- Alfred Tarski, 1936)

The Earth has only one Ocean, with four [or five] named Basins: Atlantic, Pacific, Indian, Arctic, [Southern].

Water covers about 71% of the Earth's surface.

Probability of a single randomly generated point on the globe "landing" in water = ~ 0.71.

The CCP rocket junk was orbiting within a wide band of latitudes, but wasn't going to land near either of Earth's poles.

Hard to calculate accurately the % of water within the wide band of the junk's final orbit.

If you wanted to place a landing bet – without knowing the final orbit's latitude boundaries – you had a slight statistical advantage betting on water.

I wrote "water hemisphere" but meant to write "Pacific hemisphere," approximately centered near Tahiti.

The water hemisphere contains the highest area of water.

It's bounded by a geodesic great circle centered on 47^o 13^' S, 178^o 28^' E, near New Zealand.

Bulk of the CCP rocket junk landed in water – the Indian Basin near the Maldives.

It did not land in either the water hemisphere or the Pacific hemisphere.

Thanks for playing.

169 posted on 05/10/2021 1:42:36 PM PDT by goldbux (No sufficiently rich interpreted language can represent its own semantics. -- Alfred Tarski, 1936)

Well, I will just not worry about space junk landing on my house anymore! ;)

170 posted on 05/10/2021 3:51:52 PM PDT by miserare ( Respect for life--life of all kinds-- is the first principle of civilization.~~A. Schweitzer.)

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