[2aProtectsTheRest]

Here is the actual footnote:

“Number of deaths reported on this page are the total number of deaths received and coded as of the date of analysis and do not represent all deaths that occurred in that period. Data are incomplete because of the lag in time between when the death occurred and when the death certificate is completed, submitted to NCHS and processed for reporting purposes. This delay can range from 1 week to 8 weeks or more, depending on the jurisdiction and cause of death.”

And here is the link to the chart: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm

Post is misleading at best.

[ifinnegan]

“Post is misleading at best.”

Could say that about yours as well.

Tell me if I am wrong.

This could be called the actuarial hypothesis.

Author says it’s already being seen.

You say data is premature and what he sees is an artifact of reporting.

“...many reporting jurisdictions take several weeks to provide their data.”

I assume reporting districts are counties.

Question. How many are “many”.

Do you know?

What time frame do you say would provide enough time to have complete enough records to assess the actuarial hypothesis?

[dynoman]

The point of the article follows with CDC's still saying "covid" deaths include an AVERAGE of FOUR comorbidities. That FACT is ignored nearly all the time. When "covid" deaths are split over the AVERAGE of FOUR additional comorbidities, the deaths from covid alone becomes much lower than stated. So the point that excess deaths will decrease under projections for 2021 is very logical. It's been pointed out the same thing happened after the 18 flu epidemic. Deaths went way below normal the year after the epidemic.