Posted on 04/18/2021 8:43:00 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
Erin O’Toole has lived up to his surname, for sure:
Canada has 2 choices: tyranny or large doses of Vitamin D3.
In my motorcycle road trip thru Canada a couple years ago, I was surprised to talk to many conservative people in the western half of Canada.
No possible way an mRNA vax could make a person vulnerable to a new strain.
Ok, they haven’t lied to us yet, why would they start now?
The 7 day average of fatalities in Canada bottomed out at 26/day on March 29, and again on April 2 and April 4. As of yesterday it was 44, roughly 1.51x, and the rise is quite “natural” looking. (Normal disease spread with a modest effective R0.)
If one goes back 2-3 weeks (the usual time new cases take to become fatalities) the rise in daily new cases in 20 days was a bit under 2x. Said lag also accounted for, the acceleration in the curves is similar too, with a slight advantage to the cases. This sort of thing has been very typical for many countries.
Looking at past history in, well, most countries, I’d expect something in the neighborhood of 70-75 fatalities per day in Canada, in 20 days. After that, if the cases curve is to be believed, the fatalities curve should round off, maybe never get past 80 per day, and then begin to fall.
I’m unsure what number of hospitalizations and ICU occupancies would translate into 80 fatalities per day in Canada, but, I’m thinking Canada should be able to handle it, and even if not, the US is in increasingly good shape overall and surely some critical cases could be transferred here.
So, while I dispute your initial statement, I end up agreeing with the rest of what you posted. :-)
Thanks for the serious answer.
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