Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: E. Pluribus Unum

Here are the links in clickable format:

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/provisional-tables.htm
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm

Neither of them says what the headline is claiming.

The first (https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/provisional-tables.htm) only has data through June 2020.

The second (https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm) has a bunch of qualifiers about the data below the table. I’ll start listing them here:

NOTE: Number of deaths reported in this table are the total number of deaths received and coded as of the date of analysis and do not represent all deaths that occurred in that period. Counts of deaths occurring before or after the reporting period are not included in the table.

*Data during this period are incomplete because of the lag in time between when the death occurred and when the death certificate is completed, submitted to NCHS and processed for reporting purposes. This delay can range from 1 week to 8 weeks or more, depending on the jurisdiction and cause of death.

Why These Numbers are Different

Provisional death counts may not match counts from other sources, such as media reports or numbers from county health departments. Counts by NCHS often track 1–2 weeks behind other data.

Death certificates take time to be completed. There are many steps to filling out and submitting a death certificate. Waiting for test results can create additional delays.
States report at different rates. Currently, 63% of all U.S. deaths are reported within 10 days of the date of death, but there is significant variation between states.
It takes extra time to code COVID-19 deaths. While 80% of deaths are electronically processed and coded by NCHS within minutes, most deaths from COVID-19 must be coded by a person, which takes an average of 7 days.
Other reporting systems use different definitions or methods for counting deaths.

Things to know about the data

Provisional counts are not final and are subject to change. Counts from previous weeks are continually revised as more records are received and processed.

Provisional data are not yet complete. Counts will not include all deaths that occurred during a given time period, especially for more recent periods. However, we can estimate how complete our numbers are by looking at the average number of deaths reported in previous years.

Death counts should not be compared across states. Some states report deaths on a daily basis, while other states report deaths weekly or monthly. State vital record reporting may also be affected or delayed by COVID-19 related response activities.

For more detailed technical information, visit the Provisional Death Counts for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Technical Notes page.


10 posted on 01/05/2021 2:15:48 PM PST by 2aProtectsTheRest (The media is banging the fear drum enough. Don't help them do it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]


To: 2aProtectsTheRest

2aProtectsTheRest wrote: “Here are the links in clickable format:
...
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/provisional-tables.htm
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm
...
Neither of them says what the headline is claiming.”

Nice try but the anti-vaxxers will continue to propagate the fake news that there are no excess deaths due to CV. The true story has been posted multiple times but the AV’s want to believe their conspiracy theories.


16 posted on 01/05/2021 3:27:11 PM PST by DugwayDuke (Biden - Not My President!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies ]

To: 2aProtectsTheRest

This link leads to a CDC spreadsheet that contains weekly death data for 2019 and 2020. It can be downloaded:

https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Weekly-Counts-of-Deaths-by-State-and-Select-Causes/muzy-jte6

Opening it with Excel and summing columns, the 2019 “All Causes” total is 2,852,000, which agrees with this post. The CDC 2020 data lacks week 52, with week 51 obviously incomplete (and possibly a few earlier weeks). The current 2020 total is 3,128,000, which is greater than this post’s total of 2,902,000. It could possibly increase by 100,000 once the last several weeks have complete data to possibly 3,228,000 deaths. So, the 2020 increase when compared to 2019 might be as high as 376,000. This is close to the number of COVID deaths.

Anything wrong with my calculations?


20 posted on 01/05/2021 3:55:07 PM PST by jasonandtheb
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson