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To: All

People, there is entirely too much time spent on ranting about lockdown vs no lockdown, or mask vs no mask.

Know The Numbers First. Simply that. Know what the excess deaths say. THEN decide on measures to take or not take.

We are well on the way, nationally, to having 25% more deaths of all causes (note all causes) March-March for 65+ people than in a normal, pre Covid year. Those are the numbers. Those are pure numbers. Not heart attacks called Covid death. Not old codgers living alone who die of Covid but never went to the doc or hospital or got tested.

One scenario overcounts. One scenario undercounts. Don’t obsess over it. Excess Deaths of all causes eliminates that issue.

So. 25% increase in deaths of your parents. Enough to take overall society life expectancy down a year or two.

Now decide what measures to take, if any.


15 posted on 12/28/2020 8:16:17 AM PST by Owen
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To: Owen

We are well on the way, nationally, to having 25% more deaths of all causes (note all causes) March-March for 65+ people than in a normal, pre Covid year.
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We can expect the death rate to trend upward as the huge bulge in baby boomers ages, even without the COVID virus. The issue is whether recent deaths after the virus appeared pushed deaths higher than what would be expected from the trend line before the virus. My educated guess is that it has not.


17 posted on 12/28/2020 9:05:20 AM PST by Socon-Econ (adical Islam, )
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