Russia
Posted on 12/09/2020 6:20:58 PM PST by Pining_4_TX
Some experts argue that the success of China and its neighbors in slowing the spread of the virus without resorting to costly shutdowns gives these countries a leg up in getting their economies back on track once the crisis subsides. Some even go as far as to predict that this will propel East Asia to dominate the post-COVID economy. However, such rosy predictions of a dawning of a new “East Asian era” may be premature in light of the ticking demographic timebomb that looms over the region.
(Excerpt) Read more at nippon.com ...
Once a society enters a death spiral, it is usually unstoppable. Russian and China are dead men standing.
So much for any of them ruling the world. Demographics is destiny.
East asia co-prosperity sphere.
Yikes.
Impossible. Multiple Freepers have praised the inscrutable wisdom of Chinese leaders who think generations ahead, unlike Western powers who only consider the next financial quarter.
So are we.
We just allow a bunch of other countries to send their people here.
Populations fluctuate up and down. Europe lost half of its population during one of the plagues and it sprang back. Nothing to see here, move along.
Japan is still way far overly crowed. Reducing the Japanese population by 50% would make Japan a much more livable place to enjoy. China is still way far overly populous. The wages in China are equivalent to that of slave labor. If the population of China were to drop by 50% the factories would have to pay a decent wage in order to get intelligent workers. Farm economies need lots of kids to work the fields. Post industrial societies have got birth control and fewer children to have enjoyable life-styles. Latin-America needs to stop making babies. They are too currupt and illiterate to have economic strength. They send their unable to feed children to the USA.
Not sure why the fertility rate is dropping but apparently chicken and watermelon work really well. If our cities are any indication. Maybe throw some welfare at em as well and watch the fertility rate explode.
There is no right size population. Just like there is not a correct climate. These are things that always change, are always in flux.
Who are they going to sell their products to?
The U.S. ain't buying.
Then the Philippines must be a rising world power, because it is still making lots of babies.
No.
The US is in the same position as them; we’ve had a negative birth rate of Americans for decades. We’d be covered with ghost towns without open borders.
It was true before the information age when more people = more GDP
But now you have a lot of multipliers - look at the number of jobs that are automated.
I was in Tokyo a couple of years ago and they still have a lot of people in their 80s in top health and who work.
Russia
Even now, you have Sinapore punching way about its population "weight", ditto Israel, the Netherlands, Sweden (10 million) etc.
Correct, there is no “right size”
Japan is crowded in the Tokyo-Yokohama megacity but the countryside is getting depopulated. They have a lot of automation, and their elders are healthy and WANT to work. As the population decreases, the salaries will rise a bit and real estate drop. I don’t see Japan’s GDP dropping. It’s relative GDP rank will fall - but that’s not because China or India is making more babies, but because they are making more goods and services.
Internal growth. Have you been to China lately? I was in Shanghai on a business visit 3 years ago and was amazed - it makes Tokyo, Singapore, HK, NY etc. look positively stone aged.
All transactions are via mobile Ali-pay, they have tons of new developments etc. and even the Chinese made stuff is getting more and more innovative. Their consumer market is booming
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