Posted on 11/28/2020 9:22:00 AM PST by Hojczyk
As you can see, the less prevalent the disease is in reality, the more likely the test is to generate a false positive result, and the less useful the test is as a method for figuring out who actually has covid. And the less prevalent the disease is, the more prevalent it will seem to be in relation to reality. If decisions about covid continue to be made largely based on what PCR tests show, we might never be able to call off the pandemic!
And that, ladies and gentlemen, is why PCR positive cases are a very poor indicator of how prevalent covid is in the population, and why we should instead be basing decisions on the rates of hospitalization, ICU admission, and death.
If we just look at the PCR tests, we will continue to believe that the disease is widespread in the population indefinitely, even as it becomes less and less common in reality. And that is assuming the rate of testing doesn’t increase. If we combine this built-in problem with accuracy, with a massive increase in testing (as has happened in most countries over the course of the pandemic), then we can create the impression of a disease that is continuing to spread wildly through a population, even when it isn’t.
(Excerpt) Read more at sebastianrushworth.com ...
A long article ...looks at the covid tests (both PCR and antibody)
From article
In most clinical settings (including the one I work in), all the doctor is provided with is a positive or negative result. No mention is made of the number of cycles used to produce the positive result. This is a problem, since it’s clear that a positive result after 40 cycles is almost certainly a false positive, while a positive result after 20 cycles is most likely a true positive. Without information about the number of cycles, you have to assume that the patient sitting in front of you has covid and is infectious, with all the downstream consequences that entails.
If 4 or more show positive, believe it.
If 3 show positive, take a 6th.
You have to be a chump to believe any of the numbers. This whole “pandemic” hysteria and panic is part of the means to get Biden elected. Connect the dots.
I’d rather take a fifth after the fifth.
Day after day no mention of flu deaths, hospitalizations. Just COVID COVID.
Thank you for posting that. Certainly clears up a lot of misinformation.
BTW, what the hell happened to this season’s FLU EPIDEMIC and..Oh, sorry. EVERYTHING from hangnails, motorcycle deaths to the flu are being called COVID!
never mind.
Reports from Australia and New Zealand show influenza rates at around 10% of the rates normally seen in their high flu season this past Southern hemisphere winter.
Not very
“A long article ...looks at the covid tests (both PCR and antibody)
From article
In most clinical settings (including the one I work in), all the doctor is provided with is a positive or negative result. No mention is made of the number of cycles used to produce the positive result. This is a problem, since it’s clear that a positive result after 40 cycles is almost certainly a false positive, while a positive result after 20 cycles is most likely a true positive. Without information about the number of cycles, you have to assume that the patient sitting in front of you has covid and is infectious, with all the downstream consequences that entails.”
And that 20 cycle positive test is not for the entire virus nor for live virus. The test only looks for a segment of DNA.
Change 'misinformation' to 'missing information' and you have the current state of information 'reporting'.
Health facilities get extra money if the diagnosis is covid.
My dad fought under Patton, his only hero. He learned as a teenager to fight even when the fear overcomes you and to think under horrendous pressure. The population today feels fine taking a handout from its own tax collector and making every sacrifice asked by its all powerful government. One more request to sacrifice like in Hitler's Germany, to spy on your neighbor, and no one will feel freedom again (in my lifetime).
The one hope left is that maybe Trump did win in a landslide meaning secretly an overwhelming number of our citizens reject the tyrant's yoke. God I hope so.
From the article
" In most clinical settings (including the one I work in), all the doctor is provided with is a positive or negative result.
No mention is made of the number of cycles used to produce the positive result.
This is a problem, since it’s clear that a positive result after 40 cycles is almost certainly a false positive,
while a positive result after 20 cycles is most likely a true positive.
Without information about the number of cycles, you have to assume that the patient sitting in front of you has covid and is infectious,
with all the downstream consequences that entails.
Exactly true and accurate about testing !!
MONEY QUOTE :
IF you don't know the number of cycles tested, then you don't truly know whether it is a true positive, or negative test result.
The difference is between quantity versus quality testing.
(My Comments): When I spoke with my daughter three weeks ago, who lives in Melbourne, Australia, and who is in strict 'quarantine lockdown',
she stated that she tested out as "high negative" covid exposure, where she works as as school teacher.
Apparently, the Australian populace are notified, after testing, whether they are 'high positive, low positive, low negative, or high negative',
depending on the number of cycles the test is administered.
So, if you don't know the number of cycles that the test went through,
then you don't know the reliability of the testing.
Even minor asymptomatic exposure will result in a positive test result due to the sensitivity of testing,
which may find residual broken filaments of the virus, even though the virus RNA is already dead, and not active.
I was going to post this morning
GMTA
Hubby and I have been saying this, about the number of spins on these tests, causing the false positives.
Even Dr FRAUDci said the very sane, months ago.
They’re spinning it out so far that they’re picking up old, dead viruses.
p
True that !
So, if you were the government, and want to accentuate and increase the number of positives covid-19 "positives",
run the testing 40 times, and test will result with even the old, dead, residual virus RNA filaments, and you may find increased "positives".
Government authorities are still not medical authorities,
even though they feel empowered enough to tell you what they think, and yet ignore science.
If you don't know the number of cycles tested, the testing result is dubious, at best.
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