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Benford’s Law: A Cloak-and-Dagger tool for Data Scientists

1 posted on 11/07/2020 11:06:57 AM PST by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

Biden, like many commies, failed to use “search”:

http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3902973/posts


2 posted on 11/07/2020 11:08:18 AM PST by humblegunner (Balls To Picasso.)
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To: nickcarraway

It’s politics, not mathematics, stupid!


4 posted on 11/07/2020 11:13:20 AM PST by Lee25
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To: nickcarraway

We know they cheated.
Now, do we show ANTIFA how it’s done or do we bend over and do the normal Republican “do me”?


5 posted on 11/07/2020 11:16:51 AM PST by Da Coyote
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To: nickcarraway

Sober up, there is no way the city of Chicago voted for Trump.


6 posted on 11/07/2020 11:19:45 AM PST by cookcounty (Susan Rice: G Gordon Liddy times 10.)
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To: nickcarraway

First digit of what number?


7 posted on 11/07/2020 11:20:50 AM PST by Rumierules
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To: nickcarraway
It looks like maybe Biden had lost big cities like Chicago and Pittsburgh, which is why the fraudulent votes need to be brought in, which skew his curve away from a normal looking one.

They're suggesting they needed to add fraudulent votes to Chicago for Biden. That's rather implausible. IL wasn't close. Pittsburgh makes sense. Maybe this isn't foolproof.

11 posted on 11/07/2020 11:30:58 AM PST by lasereye
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To: nickcarraway

First digit of what number?


12 posted on 11/07/2020 11:31:36 AM PST by Rumierules
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To: nickcarraway

Well, is Benford’s Law Science???????????


13 posted on 11/07/2020 11:32:57 AM PST by Scrambler Bob (This is not /s. It is just as viable as any MSM 'information', maybe more so!)
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To: nickcarraway

I don’t need Bedford’s law to know the democrats blatantly rigged this vote count. It couldn’t be more obvious.


14 posted on 11/07/2020 11:35:04 AM PST by Bullish (CNN is what happens when 8th graders run a cable network.)
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To: nickcarraway

statistics bump for later....


15 posted on 11/07/2020 11:35:29 AM PST by indthkr
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To: nickcarraway
I do not blame the almost 80-year-old, early-stage-dementia Joe Biden. I blame the Democrat Party, George Soros who provides the Democrats with high-level strategic political planning (and massive funding), and the Biden family itself for putting poor Joe through all of this.

Unfortunately, many RINOs also fully support, condone, and defend all of it. Talking to you, Mitt Romney and John Kasich. And why are you so embarrassingly silent, George W. Bush and Jeb Bush? (Please clap.)

An absolute disgrace. A national shame.

20 posted on 11/07/2020 11:49:37 AM PST by gw-ington
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To: nickcarraway

You know what’s weird? I can’t post the link on Facebook. This site is probably banned.


21 posted on 11/07/2020 12:01:55 PM PST by BEJ
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To: nickcarraway
Benford’s law works for sets of numbers that grow naturally by exponential rates. For example you had 500 dollars and it was in an account earning 25 percent growth every year , your account would have this amount of money each year

500
625
781
977
1221
1526
1907
2384
2980
3725
4657
5821
7276
9095
11369
14211
17764
22204
27756
34694
43368
54210
67763
84703
105879
132349
165436
206795
258494
323117
403897
504871
631089

Notice the numeral “1” appears most of the the time as the leading number, in this case 27 percent , the other numbers as 2-9 show up less as the first digit. This because our number system base 10. If we were to use the most simple number base 2 , with just ones and zeroes, the data would not favor either case , but base 10, favors the first number for when data grows exponentially...  

Another example take 120 and if it grows by 25 percent, it takes many iterations before it gets above 200, compare to at 900 with a 25 percent growth , the first iteration the new number is not going to be a 9 anymore , therefore very few 9s and lots of 1s will show up in data that has a compounding growth factor.

Population counts follow Benford’s law, because they grow exponentially , the amount of forestation or any thing that can be measured with a growth  rate, using a base 10 number system to record , the numeral 1 will appear more often in the data set.

So what does this have to do with votes ?   Votes, are a measure of popularity , like top songs or ideas ,, a few people like , then they tell others, and they tell others , so popularity grows exponentially, and might be that a collected data sets of votes from a region of population ,it seems plausible to follow Benford, but experts say the law might not be reliable always to detect fraud in elections..Benford’s law does not work on all data sets ..

However ... note the 6 key is in the middle of the keyboard , easy to quickly make up and type in.... fits the pattern of accounting fraud according to benfords law, so why are most of the Biden’s counts coming up numerals 4 5 and 6.  While a natural distribution we should see more 1s and 2s than 4s 5s or 6s, like Trumps counts show?

Check out this guys analysis of several places where Trump numbers adheres to Benford , Biden does not ..

https://github.com/cjph8914/2020_benfords

Very odd indeed, but don’t expect low information voters will be able to follow the logic

..

22 posted on 11/07/2020 12:04:05 PM PST by seastay
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To: nickcarraway

Tried posting on Facebook. Was denied as this article was listed as abusive! WTF!


23 posted on 11/07/2020 12:09:52 PM PST by snork55 (theirs is not to wonder why, theirs is but to do or die...)
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To: nickcarraway

bttt


24 posted on 11/07/2020 12:19:30 PM PST by harpu ( "...it's better to be hated for who you are than loved for someone you're not!")
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To: nickcarraway

Won’t post to FB


25 posted on 11/07/2020 1:04:55 PM PST by GailA (TRUMP IS A GUTSY PRESIDENT)
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