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Republicans lead in 218 districts. EXACTLY enough to get rid of Pelosi... but have more tight races.
11-4-2020 | Dangus

Posted on 11/04/2020 5:50:44 AM PST by dangus

NYT has called 181 races for the Republicans, but show Republicans up in 37 of them. So here are those 37 races, in order by which are tightest. There are eight which are waaaaaaay too tight, so I also listed the eight tightest races with Democrats leading. I showed % of vote-counting complete wherever the outcome was still reasonably in doubt.

District R lead in % % complete NYT ratings
IA-2 0.1 89 Tossup
PA-6 0.3 74 Safe D
CA-39 0.5 88 Leaning D
CA-48 0.6 93 Leaning D
IL-14 0.7 78 Leaning D
TX-24 1.4 94 Leaning D
NY-3 1.5 72 Safe D
CA-21 3 71 Tossup
IA-1 3 91 Tossup
MN-1 3 88 Tossup
NJ-2 3 75 Tossup
CA-50 4 78 Leaning R
IL-17 4 55 Leaning D
PA-8 4 80 Leaning D
CO-3 5 Leaning R
CA-4 6 Leaning R
CA-8 7 Safe R
CA-22 7 Leaning R
MI-11 7 64 Leaning D
WA-3 8 Leaning R
IN-5 8 Tossup
PA-7 9 73 Leaning D
CA-1 10 Safe R
CA-42 11 Safe R
NY-22 11 Tossup
PA-17 14 66 Leaning D
MI-3 16 Tossup
NY-11 16 Tossup
NY-2 17 15 Tossup
PA-10 18 Tossup
NY-24 21 Tossup
NY-1 23 Leaning R
AK 23 Leaning R
WA-4 30 Safe R
PA-16 34 Leaning R
VA-7 <.1 86 Safe D
LA-5 runoff Safe R
Tightest districts with Democrats leading
District D lead in % % complete NYT ratings
AZ-6 0.5 80 tossup
CA-25 1.1 82 tossup
NY-18 2 77 safe D
MN-2 2 83 leans D
NY-17 3 35 safe D
UT-4 3 67 tossup
WI-3 3 89 leans D


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: anotherstupidvanity
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1 posted on 11/04/2020 5:50:44 AM PST by dangus
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To: dangus

Drats. The “<.1%” didn’t sort. Of course not. So there’s one more super-tight race at the BOTTOM. The run-off heavily favors the Republican.


2 posted on 11/04/2020 5:51:54 AM PST by dangus
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To: dangus

It would be great to take the house. I’m also hoping the gop controls 26 state delegations incase the election goes to the house.


3 posted on 11/04/2020 5:52:11 AM PST by mainerforglobalwarming
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To: dangus

But, but, but. One of the first crawls I saw across the screen on the five minutes that I watched Fox News was that the House was lost.


4 posted on 11/04/2020 5:54:17 AM PST by crusty old prospector
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To: dangus

Fox News needs to be taken off the air.


5 posted on 11/04/2020 5:55:01 AM PST by cowboyusa (America Cowboy up!)
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To: crusty old prospector

More dirty work by Fox to help the Democrats.


6 posted on 11/04/2020 5:56:03 AM PST by Dan in Wichita
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To: dangus

So, the ‘Throuple’s District may flip back to Dem? How sad! The new lady running there is no prize. The special election in May put a Republican Navy Vet in the seat. That District has been Republican for a long time. I sure hope Mike Garcia can pull out a victory......but it IS California.


7 posted on 11/04/2020 5:59:37 AM PST by originalbuckeye ('In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act'- George Orwell.)
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To: dangus

MFers at Fox News need to be prosecuted.

I’m not kidding. Outright election interference.


8 posted on 11/04/2020 5:59:37 AM PST by AAABEST (NY/DC/LA media/political/military industrial complex DELENDA EST)
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To: dangus

Fake fox Im convinced as of election night with bret


9 posted on 11/04/2020 6:00:50 AM PST by ronnie raygun ( Massive mistakes are made by arrogant fools; massive evils are committed by evil people.")
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To: dangus

Who and how will the commie Secretaries of state to certify elections? Many will refuse.


10 posted on 11/04/2020 6:03:33 AM PST by CincyRichieRich (2020: Broken glass election : Republic or no Republic.)
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To: dangus

While I doubt we’ll take the House, if we do come very close, say within 5 votes, then life will be quite difficult for Pelosi or whoever, since not all Democrats in the House are as far left as the bases, and they may want to keep their seats.


11 posted on 11/04/2020 6:04:01 AM PST by BobL (I shop at Walmart and eat at McDonald's, I just don't tell anyone, like most here.)
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To: BobL

We all know CA will keep harvesting ballots until the Dem wins


12 posted on 11/04/2020 6:06:49 AM PST by RightWingNutJob69
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To: RightWingNutJob69

I live in NY-24 and it is a solid R win. Even Syracuse’s county didn’t vote for the lunatic leftist.


13 posted on 11/04/2020 6:07:32 AM PST by RightWingNutJob69
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To: ronnie raygun

...and Marfa in her democrat blue dress.


14 posted on 11/04/2020 6:10:17 AM PST by Envisioning (Carry safe, always carry, everyday, everywhere.)
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To: dangus

NY 2, NY 1, NY 22, NY 24 are all heavily R’s wins...its not even close

https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-1-d&sxsrf=ALeKk03SBeXxXE3EVS99QO78ZcJy37JGKA:1604465431142&q=Howard+Rabin&stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAOMwUeLVT9c3NMxKK6gwSi9JesRowS3w8sc9YSn9SWtOXmPU5OIKzsgvd80rySypFJLmYoOyBKX4uVB18ixi5fHIL08sSlEISkzKzAMALfsAQFsAAAA&biw=1536&bih=694


15 posted on 11/04/2020 6:17:18 AM PST by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: dangus

Democrats control virtually all the election boards. When vote counts drag into the next day in tight races, democrats win. It’s not rocket science.


16 posted on 11/04/2020 6:26:48 AM PST by robel
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To: dangus

Didn’t one single democrat lose their U. S. House seat? Unbelievable!!!! So we still have to put up with Maxine, Pelosi, Schiff and all the other crooks?

It was announced before CA polls even closed that the dems kept the House! Still want an explanation for that but I guess I’ll be waiting for a long time!


17 posted on 11/04/2020 7:02:03 AM PST by Thank You Rush
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To: God luvs America

NY CD-3 looks like another pickup.

And it was considered a “safe D” district.


18 posted on 11/04/2020 7:29:21 AM PST by FreeReign
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To: crusty old prospector

Yes. Early on FoxNews coverage, the scrawl said “Dems keep House; increase majority”.


19 posted on 11/04/2020 7:31:31 AM PST by GLDNGUN
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To: Thank You Rush

Iowa has 2 Republican pick up seats.


20 posted on 11/04/2020 7:38:14 AM PST by Wm F Buckley Republican
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