Posted on 11/03/2020 6:28:54 AM PST by 11th_VA
Wisconsin Democrats do not appear to be hitting their vote-by-mail and in-person early voting goals, an analysis of the early vote by "The Dan O'Donnell Show" has found. Despite a massive push for early voting across the state, the 12 counties won by Democrat Hillary Clinton in 2016 are badly trailing their early vote percentage from four years ago.
As of Monday morning, the day after in-person early voting concluded in Wisconsin, the 12 Democrat counties--Ashland, Bayfield, Dane, Douglas, Eau Claire, Green, Iowa, La Crosse, Menominee, Milwaukee, Portage, and Rock--accounted for a total of 743,829 votes; 39.4 percent of the 1,886,533 cast statewide. In 2016, those 12 counties accounted for 50.4 percent of the statewide early vote (336,533 cast out of 666,846 total early votes).
Dane and Milwaukee Counties--Wisconsin's most populous and most overwhelmingly Democratic--account for 29.8 percent of the 2020 early vote total, down a full percentage point from the 30.9 percent share of Wisconsin's early vote in 2016.
This indicates that voters in the 60 counties President Trump won in 2016 en route to winning an upset victory in Wisconsin are dramatically overperforming in the state's early vote this year. Based on this, L2 Data is projecting that President Trump may well be leading Wisconsin's early vote...
(Excerpt) Read more at newstalk1130.iheart.com ...
Rudi, you magnificent bastard!
Gee, you would think DNCNN, DNBC or ABDNC would have picked this up in the polls?
Generally polls ignore early voting.
That is going to burn them very badly this year.
But I have to ask, is this L2 stuff accurate? When they don’t have actual data they use all kinds of statistical projections. Based on their website.
My prediction of Trump winning with 274 electoral votes was based on Wisconsin putting him over the top. I gave Michigan and Pennsylvania to Biden because they were so close in 2016 and I figured dems would go all in by any means necessary. Basically when they call Wisconsin and Florida for Trump it will be all over.
I’d like WI as a cushion so we don’t need to wait for PA.
Please have Trump win WI (along with MI and/or MN), because I have zero faith PA is going to be salvaged this election.
The line was long, the whole thing took 45 min, but everybody was smiling and talking to each other.
Black, white, and Hispanic - all just talking about life.
Now I'm safely back in my bunker waiting for the results.
It is not who votes that count but who counts the vote.
We’re going to win without PA
Encouraging. Thanks for the post.
I think tonight, God willing, Trump will have 274 EV with PA, and others perhaps, still pending. That’ll be enough to declare victory.
REMEMBER KENOSHA!!!
Repel the Marxists at the gates of Middle America Viennas!
Your prediction on Michigan and Penn...has one fault...for 2016, you had the McMuffin character and the Libertarian Johnson. Neither exist in 2020, and a fair number of Libertarians don’t see Jorgensen as that popular.
Toss in the Biden comments on fracking/coal...Penn probably leans more to Trump than Biden.
To be honest, it wasn’t so much a prediction as a minimum scenario for victory. Trump won by a narrow margin last time. If more converts than haters turn out then an electoral landslide is coming. I have to think many Trump haters who didn’t bother last time will come out this time around. We shall see.
Lots of early voters there from older people scared of the virus.
The fact the count is down is incredible.
It is very good news. I was worried the early vote would be up.
Agreed, and I'd take NM and Nevada for icing.
I think tonight, God willing, Trump will have 274 EV with PA, and others perhaps, still pending. That’ll be enough to declare victory.>>> I do not think PA will certify any voting until next monday.
It is total junk. Look at how they model FL which totally goes against data the state gives us. Absolutely ridiculous. Worthless.
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