Posted on 11/02/2020 7:58:46 PM PST by JamesP81
PA: Trump +1 WI: Biden +2 MI: Biden +2
Of course, this doesn’t reflect the hidden Trump voter- meaning PDJT is winning all 3
I think the methodology is designed to capture them.
I find this frustrating.
That was before today’s three rallies.
Yes it does.
3% undecided in WI, 2% undecided in MI, 0% undecided in PA.
I think we take WI. Based on the early vote. MI. Will be close.
Three in MI + WI, of course. Plus PA and NC.
“I think the methodology is designed to capture them.”
I might be wrong, but I thought it was Trafalgar that tries to incorporate that. Baris talks about it, but I’m not sure he figures it in. Maybe I’m misremembering.
If I had to bet 20 bucks to win 50 if Trump wins all three, I would do it.
The Early numbers look good for Trump and the Media is doing a Great Job suppressing the Dem vote.
Its almost like they are doing it on purpose.
>PA: Trump +1
One word: “transition”
I’m a Californian and know nothing about WI or MI or PA.
But I don’t get why they don’t seem to care more about Dem’s threats against fracking, and oil, and car manufacturing?
I have a theory—single moms and other single women. They may not be in these particular industries, and so don’t care if the men in these industries lose their jobs. But they vote in higher numbers than men.
As Scott Adams says, this is turning out to be a “girls vs boys election.”
Men tomorrow—go vote! Even if you don’t know how to vote on the lesser, non partisan races or initiatives—who cares, just go vote for Trump! Leave the other races blank if you need to. Perhaps you don’t want to research the other races; that’s OK. Skip them if needed.
Men don’t vote as much as women do which is a problem. And I say this as a woman.
Probably means that James won’t win, either, right?
“One word: “transition””
I’m tired and not thinking straight. I need you to explain this one to me :D
MI and WI are OLD polls (10/24-10/28). Haven’t been updated since last Wednesday.
Trump still wins with FL, NC, AZ, and PA. Doesn’t necessarily need WI and MI, but could easily win those too.
The lock downs will be the Democrats undoing. People are pissed what Dem governors have done to them.
Never ever doubted Trump taking PA by 2-3 points on the low end
Not on the ground in WI or MI but the reasons for Trump to take PA are just as valid in WI and MI. I expect him to take every state up here except IL this time... yes including MN
“Probably means that James won’t win, either, right?”
Can’t say. Baris is like most polls, it’s about a 3 point margin of error. So James and T might win. Or they might not. Of course the same can be said if PA too.
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