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To: Londo Molari

[But these are based on polls, not the actual election numbers coming in. Pollsters are out of their element on this, as we are already in the middle of the election. IDK]


The implicit idea is that independents are breaking for Biden. We’ll see. Obama does have a pretty high approval rating.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-much-can-obama-help-biden-in-2020/

Then again, it’s easier than ever to avoid pollsters. If Trump wins, their reputations will take a beating. But the need for polls will never go way. Politicians need to know where they stand, where. And unlike Procter and Gamble, they only get true sales data on Election Day every year or so, and incomplete and/or tangential data (to their specific candidacies), at that.

Polling won’t die. It will just become increasingly inaccurate, as people find ways to avoid it, as they avoid ads on the internet, or on TV.


72 posted on 11/02/2020 12:14:25 PM PST by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
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To: Zhang Fei
If Trump wins, their reputations will take a beating.

I don't think they are worried about that. Their primary job is push-polling. Push-polling by its very nature is inaccurate because its goal is to form opinions rather than gauge them. If they are really, really successful in their push-polling, their over all result can have a degree of accuracy.

102 posted on 11/02/2020 12:39:08 PM PST by Sans-Culotte (Does the left like anything about America?)
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