Iowa Final Registration Totals

Iowa Secretary of State ^ | 11/02/20 | self

[Ravi]

10/01/20 to 11/02/20:
DEMs +8,750
REPs +16,255


11/01/16 to 11/02/20:
DEMs +69,920
REPs +57,424


Voter Totals as of 11/02/20:
DEMs: 699,001
REPs: 719,591

[Ravi]

This was a state where we fell behind the DEMs in registration around the time of the DEM primary. The REPs have made up considerable ground over the past 4 months and are very close to the registration advantage they had in 2016.

Yet another state where the late registration close benefitted the REPs. This happened in NC, NV, FL, AZ and others.

In 2016, it was the DEMs who out-registered the REPs in the last 4 months before the election. The pattern reversed this year.

This feels like a little breathing room.

[Ravi]

ping

[norcal joe]

And of course a lot more dems will vote for Trump than reps will vote for Biden. And there are independents. And this also doesn’t take into account how many actually vote.

[bort]

Good info. Thanks for posting. Trump has the momentum everywhere.

[Ravi]

Correct on all accounts.

[babble-on]

That’s the problem. Registration is only somewhat helpful in determining voting intent. Not nearly as strong an indicator as Party Identification.

[Huskrrrr]

Joni Ernst’s ad that targets the AOC/Pelosi gang and the coming tax increases under a Biden Presidency has struct a chord with many of the undecideds.

[Diana in Wisconsin]

[cgbg]

I remember that election night just like yesterday.

I was a very excitable young man who spent election evening screaming at the TV as each new state was called for Reagan:

“F^%$ you, (insert name of lefty reporter here).”

It was a great night.

;-)

[QualityMan]

LOL

thanks for that memory.

My first POTUS was that glorious fall of ‘84...but I was watching this one, too, as a 16 year old budding conservative

[MCEscherHammer]

Thanks for the reminder..!

I remember the day very well...

And, I remember seeing the Great Ronaldus Maximus at a campaign stop that year...

The MEDIA thought Reagan to be a buffoon...

I also recall that the MEDIA polling (only landlines then) was very tight up until the final weekend...then it all broke for Reagan...

Reagan beat Jimmah Carter by 10 points...would have been 16% if a 2nd Republican, John Anderson, had not run as an independent...

Hoping for lightning striking again after 40 years...

[chuckb87]

“That’s the problem. Registration is only somewhat helpful in determining voting intent.”

If they were going to vote republican they would have registered republican.

[CommerceComet]

I remember all the attention the last few days of the 1980 campaign was on Pennsylvania. Pundits were claiming that it was a toss-up and whoever carried it was probably going to win the national election. Wrong on several accounts - Reagan comfortably carried Pennsylvania by 7 points and even had he lost Pennsylvania, he would have still won in a landslide.

[Diana in Wisconsin]

I was 20 that year and it was the first Presidential Election I could vote in.

Carter was SUCH a disaster! He’s the reason I joined the Army - there were NO jobs, gasoline was scarce and expensive, 444 days of the hostage situation, interest rates for CCs and home mortgages were 20% and above! It was ridiculous. My folks didn’t have $$$ for me for college, so I went out and earned it myself.

So happy to have served under President Reagan! :)

[Diana in Wisconsin]

Yep. Not trying to jinx us, but it’s going to be a blow-out in a lot of states.

Expect the unexpected! :)

[latina4dubya]

My first POTUS was that glorious fall of ‘84...but I was watching this one, too, as a 16 year old budding conservative

you and i are the same age... :)

[PermaRag]

Looking county-by-county as compared to 2018 or 2016, the big counties — ripest for Democrat vote fraud — almost all (Dubuque is the exception) now favor D’s even heavier than before in terms of voter registration while the small rural counties nearly all moved towards the Republicans.

This is probably not unique to Iowa; the good (rural) counties get better, the bad (urban) counties get worse and the suburban ones in the middle, such as Dallas County here in Iowa, also get worse. There are surely numerous exceptions regarding suburban areas, but the general pattern likely holds just about everywhere it can be measured.

[jjotto]

Yep.

And if Trump holds the other states won in 2016, Dems can flip PA and MI and still Trump wins.

[Datom69]

Do the ballots have to be postmarked by Nov 3rd?

[fortheDeclaration]

Good news! The RNC did a great job!