[Fai Mao]

Because of the internals of the poll and the track record.

I do not think Trafalgar is completely accurate. They have a good record from 2016 but, they were under estimating the crossover vote for Trump this time. He is, I think further a head than they think he is.

[SmokingJoe]

Teafalgar have a record from 2018 as well. They are the only ones who called both the Florida governors and the Florida US Senate race for Republicans DeSantis and Scott.
All the fake news media polls had Democrats Gillum and Scott winning by averages of over 5%.