Only ones accurately measuring the hidden Trump vote. Almost all the rest are phony suppression polls that oversample Democrats by +8-12 and use adults or registered voters, not likely voters. Fox is one of the biggest offenders, because it builds drama and hooks viewers. Plus Murdoch’s spawn an Paul Ryan are anti-Trump @$$holes.
The thing about Trafalgar is that Admiral Nelson won the battle but he died in it.
Why is it that nobody believes the polls when their guy is behind but they suddenly become trustworthy when he’s ahead?
Brian Schwartz
@schwartzbCNBC
“Spoke to someone familiar with the Trump camps polling. With a few days left, these are some of the states they are confident in: FL, AZ, NC, Maine 2nd district, Nebraska, Pennsylvania and Texas. Not confident: Michigan.
Public polls show they’re down in most of these states.”
We need Michigan, Wisconsin, Florida, Arizona...then all the stupid delayed (fake) ballots being counted in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Nevada (?) won’t matter. Right?
The only thing that worries me is that we don’t have the green party taking votes from Biden this year. I do think that President Trump has a real good chance of taking MI again. Polls have been getting progressively worse because they can not get real scientific samples easily any more. Trafalgar uses the best techniques to help get more honest responses.
Jorgensen is over-rated, in 2016 they had bigger name former Gov Gary Johnson, who took a bit over 2%, and libertarians more likely to go with Trump rather than Biden.
Based on EV, I feel pretty gd about FL, NC and AZ right now. We still need PA or MI or WI or MN. PA could be our best shot and that worries me.