Posted on 10/29/2020 4:58:16 AM PDT by Kaslin
Washington -- I do not like being wrong. Looking back on the journalism of the last few years, I have concluded this makes me one weird journalist. Most journalists -- in fact, most commentators -- seem to prefer to be wrong. Spectacularly, melodramatically wrong.
In 2013, when I met Donald Trump for the first time, I concluded that he could be a successful politician. More than that, I concluded that if he ran for president, he would win. He was not like any other politician I have known. He was smart, aggressive and he knew enough about the issues to get by. That is true of a lot of other politicians, but there was something more to Donald. He was a showman and a strategist. I have now, after seven years of watching him, concluded he has still more gifts. He has the energy of a great athlete and a voice that can only be a gift from God.
I concluded early on that Donald would win in 2016. I conclude that in 2020 he will win again. I say this based on observing the facts. As I have said, I do not like to be wrong. The vast majority of journalists and commentators do not care. They hide in the herd in which they travel. If they are wrong on Nov. 3, they and many of their colleagues will just not talk about it, and few will have the bad taste to mention their error in public.
If you doubt that I was one of the very few who picked Donald as the winner in 2016, even when he was as far behind as he has been the last few weeks, I can understand. The journalists of the herd never acknowledged their error. Seth Lipsky of the New York Sun, of course, got it right, but then, he often does. And over at BuzzFeed, Ben Smith got it right. In fact, BuzzFeed is worth quoting, for Smith now writes on media in general for The New York Times, and the media is his beat. Said Smith, "It's easy enough to find editors these days who say they saw Donald Trump coming, hard to find ones who are telling the truth about that. By my estimation perhaps the only one who really did is R. Emmett Tyrrell." Well, Ben, there were two of us. Jeff Lord got it right, too, and CNN fired him.
So, why is Donald going to win? Because he won in 2016 with pretty similar ratios. These last three weeks in particular, the spread was about the same as in 2016. Now Donald has poured it on. His voice has never cracked, and he has been a human dynamo. Joe Biden stayed close to his basement and prayed that no more stories would come out about Hunter's sweetheart financial deals with the Chinese and evidence from Hunter's laptop about setting aside a percentage of his deals for "the Big Guy." One Tony Bobulinski has been a partner with Hunter. Bobulinski came forward last week and held a press conference in which he divulged for "patriotic" reasons that Hunter told him the Big Guy is a reference to Joe Biden, who stands 6 feet tall.
Yet I have further reasons for believing Donald will win next week. In the Republican primaries more people voted for just one candidate, Donald Trump, than turned out for all the Democratic candidates. The enthusiasm for Donald is not just a matter of turnout at airports where he flies in and flies out. It can be tabulated in the electoral turnout. Throughout this race, the enthusiasm for Donald has been colossal. For Joe, it has been comparatively feeble. And there is more.
Last week, I reported that 56 percent of people polled by Gallup in late September affirmed they were better off now, amid a painful pandemic, than they were four years ago, before Donald entered the White House. Another 79 percent of Americans said the economy was one of the most important issues for them in the race. And still another 56 percent of Americans said they expected a Trump victory. Forgive me for jumping to conclusions, but I, too, am expecting a Trump victory. Apparently, I am not alone. Last week, Michael McKenna, who writes for the Washington Times, was equally fetched by these 56-percenters. Maybe I will not be so lonely this election day.
The only thing that could overthrow my calculations is voter fraud. There are an awful lot of blank ballots floating around out there.
It would make absolutely no sense. But to make sure I will definitely vote for him next Tuesday.
C’mon, man...
It’s the, uh, the thing... you know...
Ditto!!
BTW-I wonder if Liberals will ever admit they overplayed their hand (such as it was) when they sponsored and encouraged the social instability and destruction that’s going on.
Has to win every swing state by 100,000 votes or they will steal it...
And thus America will keep on winning.
We need the House and the Senate. The Dems are quiet on that.
Juan Williams tried to tie Trump to the rioting. Greg told him to be real. I think Greg might be done with laughing at Williams- which is all they do
I think the Dems might have thought they could get the media to see what they wanted people to see. Trump puts it right on them where it belongs. Now it’s just those who prefer that vs those who support law and order.
To do that, they would need to admit they were behind it. They are never, ever going to do that.
I still can’t get over the complete transformation of Leo Tyrrell!
Democratic machines are well-greased for elections.
The feckless know they got to get off their derrieres to vote for the demented Democratic dude.
In my part of Florida, Joe Biden runs ten misleading TV ads for every ad Trump runs.
If America had a news media, Trump would roll to a blowout of Reaganesque proportions.
As it is, I predict a Trump in a solid victory. Not a landslide, but big enough to negate the inevitable Dem fraud.
I talked with my Mom who is in her 80’s a lifelong Democrat living in Florida. Her transformation to Trump has been break taking. Her comment this AM...”OMG I saw that guy for Twitter, what a druggie freak, he was like a robot”. My response “Yep Ma that’s who wants to run the country the Ketamine gobbling druggie kids who got bullied by the HS quarterback”. You lose my Mom and you lost. Trump is on his way to 300+ EVs
I still can’t get over the complete transformation of Leo Tyrrell!
..............................................
Never thought I would see the day.
56 percent of people polled by Gallup in late September affirmed they were better off now, ...”
Gotta say that one jumped out at me. Made ir hard to believe Trump wouldn’t win.
(As applicable) The bad news... y’all still need to get up and vote! If you haven’t voted yet, now is NOT the time to get complacent!
Biden’s campaign is putting out a lot of effort here in the Florida Panhandle.
I am seeing a lot Biden / Harris signs that were not there before.
But I think the most telling thing about them is that *most* of them are not in people’s yards.
They have bought a lot of airtime, too. Most of the spots seem to be distortions or outright lies.
*****I still can’t get over the complete transformation of Leo Tyrrell!******
This is about ‘Emmett Tyrell’.
Leo is a great guy too!!!!
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