Has Trump broken polling?
“In Florida, much has been made of Democrats flipping the early voting edge this year by outvoting Republicans 1,926,055 to 1,463,281 so far. However, that 57 percent of the partisan share is well short of the 70 percent they need to beat expected Republican turnout. Democrats’ early voting across the state is actually falling well short of what they would need to win if they lose Election Day 31 percent to 69 percent. Again, the advantage goes to Republicans in Florida.”
Beware the early voting analysis. It cannot tell you anything the polls aren’t. You get no extra credit for voting early.
In the sunbelt we’re likely to see a Blue Mirage in close states FL, NC, AZ
In the northern battlegrounds, the opposite, a Red Mirage.
This only has to do with mail-in ballots and where they’re being counted and when.
Ignore tweets (and FR) on election night, because it’s not going to be obvious until late, particularly not obvious if Trump is winning.
Cell phones and Caller ID broke polling.
You can’t tell where a cell phone’s owner resides, and people tend to ignore calls the don’t recognize.
It’s funny to me that the media *actually* believes their own suppression polling, and are willfully ignoring the facts on the ground.
Gonna be lots of screaming at the sky on election night.
Perhaps BUT they myth that donkey enthusiasm is low is nonsense. There is record turnout from the left. The GOP needs to step it up. This means YOU!
Polling broke itself. Almost all polls you hear about are intentional frauds.
These articles assume all registered democrats are voting for Biden. 2016 showed that to be wrong.
Well, well, well
Hillary was sick to her stomach yesterday. Wonder how she is today?
ROTFLMAO
I have a few union friends and folks who work with unions. They tell me that overwhelming, the union members are with Trump and you know they are registered democrats. The ones who are for Biden are the shop stewards and the union leaders.
“The polls couldn’t be wrong this year again?
Has Trump broken polling?”
Pollster Luntz said if Trump wins, polls are over.
I think more people in general are voting early this year.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3898994/posts
after one of his recent rallies in Florida, Republican National Committee Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel reported that “31.8% [of attendees] were NOT Republicans. 16.3% were Democrat. 24.4% did not vote in 2016. 14.4% did not vote in the last 4 elections.”
Trump’s new party cuts across traditional party lines and draws from every socioeconomic stratum in America. Although Trump’s base remains the strong conservatives who once vitalized the old Republican Party, he has attracted new voters among blue-collar Democrats, immigrants, and minorities.
It might NOT be the shy Trump voters that put Trump over the top this time...it might be democrats...
Here is a sample of the latest data from the states that in the news and a few surprises. POTUS is working the down ticket with his rallies and is spotlighting GOP candidates.
Latest Poll Numbers 10-26-20 TRENDING RED !
National Trump 51.5%, Biden 43.6%.
5000 likely voters = +/- 1% MOE
Oregon US Senate Race. Democrat Incumbent Jeff Merkley 47%, Republican Challenger Joe Rae Perkins 47%.
Arizona US Senate Race. Republican Incumbent Martha McSally 50%, Democrat Challenger Mark Kelly 44%.
Michigan US Senate Race. Democrat Incumbent Gary Peters 47%, Republican Challenger John James 49%.
Minnesota US Senate Race. Democrat Incumbent Tina Smith 47%, Republican Challenger Jason Lewis 50%.
Florida Trump 52%, Biden 43%.
New Jersey Trump 46%, Biden 47%.
Connecticut Trump 46%, Biden 50%.
Oregon Trump 47%, Biden 45%.
New Hampshire Trump 50%, Biden 45%.
Maine Trump 50%, Biden 46%.
Georgia Trump 53%, Biden 42%.
Virginia Trump 48%, Biden 46%.
North Carolina Trump 54%, Biden 41%.
Iowa Trump 55%, Biden 40%.
Michigan Trump 51%, Biden 45%.
New Mexico Trump 45%, Biden 43%.
Pennsylvania Trump 50%, Biden 45%
Wisconsin Trump 50%, Biden 45%.
It shouldn’t even be close.
A successful businessman who kept all his promises versus a lying, crooked professional.
It should be no contest